BIG DATA POLL — National Poll September 2024
Weight Variable = National Voter File - Likely Voters, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeAge DetailRaceRace DetailEthnicity / National OriginPartyParty DetailIdeologyRepublican IdentificationIndependent IdentificationEducationIncomeEmploymentUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranRegionReligion DetailWhite / Non-White EvangelicalsAreaRegionDivision
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465-7475+TotalWhite / NOT HispanicBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalWhite / NOT HispanicBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsianAmerican Indian / Alaska NativeNative Hawaiian / Pacific IslanderOther Race / EthnicityTotalAmericanDanishDutchEnglishFrenchGermanIrishItalianNorwegianOtherPolishRussianScotch-IrishScottishSwedishTotalDemocratRepublicanIndependent / OtherTotalDemocratRepublicanIndependentSomething elseTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalAmerica First RepublicanismTraditional RepublicanismUnsure / No opinionTotalDemocratic PartyRepublican PartyEqually alignedShare little in common with eitherTotalHigh School / LessSome / Associate4-Year / GradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, working full timeEmployed, working part timeUnemployed, but lookingUnemployed, but NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalYes, I'm currently serving in the U.S. militaryYes, I'm a veteran of the U.S. militaryNoTotalNortheastMidwestSouthWestTotalProtestant (Christian)Catholic (Christian)Christian (Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)Eastern Orthodox (Greek, Russian, Other)Mormon (LDS)JewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalWhite EvangelicalNon-White EvangelicalsTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalNortheastMidwestSouthWestTotalNew EnglandMiddle AtlanticEast North CentralWest North CentralSouth AtlanticEast South CentralWest South CentralMountainPacific
If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"] If you had to decide today, for whom would you vote? [If the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election were held today, for whom would you vote? = "Undecided"]
2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners2024 President (H2H Generic) with Leaners
Sample Size3,047
1,444
1,603
3,047
466
738
1,118
725
3,047
247
219
460
491
905
424
302
3,047
2,145
375
350
177
3,047
2,145
375
350
85
46
9
37
2,145
1,067
14
17
461
22
141
116
93
22
42
61
27
27
19
16
3,047
1,118
1,115
814
3,047
1,118
1,115
743
70
3,047
747
1,243
1,057
1,115
514
383
219
814
248
209
167
190
3,047
1,057
978
686
326
3,047
803
710
989
454
91
3,047
1,232
376
248
129
245
61
756
3,047
441
2,606
441
238
159
43
3,047
1,404
226
441
119
857
3,047
1,141
603
181
1,123
3,047
62
408
2,577
3,047
545
655
1,219
628
3,047
779
734
511
27
25
97
39
188
647
716
515
202
3,047
780
1,557
710
3,047
545
655
1,219
628
3,047
149
396
472
183
686
192
341
216
411
Donald Trump, Republican

Mentions
% Sample Size
1,438
47.2%
713
49.4%
724
45.2%
1,438
47.2%
181
38.9%
350
47.5%
549
49.1%
357
49.2%
1,438
47.2%
96
39.0%
85
38.9%
212
46.0%
240
48.9%
447
49.4%
203
47.9%
154
51.1%
1,438
47.2%
1,161
54.1%
77
20.6%
125
35.7%
74
41.8%
1,438
47.2%
1,161
54.1%
77
20.6%
125
35.7%
36
42.6%
18
38.8%
5
51.6%
15
41.2%
1,161
54.1%
614
57.5%
10
70.3%
13
78.8%
244
53.1%
9
39.7%
73
51.8%
55
47.7%
43
46.2%
8
35.9%
17
41.1%
31
51.7%
10
38.3%
13
48.6%
13
70.1%
7
39.5%
1,438
47.2%
97
8.7%
1,002
89.9%
338
41.6%
1,438
47.2%
97
8.7%
1,002
89.9%
318
42.8%
20
28.9%
1,438
47.2%
97
13.0%
488
39.3%
852
80.6%
1,002
89.9%
487
94.8%
319
83.3%
197
89.9%
338
41.6%
15
5.9%
183
87.6%
72
42.7%
69
36.6%
1,438
47.2%
523
49.5%
485
49.6%
304
44.3%
126
38.6%
1,438
47.2%
351
43.7%
346
48.7%
508
51.4%
192
42.3%
41
45.0%
1,438
47.2%
567
46.1%
170
45.3%
116
46.9%
72
56.2%
114
46.6%
23
37.4%
374
49.5%
1,438
47.2%
197
44.6%
1,241
47.6%
197
44.6%
109
45.6%
67
42.3%
21
47.9%
1,438
47.2%
737
52.5%
118
51.9%
214
48.6%
50
42.4%
318
37.1%
1,438
47.2%
573
50.2%
289
47.9%
101
55.7%
475
42.3%
1,438
47.2%
28
44.7%
208
51.0%
1,202
46.6%
1,438
47.2%
229
42.0%
329
50.3%
632
51.9%
247
39.3%
1,438
47.2%
466
59.9%
342
46.6%
280
54.7%
15
54.0%
18
71.7%
29
29.8%
12
31.2%
76
40.2%
200
30.9%
463
64.6%
392
76.1%
71
35.3%
1,438
47.2%
298
38.2%
730
46.9%
410
57.8%
1,438
47.2%
229
42.0%
329
50.3%
632
51.9%
247
39.3%
1,438
47.2%
61
41.1%
168
42.4%
234
49.5%
96
52.3%
331
48.3%
117
61.0%
184
53.9%
96
44.6%
150
36.6%
Kamala Harris, Democrat

Mentions
% Sample Size
1,470
48.3%
671
46.5%
799
49.9%
1,470
48.3%
257
55.2%
354
48.0%
515
46.1%
343
47.3%
1,470
48.3%
131
53.2%
126
57.5%
229
49.8%
224
45.7%
417
46.0%
207
48.8%
137
45.3%
1,470
48.3%
897
41.8%
280
74.7%
206
58.9%
87
49.3%
1,470
48.3%
897
41.8%
280
74.7%
206
58.9%
45
52.8%
23
49.4%
3
29.7%
17
46.0%
897
41.8%
419
39.3%
3
20.6%
4
21.2%
193
42.0%
13
56.9%
62
43.8%
55
47.4%
47
50.1%
13
59.4%
23
54.1%
26
42.7%
14
52.5%
13
47.7%
6
29.9%
8
46.0%
1,470
48.3%
1,005
89.9%
90
8.0%
375
46.2%
1,470
48.3%
1,005
89.9%
90
8.0%
348
46.8%
28
39.3%
1,470
48.3%
637
85.4%
669
53.8%
164
15.5%
90
8.0%
22
4.2%
51
13.4%
17
7.6%
375
46.2%
226
91.1%
15
7.1%
71
42.6%
64
33.5%
1,470
48.3%
479
45.3%
453
46.3%
356
51.9%
183
56.2%
1,470
48.3%
393
49.0%
339
47.7%
455
46.0%
241
53.2%
43
46.8%
1,470
48.3%
616
50.0%
185
49.3%
118
47.6%
45
35.0%
118
48.0%
35
56.1%
354
46.8%
1,470
48.3%
223
50.5%
1,248
47.9%
223
50.5%
122
51.1%
81
50.7%
20
46.6%
1,470
48.3%
613
43.7%
98
43.4%
208
47.2%
62
51.7%
490
57.2%
1,470
48.3%
521
45.7%
288
47.7%
68
37.8%
593
52.8%
1,470
48.3%
24
38.6%
188
46.0%
1,258
48.8%
1,470
48.3%
291
53.4%
299
45.6%
542
44.5%
338
53.9%
1,470
48.3%
290
37.2%
360
49.1%
211
41.2%
8
31.0%
5
20.8%
62
64.4%
26
67.5%
101
53.8%
406
62.7%
234
32.6%
111
21.6%
123
60.8%
1,470
48.3%
461
59.1%
745
47.8%
264
37.2%
1,470
48.3%
291
53.4%
299
45.6%
542
44.5%
338
53.9%
1,470
48.3%
81
54.2%
210
53.1%
219
46.3%
80
43.8%
330
48.2%
67
34.8%
145
42.5%
108
50.1%
230
55.9%
Someone else / third party

Mentions
% Sample Size
139
4.6%
60
4.1%
79
4.9%
139
4.6%
27
5.8%
33
4.5%
53
4.8%
25
3.5%
139
4.6%
19
7.8%
8
3.6%
19
4.2%
26
5.4%
41
4.5%
14
3.3%
11
3.6%
139
4.6%
87
4.1%
18
4.7%
19
5.4%
16
8.9%
139
4.6%
87
4.1%
18
4.7%
19
5.4%
4
4.6%
5
11.9%
2
18.7%
5
12.7%
87
4.1%
34
3.2%
1
9.1%
0
0.0%
23
5.0%
1
3.4%
6
4.3%
6
4.9%
3
3.7%
1
4.7%
2
4.8%
3
5.7%
2
9.2%
1
3.7%
0
0.0%
2
14.5%
139
4.6%
16
1.4%
23
2.1%
100
12.3%
139
4.6%
16
1.4%
23
2.1%
77
10.4%
22
31.8%
139
4.6%
12
1.6%
85
6.9%
41
3.9%
23
2.1%
5
1.0%
13
3.3%
5
2.5%
100
12.3%
7
3.0%
11
5.3%
24
14.6%
57
29.9%
139
4.6%
56
5.3%
40
4.1%
26
3.8%
17
5.2%
139
4.6%
59
7.3%
26
3.7%
26
2.6%
21
4.5%
7
8.2%
139
4.6%
49
3.9%
20
5.4%
14
5.6%
11
8.8%
13
5.4%
4
6.4%
28
3.7%
139
4.6%
21
4.9%
118
4.5%
21
4.9%
8
3.4%
11
7.0%
2
5.5%
139
4.6%
54
3.8%
10
4.6%
19
4.3%
7
5.9%
49
5.7%
139
4.6%
47
4.1%
26
4.4%
12
6.5%
54
4.8%
139
4.6%
10
16.7%
12
3.0%
116
4.5%
139
4.6%
25
4.6%
27
4.1%
44
3.6%
43
6.8%
139
4.6%
22
2.9%
31
4.3%
21
4.0%
4
15.0%
2
7.5%
6
5.8%
1
1.3%
11
6.0%
41
6.4%
20
2.8%
12
2.3%
8
3.9%
139
4.6%
21
2.7%
82
5.3%
35
5.0%
139
4.6%
25
4.6%
27
4.1%
44
3.6%
43
6.8%
139
4.6%
7
4.8%
18
4.5%
20
4.2%
7
3.9%
24
3.5%
8
4.3%
12
3.6%
12
5.4%
31
7.5%