CDM BIG DATA POLL - Pennsylvania (October 10-13, 2014)
Weight Variable = Pennsylvania Registered Voter File, Confidence Level = 95%
Likely Voters vs. Unlikely Voters
TotalLikely VotersUnlikely Voters
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likelihood to Vote
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
804
78.5%
804
85.3%
0
0.0%
Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50

Count
Column %
138
13.5%
138
14.7%
0
0.0%
Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50

Count
Column %
40
3.9%
0
0.0%
40
48.5%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
42
4.1%
0
0.0%
42
51.5%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as President?
Biden Approval
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Strongly approve

Count
Column %
196
19.1%
190
20.2%
6
6.7%
Somewhat approve

Count
Column %
210
20.5%
202
21.4%
9
10.4%
Somewhat disapprove

Count
Column %
123
12.0%
100
10.6%
23
27.8%
Strongly disapprove

Count
Column %
470
45.9%
437
46.4%
33
40.3%
Undecided

Count
Column %
25
2.5%
13
1.4%
12
14.8%
If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote?
2024 President (H2H Standard)
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald J. Trump, Republican

Count
Column %
485
47.3%
468
49.6%
17
20.9%
Kamala Harris, Democrat

Count
Column %
461
45.0%
438
46.5%
23
27.7%
Undecided

Count
Column %
78
7.6%
36
3.9%
42
51.4%
If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"]
2024 President (H2H Standard) with Leaners
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald J. Trump, Republican

Mentions
% Sample Size
526
51.4%
488
51.8%
38
46.4%
Kamala Harris, Democrat

Mentions
% Sample Size
498
48.6%
454
48.2%
44
53.6%
If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote?
2024 President (H2H Generic)
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald J. Trump, Republican

Count
Column %
486
47.5%
461
49.0%
25
30.4%
Kamala Harris, Democrat

Count
Column %
475
46.4%
448
47.5%
28
33.7%
Someone else / third party

Count
Column %
24
2.3%
14
1.4%
10
12.6%
Undecided

Count
Column %
38
3.8%
19
2.1%
19
23.3%
If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"]
2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald J. Trump, Republican

Mentions
% Sample Size
492
48.1%
467
49.5%
26
31.3%
Kamala Harris, Democrat

Mentions
% Sample Size
486
47.4%
455
48.3%
31
37.4%
Someone else / third party

Mentions
% Sample Size
46
4.5%
21
2.2%
26
31.3%
If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?
2024 Senate
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Bob Casey, Democrat

Count
Column %
464
45.3%
446
47.3%
18
22.0%
Dave McCormick, Republican

Count
Column %
424
41.4%
413
43.8%
11
13.6%
Undecided

Count
Column %
136
13.3%
83
8.8%
53
64.4%
If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Senate Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"]
2024 Senate with Leaners
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Bob Casey, Democrat

Mentions
% Sample Size
530
51.8%
482
51.2%
48
59.1%
Dave McCormick, Republican

Mentions
% Sample Size
494
48.2%
460
48.8%
33
40.9%
If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote?
2024 Senate Leaners
Sample Size136
83
53
Bob Casey, Democrat

Count
Column %
66
48.9%
36
43.4%
30
57.5%
Dave McCormick, Republican

Count
Column %
69
51.1%
47
56.6%
22
42.5%
Which issue would you say is most important to your vote?
Most Important Issue
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Abortion Rights and Restrictions

Count
Column %
110
10.7%
100
10.6%
10
12.6%
Climate Change and Environment

Count
Column %
31
3.0%
28
3.0%
3
3.2%
Crime and Safety

Count
Column %
28
2.7%
21
2.2%
7
8.3%
Economy and Jobs

Count
Column %
152
14.9%
138
14.7%
14
17.0%
Healthcare

Count
Column %
57
5.5%
47
5.0%
10
12.0%
Immigration and Border Security

Count
Column %
139
13.6%
134
14.2%
5
6.4%
Inflation and Cost of Living

Count
Column %
388
37.9%
362
38.5%
25
30.9%
National Debt and Federal Deficits

Count
Column %
17
1.7%
13
1.4%
4
4.6%
National Security and Foreign Policy

Count
Column %
16
1.6%
15
1.6%
1
1.0%
Other - Please Specify / Write In (Required)

Count
Column %
17
1.6%
15
1.6%
2
2.7%
Threats to Democracy and Corruption

Count
Column %
70
6.9%
69
7.3%
1
1.3%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Inflation and Cost of Living
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
506
49.4%
485
51.4%
21
25.8%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
435
42.5%
412
43.8%
23
27.8%
Neither

Count
Column %
52
5.1%
31
3.2%
21
26.2%
Undecided

Count
Column %
31
3.0%
15
1.6%
17
20.3%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Economy and Jobs
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
499
48.7%
476
50.5%
23
27.9%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
442
43.1%
418
44.3%
24
29.3%
Neither

Count
Column %
47
4.6%
30
3.2%
17
21.0%
Undecided

Count
Column %
36
3.6%
19
2.0%
18
21.9%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Immigration and Border Security
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
572
55.8%
547
58.0%
25
31.0%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
358
35.0%
337
35.8%
21
26.3%
Neither

Count
Column %
66
6.4%
44
4.7%
22
26.5%
Undecided

Count
Column %
28
2.7%
15
1.6%
13
16.2%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Abortion Rights and Restrictions
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
362
35.3%
346
36.7%
16
19.8%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
540
52.8%
507
53.8%
34
41.0%
Neither

Count
Column %
78
7.6%
64
6.8%
14
17.4%
Undecided

Count
Column %
43
4.2%
26
2.7%
18
21.8%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Labor and Union Issues
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
436
42.6%
414
44.0%
22
26.4%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
477
46.5%
450
47.8%
27
32.6%
Neither

Count
Column %
67
6.5%
49
5.2%
18
21.5%
Undecided

Count
Column %
45
4.4%
29
3.1%
16
19.5%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Preserving Social Security and Medicare
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
414
40.4%
396
42.0%
19
22.7%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
487
47.5%
460
48.8%
27
33.0%
Neither

Count
Column %
83
8.1%
64
6.8%
19
23.5%
Undecided

Count
Column %
40
3.9%
23
2.4%
17
20.9%
Threats to Democracy and Corruption:Regardless of how you intend to vote, whom do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?
Sample Size1,024
942
82
Donald Trump

Count
Column %
442
43.2%
426
45.2%
16
20.1%
Kamala Harris

Count
Column %
459
44.9%
434
46.0%
26
31.7%
Neither

Count
Column %
80
7.8%
58
6.2%
22
26.5%
Undecided

Count
Column %
42
4.1%
24
2.6%
18
21.6%