CD Media Big Data Poll: Pennsylvania Midterm Elections
Weight Variable = Pennsylvania Likely Voter File Midterm, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeAge DetailRaceNational OriginPartyIdeologyUnaffiliated LeaningsEducationIncomeEmploymentUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentalReligionRegionGovernorSenateMost Important Issues
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465+TotalWhite / CaucasianBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalDutchEnglishFrenchGermanIrishItalianNon-whiteOtherPolishScotch-IrishScottishTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependent / OtherTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalRepublican PartyDemocratic PartyEqually alignedShare little in common with eitherTotalHS / LessSome / Associate4-Year DegreeAdvanced DegreeTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPrivatePublicBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicAnother religionNo religionTotalPhiladelphiaSoutheastDutchNortheastCentralAlleghenyWestTotalJosh Shapiro, DemocratDoug Mastriano, RepublicanMatt Hackenburg, LibertarianJoseph Soloski, Keystone Party of PennsylvaniaChristina Digiulio, GreenUndecidedTotalJohn Fetterman, DemocratMehmet Oz, RepublicanRonald Johnson, Constitution PartyErik Chase Gerhardt, LibertarianDaniel Wassmer, Keystone Party of PennsylvaniaQuincy Magee, IndependentRichard Weiss, GreenEverett Stern, IndependentUndecidedTotalAbortionCoronavirus / Vaccinations / MandatesCost of Living / InflationCrime / Policing / SafetyEconomy and JobsElection Integrity / ReformsEnvironment / Climate ChangeForeign Policy / National SecurityGun Rights / Second AmendmentHealthcareImmigration / Border SecurityOther - Write In (Required)Public Education / Critical Race TheorySupreme Court Appointments
Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?
Biden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden Approval
Sample Size927
451
476
927
108
192
383
244
927
51
57
116
140
319
244
927
785
97
30
15
927
28
134
9
283
102
107
37
116
79
9
23
927
390
374
163
927
211
384
332
163
75
42
26
20
927
279
285
235
129
927
87
153
301
301
84
927
470
81
38
20
45
13
260
927
172
755
172
94
75
4
927
627
50
92
20
138
927
510
145
72
200
927
404
277
92
154
927
88
140
82
161
197
93
167
927
407
401
22
9
2
87
927
406
371
24
18
8
4
3
2
92
927
124
13
219
32
133
54
31
14
90
31
66
75
20
25
Strongly approve

Count
Column %
192
20.8%
59
13.0%
134
28.1%
192
20.8%
20
18.8%
48
25.1%
57
14.8%
67
27.5%
192
20.8%
10
20.4%
10
17.5%
24
20.4%
27
19.6%
54
16.9%
67
27.5%
192
20.8%
162
20.7%
24
24.8%
2
5.6%
4
29.2%
192
20.8%
4
15.9%
28
21.1%
1
7.8%
44
15.6%
34
32.9%
26
24.3%
7
19.9%
34
29.3%
9
10.9%
2
25.1%
3
13.4%
192
20.8%
10
2.4%
164
43.8%
19
11.8%
192
20.8%
89
42.3%
99
25.7%
4
1.3%
19
11.8%
0
0.2%
17
40.8%
1
5.5%
1
3.1%
192
20.8%
41
14.7%
46
16.2%
61
26.2%
44
34.0%
192
20.8%
8
9.4%
32
20.9%
63
20.9%
61
20.3%
28
33.2%
192
20.8%
92
19.5%
14
17.3%
13
35.0%
7
37.7%
1
2.1%
0
0.0%
65
24.9%
192
20.8%
30
17.3%
163
21.5%
30
17.3%
12
13.3%
17
22.5%
0
10.7%
192
20.8%
135
21.5%
14
28.0%
14
15.6%
3
14.9%
26
19.0%
192
20.8%
101
19.8%
19
13.3%
16
22.6%
56
27.9%
192
20.8%
62
15.3%
64
23.0%
23
24.9%
44
28.6%
192
20.8%
28
31.4%
46
33.0%
10
12.0%
30
18.7%
21
10.7%
19
20.0%
39
23.4%
192
20.8%
179
44.1%
6
1.4%
3
13.2%
2
16.8%
1
38.2%
2
2.6%
192
20.8%
179
44.0%
6
1.7%
1
5.1%
2
10.9%
1
9.6%
0
0.0%
2
62.9%
2
100.0%
0
0.3%
192
20.8%
65
52.7%
8
65.4%
16
7.3%
1
3.8%
13
10.0%
14
25.3%
14
44.5%
0
0.0%
1
1.6%
8
24.7%
2
3.4%
21
28.5%
12
59.9%
16
62.4%
Somewhat approve

Count
Column %
209
22.5%
67
14.9%
141
29.8%
209
22.5%
43
39.7%
39
20.3%
78
20.4%
49
19.9%
209
22.5%
22
42.6%
21
37.2%
29
25.1%
27
19.0%
61
19.3%
49
19.9%
209
22.5%
138
17.6%
49
50.6%
17
56.4%
4
29.4%
209
22.5%
5
18.1%
38
27.9%
0
0.0%
44
15.6%
28
27.6%
16
15.5%
18
48.2%
37
31.8%
14
18.1%
4
42.0%
5
20.0%
209
22.5%
20
5.1%
161
43.1%
27
16.8%
209
22.5%
93
44.1%
103
26.9%
12
3.7%
27
16.8%
2
2.1%
19
45.1%
6
22.8%
1
5.5%
209
22.5%
62
22.3%
53
18.6%
47
20.2%
46
36.0%
209
22.5%
36
41.2%
24
15.4%
68
22.6%
63
21.0%
18
20.8%
209
22.5%
99
21.0%
24
30.1%
14
37.6%
4
18.5%
5
10.7%
8
58.0%
55
21.2%
209
22.5%
50
28.9%
159
21.1%
50
28.9%
29
30.8%
21
28.0%
0
0.0%
209
22.5%
112
17.8%
18
36.7%
27
29.4%
7
37.1%
44
31.9%
209
22.5%
106
20.7%
35
24.4%
8
10.9%
60
29.9%
209
22.5%
75
18.6%
56
20.3%
33
35.4%
45
29.0%
209
22.5%
35
39.3%
27
19.4%
23
28.1%
33
20.6%
35
17.8%
22
23.4%
34
20.5%
209
22.5%
181
44.5%
2
0.5%
5
24.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
21
23.7%
209
22.5%
180
44.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
5
26.1%
0
3.3%
1
32.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
22
24.2%
209
22.5%
46
37.4%
0
0.0%
34
15.8%
15
46.8%
19
14.0%
23
41.6%
13
42.3%
6
45.3%
10
11.5%
10
33.8%
5
7.4%
17
23.1%
2
11.1%
7
26.9%
Somewhat disapprove

Count
Column %
35
3.8%
13
2.9%
22
4.6%
35
3.8%
16
15.0%
8
4.2%
11
2.8%
0
0.0%
35
3.8%
4
8.4%
12
20.8%
7
5.7%
5
3.3%
8
2.4%
0
0.0%
35
3.8%
21
2.6%
8
8.7%
4
14.9%
1
8.4%
35
3.8%
0
1.5%
9
6.4%
0
3.0%
7
2.4%
3
3.0%
6
5.3%
3
8.5%
5
4.6%
2
2.2%
0
0.3%
0
0.0%
35
3.8%
8
2.0%
13
3.4%
14
8.8%
35
3.8%
14
6.5%
14
3.6%
7
2.1%
14
8.8%
5
6.6%
3
6.5%
4
16.5%
2
11.4%
35
3.8%
7
2.5%
14
5.0%
12
5.2%
2
1.2%
35
3.8%
6
6.4%
8
5.3%
9
3.0%
11
3.6%
1
1.6%
35
3.8%
20
4.2%
5
6.5%
1
3.5%
2
9.9%
5
10.7%
2
12.6%
0
0.0%
35
3.8%
3
1.6%
32
4.2%
3
1.6%
1
0.9%
2
2.7%
0
0.0%
35
3.8%
20
3.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
15
11.0%
35
3.8%
6
1.3%
7
4.8%
4
5.7%
17
8.7%
35
3.8%
6
1.4%
7
2.4%
2
2.6%
20
13.3%
35
3.8%
5
5.6%
3
2.1%
6
7.1%
13
8.1%
7
3.6%
0
0.3%
1
0.4%
35
3.8%
21
5.2%
9
2.1%
1
6.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
4
4.4%
35
3.8%
22
5.5%
8
2.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
7.8%
0
2.1%
0
7.9%
0
0.0%
3
3.6%
35
3.8%
4
3.3%
0
2.8%
17
7.9%
0
1.1%
3
2.4%
0
0.0%
1
4.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
13.9%
0
0.0%
3
4.2%
0
0.1%
0
2.0%
Strongly disapprove

Count
Column %
470
50.7%
306
67.7%
164
34.6%
470
50.7%
24
21.7%
91
47.4%
231
60.3%
125
51.2%
470
50.7%
14
27.3%
10
16.8%
53
45.3%
76
54.3%
193
60.6%
125
51.2%
470
50.7%
448
57.0%
14
14.2%
7
22.1%
2
13.3%
470
50.7%
18
64.6%
57
42.2%
5
57.7%
186
65.9%
37
36.0%
53
49.8%
8
22.0%
33
28.5%
54
68.8%
3
32.6%
15
66.6%
470
50.7%
347
88.9%
23
6.2%
100
61.3%
470
50.7%
10
4.7%
153
39.8%
307
92.6%
100
61.3%
67
90.0%
3
7.7%
14
55.2%
15
73.1%
470
50.7%
165
59.1%
160
56.4%
109
46.6%
35
27.5%
470
50.7%
33
37.6%
87
57.0%
155
51.6%
158
52.5%
37
43.3%
470
50.7%
248
52.7%
33
40.8%
8
20.4%
3
16.4%
34
76.5%
4
29.0%
140
53.9%
470
50.7%
86
50.0%
384
50.9%
86
50.0%
52
55.1%
31
41.8%
3
89.3%
470
50.7%
351
55.9%
17
34.8%
46
50.6%
6
30.2%
49
35.7%
470
50.7%
286
56.0%
83
57.3%
39
54.6%
62
31.0%
470
50.7%
257
63.7%
141
51.0%
29
32.0%
42
27.4%
470
50.7%
19
21.6%
64
45.6%
42
52.1%
79
48.7%
133
67.9%
48
52.2%
84
50.6%
470
50.7%
12
3.0%
383
95.7%
12
56.2%
8
83.2%
1
37.3%
54
61.9%
470
50.7%
9
2.1%
354
95.6%
23
94.9%
12
63.0%
6
79.2%
2
65.6%
1
29.2%
0
0.0%
64
69.0%
470
50.7%
7
5.6%
4
31.8%
144
66.1%
15
45.9%
94
70.6%
18
33.2%
3
8.5%
8
54.7%
78
86.7%
7
23.3%
59
89.2%
29
38.5%
3
14.7%
2
8.7%
Undecided

Count
Column %
21
2.3%
7
1.5%
14
2.9%
21
2.3%
5
4.7%
6
3.0%
7
1.7%
3
1.4%
21
2.3%
1
1.4%
4
7.7%
4
3.5%
5
3.9%
3
0.9%
3
1.4%
21
2.3%
16
2.1%
2
1.7%
0
1.0%
3
19.6%
21
2.3%
0
0.0%
3
2.5%
3
31.4%
1
0.5%
1
0.5%
6
5.2%
1
1.4%
7
5.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
21
2.3%
6
1.5%
13
3.5%
2
1.4%
21
2.3%
5
2.3%
15
3.9%
1
0.3%
2
1.4%
1
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
6.8%
21
2.3%
4
1.4%
11
3.8%
4
1.9%
2
1.4%
21
2.3%
5
5.3%
2
1.3%
6
1.9%
8
2.6%
1
1.1%
21
2.3%
12
2.5%
4
5.4%
1
3.5%
3
17.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
0.0%
21
2.3%
4
2.2%
17
2.3%
4
2.2%
0
0.0%
4
5.0%
0
0.0%
21
2.3%
10
1.6%
0
0.6%
4
4.2%
4
17.8%
3
2.4%
21
2.3%
11
2.2%
0
0.1%
4
6.2%
5
2.6%
21
2.3%
4
1.0%
9
3.4%
5
5.1%
3
1.8%
21
2.3%
2
2.1%
0
0.0%
1
0.6%
6
4.0%
0
0.0%
4
4.1%
8
5.1%
21
2.3%
13
3.2%
1
0.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
24.5%
6
7.4%
21
2.3%
17
4.1%
2
0.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
2.9%
21
2.3%
1
1.0%
0
0.0%
6
2.9%
1
2.3%
4
3.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
4.3%
0
0.0%
4
5.7%
3
14.2%
0
0.0%
Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?Hypothetically, if the 2024 U.S. presidential election was held today, for whom would you vote?
Biden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with LeanersBiden vs. Trump with Leaners
Sample Size927
451
476
927
108
192
383
244
927
51
57
116
140
319
244
927
785
97
30
15
927
28
134
9
283
102
107
37
116
79
9
23
927
390
374
163
927
211
384
332
163
75
42
26
20
927
279
285
235
129
927
87
153
301
301
84
927
470
81
38
20
45
13
260
927
172
755
172
94
75
4
927
627
50
92
20
138
927
510
145
72
200
927
404
277
92
154
927
88
140
82
161
197
93
167
927
407
401
22
9
2
87
927
406
371
24
18
8
4
3
2
92
927
124
13
219
32
133
54
31
14
90
31
66
75
20
25
Valid Cases927
451
476
927
108
192
383
244
927
51
57
116
140
319
244
927
785
97
30
15
927
28
134
9
283
102
107
37
116
79
9
23
927
390
374
163
927
211
384
332
163
75
42
26
20
927
279
285
235
129
927
87
153
301
301
84
927
470
81
38
20
45
13
260
927
172
755
172
94
75
4
927
627
50
92
20
138
927
510
145
72
200
927
404
277
92
154
927
88
140
82
161
197
93
167
927
407
401
22
9
2
87
927
406
371
24
18
8
4
3
2
92
927
124
13
219
32
133
54
31
14
90
31
66
75
20
25
Donald Trump

% Valid Cases
46.6%
59.0%
34.9%
46.6%
34.3%
33.8%
55.3%
48.5%
46.6%
40.3%
28.9%
35.4%
43.4%
54.8%
48.5%
46.6%
50.9%
22.3%
27.5%
16.7%
46.6%
66.0%
45.7%
57.7%
57.1%
36.9%
49.9%
22.0%
27.0%
54.9%
25.7%
41.7%
46.6%
85.5%
6.8%
44.7%
46.6%
5.0%
35.8%
85.6%
44.7%
75.6%
7.1%
29.0%
27.6%
46.6%
58.2%
52.0%
38.5%
24.4%
46.6%
42.9%
54.5%
46.2%
45.8%
40.5%
46.6%
46.2%
53.7%
22.4%
15.4%
64.7%
29.5%
48.8%
46.6%
44.9%
47.0%
44.9%
48.7%
38.0%
89.3%
46.6%
51.3%
37.6%
45.3%
15.2%
33.8%
46.6%
51.7%
54.2%
45.8%
28.3%
46.6%
56.7%
47.3%
27.2%
30.4%
46.6%
22.9%
42.0%
38.5%
49.5%
66.3%
46.5%
40.9%
46.6%
2.6%
91.4%
36.6%
77.5%
24.5%
45.5%
46.6%
2.5%
91.0%
89.3%
32.8%
72.0%
67.7%
7.9%
0.0%
53.4%
46.6%
3.5%
13.1%
58.2%
49.3%
62.6%
35.8%
7.9%
54.7%
80.4%
21.8%
90.7%
34.6%
15.1%
10.7%
Joe Biden

% Valid Cases
40.0%
27.4%
52.0%
40.0%
47.4%
44.6%
31.7%
46.0%
40.0%
47.9%
47.0%
44.2%
38.6%
31.9%
46.0%
40.0%
37.3%
56.5%
42.5%
66.7%
40.0%
34.0%
36.8%
39.2%
30.8%
61.4%
39.7%
68.2%
50.6%
23.9%
59.7%
33.4%
40.0%
4.9%
83.7%
23.8%
40.0%
85.8%
46.6%
3.1%
23.8%
0.2%
75.2%
22.4%
7.6%
40.0%
30.3%
31.5%
48.0%
65.1%
40.0%
33.8%
36.3%
40.9%
38.9%
53.6%
40.0%
38.4%
38.1%
52.9%
58.0%
11.3%
51.6%
44.4%
40.0%
39.6%
40.1%
39.6%
37.4%
43.9%
10.7%
40.0%
36.9%
60.6%
38.0%
30.6%
49.2%
40.0%
36.5%
35.6%
34.1%
54.1%
40.0%
31.4%
39.6%
48.7%
57.8%
40.0%
51.7%
47.6%
39.8%
34.6%
26.9%
46.5%
44.4%
40.0%
86.5%
1.8%
7.7%
16.8%
5.5%
9.5%
40.0%
86.6%
1.1%
0.0%
14.6%
0.0%
0.0%
62.9%
100.0%
9.5%
40.0%
87.8%
64.4%
22.9%
6.2%
24.2%
62.9%
77.0%
45.3%
11.3%
56.5%
4.3%
48.3%
79.3%
86.9%
Third party candidate

% Valid Cases
9.7%
10.4%
9.1%
9.7%
13.4%
17.3%
9.4%
2.7%
9.7%
6.0%
19.9%
19.6%
10.4%
10.0%
2.7%
9.7%
9.2%
13.7%
7.9%
16.0%
9.7%
0.0%
9.0%
0.0%
9.9%
1.7%
8.0%
9.6%
14.8%
19.2%
14.6%
11.3%
9.7%
8.7%
5.7%
21.4%
9.7%
4.2%
14.8%
7.5%
21.4%
11.6%
8.7%
47.3%
50.7%
9.7%
7.8%
10.5%
11.5%
8.9%
9.7%
8.1%
7.6%
10.9%
11.1%
5.9%
9.7%
11.4%
8.2%
17.2%
9.1%
15.4%
5.7%
5.3%
9.7%
9.6%
9.8%
9.6%
5.7%
15.0%
0.0%
9.7%
8.1%
1.9%
15.7%
21.4%
14.2%
9.7%
8.3%
5.8%
9.7%
16.3%
9.7%
9.4%
8.3%
17.1%
8.7%
9.7%
13.8%
9.8%
21.3%
12.2%
2.7%
6.1%
9.8%
9.7%
8.7%
3.8%
55.7%
5.7%
70.0%
29.2%
9.7%
9.3%
6.3%
10.7%
35.4%
28.0%
32.3%
29.2%
0.0%
17.2%
9.7%
7.0%
22.5%
13.2%
18.7%
13.0%
1.3%
12.4%
0.0%
7.9%
13.2%
5.0%
7.5%
5.6%
2.4%