Public Polling Project October 2023 National Poll
Weight Variable = National Voter File, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeAge DetailRacePartyIdeologyRepublican IdentificationUnaffiliated LeaningsEducationWhite Non-College / White CollegeIncomeEmploymentUnion HouseholdUnion TypeMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranReligionEvangelicalWhite EvangelicalsAreaRegionLikely Voter Screen2022 Voter2020 Voter2018 Voter2016 Voter2020 VoteNew Likely VotersDirection of CountryBiden ApprovalRepublican Presidential NominationDemocratic Presidential NominationRepublican Candidate-Specific SupportDemocratic Candidate-Specific SupportBiden vs. TrumpBiden vs. Trump vs. KennedyBiden vs. Trump vs. WestBiden vs. Trump vs. Kennedy vs. WestFamily: Comfortable Sharing BeliefsFriends: Comfortable Sharing BeliefsNeighbors: Comfortable Sharing BeliefsCo-workers: Comfortable Sharing BeliefsStrangers: Comfortable Sharing BeliefsPollsters: Comfortable Sharing Beliefs
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465-7475+TotalWhite / NOT HispanicHispanic / LatinoBlack / African AmericanAsian / OtherTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependent / OtherTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalAmerica First RepublicanismTraditional RepublicanismUnsure / No opinionTotalRepublican PartyDemocratic PartyEqually alignedShare little in common with eitherTotalHigh School / LessSome / Associate4-Year / GradAdvanced / PostgradTotalWhite Non-CollegeWhite CollegeTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalMilitaryVeteranNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalYesNoNo opinionTotalWhite EvangelicalsTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalNortheastMidwestSouthWestTotalCertain to voteLikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50Certain NOT to voteTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalJoe BidenDonald TrumpJo JorgensenSomeone elseTotalAll New Likely VotersNew Certain VotersNew Likely VotersTotalRight directionWrong trackUnsure / No opinionTotalStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveUndecidedTotalDonald TrumpRon DeSantisVivek RamaswamyNikki HaleyMike PenceChris ChristieTim ScottWill HurdDoug BurgumLarry ElderAsa HutchinsonRyan BinkleyPerry JohnsonSomeone elseUndecidedTotalJoe BidenRobert Kennedy Jr.Marianne WilliamsonSomeone elseUndecidedTotalI would vote for the party's nomineeI would consider voting for the Democratic nomineeI would consider voting for a third party nomineeI would write-in [question("value"), id="17"]I would not vote at allTotalI would vote for the party's nomineeI would consider voting for the Republican nomineeI would consider voting for a third party nomineeI would write-in [question("value"), id="18"]I would not vote at allTotalDonald Trump, RepublicanJoe Biden, DemocratSomeone else / third partyUndecidedTotalDonald Trump, RepublicanJoe Biden, DemocratRobert F. Kennedy Jr., IndependentSomeone else / third partyUndecidedTotalDonald Trump, RepublicanJoe Biden, DemocratCornel West, IndependentSomeone else / third partyUndecidedTotalDonald Trump, RepublicanJoe Biden, DemocratRobert F. Kennedy Jr., IndependentCornel West, IndependentSomeone else / third partyUndecidedTotalVery comfortableSomewhat comfortableSomewhat uncomfortableVery uncomfortableTotalVery comfortableSomewhat comfortableSomewhat uncomfortableVery uncomfortableTotalVery comfortableSomewhat comfortableSomewhat uncomfortableVery uncomfortableTotalVery comfortableSomewhat comfortableSomewhat uncomfortableVery uncomfortableTotalSomewhat comfortableSomewhat uncomfortableVery comfortableVery uncomfortableTotalVery comfortableSomewhat comfortableSomewhat uncomfortableVery uncomfortable
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter Screen
Sample Size2,181
1,036
1,145
2,181
318
521
783
558
2,181
168
150
334
353
617
397
161
2,181
1,487
273
286
135
2,181
816
824
541
2,181
526
835
820
816
371
296
149
541
145
126
120
150
2,181
449
838
569
325
1,822
1,110
712
2,181
342
489
816
386
148
2,181
1,036
226
108
83
103
46
577
2,181
349
1,832
349
226
106
17
2,181
1,157
154
297
43
530
2,181
886
501
109
686
2,181
53
275
1,853
2,181
858
577
73
62
153
458
858
492
311
54
347
347
2,181
635
1,053
493
2,181
403
478
809
491
2,181
1,771
315
65
30
2,181
1,737
444
2,181
1,957
224
2,181
1,584
597
2,181
1,764
417
1,957
940
928
28
60
138
68
26
44
2,181
550
1,426
205
2,181
422
527
296
874
62
979
550
113
70
57
41
27
20
6
6
4
3
2
2
8
73
992
622
115
49
83
123
979
498
76
112
262
31
992
604
88
117
156
27
2,181
887
850
284
159
2,181
860
817
195
158
150
2,181
886
849
60
214
172
2,181
859
790
185
37
158
152
2,181
1,265
609
225
81
2,181
1,166
690
233
93
2,181
826
690
438
227
2,181
830
634
444
273
2,181
528
461
663
529
2,181
914
587
362
318
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
1,771
81.2%
869
83.8%
902
78.8%
1,771
81.2%
193
60.7%
390
74.9%
679
86.8%
508
91.0%
1,771
81.2%
92
55.0%
101
67.1%
247
73.9%
284
80.5%
539
87.3%
359
90.4%
149
92.3%
1,771
81.2%
1,256
84.4%
202
74.2%
210
73.5%
103
75.9%
1,771
81.2%
685
84.0%
699
84.8%
387
71.5%
1,771
81.2%
452
85.9%
622
74.5%
697
85.0%
685
84.0%
335
90.3%
237
80.0%
113
76.2%
387
71.5%
109
75.2%
94
74.8%
82
67.9%
102
68.0%
1,771
81.2%
313
69.6%
680
81.2%
490
86.0%
288
88.8%
1,510
82.9%
882
79.5%
628
88.2%
1,771
81.2%
257
75.0%
374
76.6%
666
81.7%
347
89.8%
127
85.4%
1,771
81.2%
856
82.6%
162
71.7%
73
67.0%
55
66.4%
76
73.3%
26
55.6%
524
90.7%
1,771
81.2%
278
79.8%
1,492
81.5%
278
79.8%
181
80.2%
83
78.7%
14
81.6%
1,771
81.2%
998
86.3%
123
79.9%
239
80.4%
24
54.4%
387
73.1%
1,771
81.2%
770
86.9%
397
79.4%
73
67.6%
531
77.4%
1,771
81.2%
24
45.5%
229
83.3%
1,517
81.9%
1,771
81.2%
714
83.3%
465
80.5%
60
82.3%
52
83.9%
124
81.3%
356
77.7%
714
83.3%
405
82.2%
272
87.5%
37
68.5%
292
84.3%
292
84.3%
1,771
81.2%
506
79.6%
859
81.6%
406
82.4%
1,771
81.2%
312
77.2%
399
83.5%
642
79.4%
418
85.2%
1,771
81.2%
1,771
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1,771
81.2%
1,560
89.8%
211
47.4%
1,771
81.2%
1,701
87.0%
70
31.0%
1,771
81.2%
1,428
90.1%
343
57.5%
1,771
81.2%
1,555
88.1%
216
51.9%
1,701
87.0%
839
89.2%
802
86.4%
21
75.3%
40
66.4%
61
44.1%
35
51.2%
26
100.0%
0
0.0%
1,771
81.2%
458
83.3%
1,161
81.4%
152
73.8%
1,771
81.2%
379
89.8%
423
80.3%
186
62.8%
752
86.1%
30
49.0%
819
83.7%
482
87.6%
100
89.0%
55
79.3%
48
84.6%
31
75.6%
17
62.7%
14
67.9%
5
78.4%
4
67.3%
2
52.1%
3
100.0%
2
78.4%
0
0.0%
5
64.2%
53
73.1%
831
83.8%
548
88.1%
85
73.8%
34
70.8%
66
80.1%
97
78.8%
819
83.7%
437
87.9%
64
84.2%
83
73.9%
217
82.8%
18
57.7%
831
83.8%
544
90.1%
58
66.3%
91
78.1%
122
78.3%
15
54.9%
1,771
81.2%
746
84.1%
746
87.7%
186
65.6%
93
58.4%
1,771
81.2%
725
84.3%
714
87.4%
124
63.7%
110
69.7%
97
64.5%
1,771
81.2%
742
83.8%
743
87.5%
29
47.7%
149
69.5%
109
63.0%
1,771
81.2%
723
84.2%
690
87.4%
128
69.0%
18
49.3%
114
72.1%
97
64.1%
1,771
81.2%
1,121
88.6%
435
71.4%
158
70.3%
56
69.4%
1,771
81.2%
1,032
88.5%
512
74.2%
164
70.5%
63
67.9%
1,771
81.2%
741
89.7%
526
76.1%
329
75.1%
176
77.4%
1,771
81.2%
742
89.4%
482
76.1%
332
74.7%
215
78.8%
1,771
81.2%
420
79.5%
349
75.9%
587
88.6%
414
78.2%
1,771
81.2%
827
90.5%
442
75.2%
261
72.0%
241
75.9%
Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50

Count
Column %
315
14.5%
128
12.4%
187
16.3%
315
14.5%
90
28.3%
102
19.5%
79
10.1%
45
8.0%
315
14.5%
55
32.7%
35
23.4%
68
20.3%
55
15.7%
58
9.3%
33
8.3%
12
7.3%
315
14.5%
182
12.2%
55
20.2%
53
18.6%
25
18.6%
315
14.5%
107
13.2%
101
12.2%
107
19.8%
315
14.5%
54
10.3%
164
19.6%
97
11.9%
107
13.2%
31
8.4%
52
17.5%
24
16.3%
107
19.8%
31
21.5%
26
20.3%
25
20.5%
26
17.3%
315
14.5%
93
20.7%
119
14.3%
70
12.2%
33
10.3%
245
13.4%
170
15.4%
75
10.5%
315
14.5%
58
16.9%
88
18.0%
118
14.4%
32
8.3%
20
13.5%
315
14.5%
147
14.2%
54
24.0%
22
20.4%
16
19.0%
17
16.8%
13
28.7%
45
7.9%
315
14.5%
59
16.8%
257
14.0%
59
16.8%
40
17.7%
17
16.1%
2
9.6%
315
14.5%
126
10.9%
24
15.5%
47
15.8%
12
27.9%
106
20.0%
315
14.5%
91
10.3%
85
17.0%
26
23.9%
113
16.5%
315
14.5%
20
37.3%
33
12.0%
263
14.2%
315
14.5%
115
13.4%
95
16.4%
8
11.4%
9
13.9%
19
12.6%
69
15.1%
115
13.4%
72
14.6%
32
10.4%
11
20.1%
45
12.8%
45
12.8%
315
14.5%
98
15.5%
151
14.3%
66
13.5%
315
14.5%
72
17.7%
65
13.5%
125
15.5%
54
11.0%
315
14.5%
0
0.0%
315
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
315
14.5%
154
8.8%
162
36.4%
315
14.5%
221
11.3%
95
42.2%
315
14.5%
133
8.4%
182
30.5%
315
14.5%
177
10.0%
139
33.3%
221
11.3%
87
9.3%
112
12.0%
3
11.3%
19
31.4%
77
55.9%
33
48.8%
0
0.0%
44
100.0%
315
14.5%
81
14.7%
199
14.0%
36
17.4%
315
14.5%
38
8.9%
87
16.5%
77
26.1%
95
10.9%
18
28.8%
141
14.4%
62
11.4%
9
8.4%
13
18.6%
9
15.4%
7
18.2%
9
35.2%
5
24.1%
1
14.8%
2
32.7%
2
47.9%
0
0.0%
0
21.6%
2
100.0%
3
35.8%
16
21.7%
135
13.6%
63
10.1%
22
19.0%
13
27.6%
15
18.2%
21
17.2%
141
14.4%
54
10.8%
12
15.2%
26
23.0%
40
15.2%
10
31.7%
135
13.6%
56
9.3%
25
28.9%
21
17.9%
28
18.0%
4
15.9%
315
14.5%
114
12.9%
90
10.6%
72
25.4%
39
24.5%
315
14.5%
108
12.5%
86
10.5%
55
28.1%
40
25.4%
27
17.7%
315
14.5%
114
12.9%
90
10.7%
24
40.4%
51
23.7%
35
20.6%
315
14.5%
112
13.1%
84
10.6%
47
25.1%
12
33.1%
35
22.2%
25
16.8%
315
14.5%
110
8.7%
145
23.7%
50
22.4%
10
12.8%
315
14.5%
103
8.9%
148
21.4%
53
22.6%
12
12.7%
315
14.5%
61
7.4%
132
19.1%
91
20.7%
32
14.1%
315
14.5%
66
7.9%
123
19.5%
92
20.7%
35
12.7%
315
14.5%
88
16.7%
94
20.4%
54
8.2%
79
14.9%
315
14.5%
63
6.9%
120
20.4%
79
21.8%
53
16.7%
Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50

Count
Column %
65
3.0%
28
2.7%
37
3.2%
65
3.0%
29
9.0%
17
3.3%
16
2.0%
4
0.6%
65
3.0%
16
9.4%
13
8.6%
10
2.9%
10
3.0%
13
2.1%
3
0.8%
1
0.3%
65
3.0%
31
2.1%
12
4.4%
16
5.7%
6
4.1%
65
3.0%
17
2.1%
19
2.3%
29
5.4%
65
3.0%
15
2.8%
32
3.9%
18
2.2%
17
2.1%
4
1.0%
5
1.6%
9
5.9%
29
5.4%
4
2.9%
5
3.7%
10
8.4%
10
6.6%
65
3.0%
32
7.1%
23
2.7%
8
1.4%
2
0.7%
42
2.3%
35
3.1%
7
1.0%
65
3.0%
18
5.3%
15
3.1%
26
3.2%
6
1.4%
0
0.0%
65
3.0%
21
2.1%
10
4.2%
9
8.2%
9
10.8%
7
6.6%
5
10.4%
5
0.8%
65
3.0%
10
3.0%
55
3.0%
10
3.0%
5
2.2%
6
5.2%
0
0.0%
65
3.0%
22
1.9%
5
3.3%
8
2.7%
4
9.7%
26
5.0%
65
3.0%
18
2.0%
14
2.8%
8
7.8%
25
3.6%
65
3.0%
9
17.2%
10
3.6%
46
2.5%
65
3.0%
21
2.4%
13
2.3%
4
5.3%
1
1.8%
6
3.7%
20
4.4%
21
2.4%
10
2.1%
6
1.9%
5
9.1%
6
1.6%
6
1.6%
65
3.0%
21
3.2%
31
3.0%
13
2.7%
65
3.0%
15
3.8%
12
2.5%
27
3.4%
10
2.1%
65
3.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
65
100.0%
0
0.0%
65
3.0%
20
1.1%
45
10.2%
65
3.0%
30
1.5%
35
15.5%
65
3.0%
20
1.3%
45
7.5%
65
3.0%
30
1.7%
36
8.5%
30
1.5%
13
1.3%
13
1.4%
4
13.3%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
65
3.0%
10
1.8%
47
3.3%
8
4.1%
65
3.0%
2
0.6%
15
2.8%
25
8.4%
18
2.1%
5
8.0%
19
1.9%
6
1.0%
3
2.6%
1
2.1%
0
0.0%
3
6.2%
1
2.1%
2
8.0%
0
6.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
4
5.1%
27
2.7%
11
1.8%
8
7.1%
1
1.6%
1
1.6%
5
4.0%
19
1.9%
6
1.3%
0
0.6%
3
3.0%
5
2.0%
3
10.6%
27
2.7%
4
0.7%
4
4.8%
5
4.1%
6
3.7%
8
29.3%
65
3.0%
21
2.4%
12
1.4%
21
7.4%
11
7.1%
65
3.0%
22
2.5%
14
1.7%
12
6.2%
4
2.7%
13
8.6%
65
3.0%
21
2.4%
11
1.3%
6
9.7%
12
5.4%
15
8.6%
65
3.0%
19
2.2%
13
1.6%
7
3.8%
5
14.2%
5
3.3%
16
10.8%
65
3.0%
21
1.7%
25
4.1%
12
5.3%
7
8.7%
65
3.0%
18
1.6%
24
3.5%
13
5.8%
9
9.8%
65
3.0%
15
1.8%
27
3.9%
13
3.0%
10
4.6%
65
3.0%
13
1.6%
23
3.6%
17
3.9%
12
4.3%
65
3.0%
16
3.0%
13
2.8%
12
1.9%
24
4.5%
65
3.0%
13
1.5%
21
3.6%
17
4.6%
14
4.3%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
30
1.4%
11
1.0%
19
1.6%
30
1.4%
6
1.9%
12
2.4%
9
1.1%
2
0.4%
30
1.4%
5
2.9%
1
0.9%
10
3.0%
3
0.9%
8
1.3%
2
0.5%
0
0.0%
30
1.4%
19
1.2%
3
1.2%
6
2.2%
2
1.4%
30
1.4%
6
0.7%
6
0.7%
18
3.3%
30
1.4%
5
1.0%
16
2.0%
8
0.9%
6
0.7%
1
0.3%
3
0.9%
2
1.5%
18
3.3%
1
0.4%
1
1.1%
4
3.1%
12
8.1%
30
1.4%
11
2.6%
15
1.8%
2
0.3%
1
0.3%
25
1.3%
23
2.0%
2
0.3%
30
1.4%
9
2.7%
11
2.3%
6
0.7%
2
0.5%
2
1.1%
30
1.4%
12
1.2%
0
0.0%
5
4.4%
3
3.8%
3
3.3%
2
5.3%
4
0.6%
30
1.4%
1
0.4%
28
1.5%
1
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
8.8%
30
1.4%
11
1.0%
2
1.3%
3
1.1%
3
8.0%
10
1.9%
30
1.4%
7
0.8%
4
0.9%
1
0.7%
18
2.6%
30
1.4%
0
0.0%
3
1.1%
27
1.4%
30
1.4%
7
0.9%
5
0.9%
1
1.1%
0
0.4%
4
2.3%
13
2.8%
7
0.9%
5
1.1%
1
0.2%
1
2.3%
4
1.3%
4
1.3%
30
1.4%
11
1.7%
12
1.2%
7
1.4%
30
1.4%
5
1.3%
2
0.4%
14
1.7%
9
1.8%
30
1.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
30
100.0%
30
1.4%
3
0.2%
27
6.0%
30
1.4%
4
0.2%
25
11.3%
30
1.4%
2
0.1%
27
4.6%
30
1.4%
4
0.2%
26
6.3%
4
0.2%
2
0.2%
1
0.2%
0
0.0%
1
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
30
1.4%
1
0.2%
19
1.3%
10
4.6%
30
1.4%
3
0.7%
2
0.4%
8
2.6%
8
0.9%
9
14.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
30
1.4%
6
0.7%
3
0.4%
5
1.6%
16
10.0%
30
1.4%
5
0.6%
3
0.4%
4
2.0%
4
2.2%
14
9.2%
30
1.4%
8
0.9%
4
0.5%
1
2.2%
3
1.4%
14
7.9%
30
1.4%
5
0.6%
3
0.4%
4
2.1%
1
3.5%
4
2.4%
13
8.4%
30
1.4%
13
1.1%
4
0.7%
4
2.0%
7
9.1%
30
1.4%
12
1.0%
6
0.9%
3
1.1%
9
9.7%
30
1.4%
9
1.1%
6
0.9%
5
1.2%
9
3.9%
30
1.4%
9
1.1%
5
0.8%
4
0.8%
12
4.3%
30
1.4%
4
0.7%
4
0.9%
9
1.3%
13
2.5%
30
1.4%
10
1.1%
5
0.8%
5
1.5%
10
3.1%
In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?
Party Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary ParticipationParty Primary Participation
Sample Size2,151
1,025
1,126
2,151
312
509
774
556
2,151
163
149
324
350
609
395
161
2,151
1,469
269
280
133
2,151
810
819
523
2,151
520
819
812
810
370
293
147
523
144
124
117
138
2,151
438
822
567
324
1,797
1,087
710
2,151
333
477
810
384
147
2,151
1,024
226
104
80
100
44
574
2,151
348
1,804
348
226
106
15
2,151
1,146
152
294
40
520
2,151
879
496
108
668
2,151
53
272
1,826
2,151
850
573
73
62
149
445
850
487
310
53
342
342
2,151
624
1,041
486
2,151
398
476
795
482
2,151
1,771
315
65
-
2,151
1,734
418
2,151
1,952
199
2,151
1,581
570
2,151
1,761
390
1,952
938
926
28
59
138
68
26
44
2,151
549
1,407
196
2,151
420
525
288
866
53
979
550
113
70
57
41
27
20
6
6
4
3
2
2
8
73
992
622
115
49
83
123
979
498
76
112
262
31
992
604
88
117
156
27
2,151
881
847
280
143
2,151
855
814
191
155
136
2,151
878
845
59
211
159
2,151
854
787
181
36
155
139
2,151
1,252
605
220
74
2,151
1,154
684
230
84
2,151
817
684
433
218
2,151
821
629
441
261
2,151
524
457
654
516
2,151
904
583
356
308
Republican

Count
Column %
979
45.5%
495
48.3%
484
43.0%
979
45.5%
127
40.8%
185
36.4%
392
50.6%
275
49.4%
979
45.5%
60
36.8%
67
45.1%
101
31.2%
170
48.6%
306
50.2%
204
51.6%
71
43.9%
979
45.5%
764
52.0%
111
41.1%
47
16.7%
58
43.3%
979
45.5%
751
92.7%
28
3.5%
200
38.2%
979
45.5%
53
10.1%
295
36.0%
632
77.8%
751
92.7%
349
94.5%
266
90.8%
135
92.2%
200
38.2%
115
79.6%
13
10.3%
30
25.9%
42
30.4%
979
45.5%
224
51.1%
399
48.6%
235
41.4%
121
37.2%
859
47.8%
564
51.8%
295
41.6%
979
45.5%
133
39.9%
217
45.4%
417
51.4%
162
42.2%
51
34.7%
979
45.5%
464
45.3%
96
42.3%
45
43.6%
35
44.3%
42
42.2%
14
31.9%
283
49.3%
979
45.5%
124
35.6%
855
47.4%
124
35.6%
81
36.0%
39
37.0%
3
19.7%
979
45.5%
563
49.1%
78
51.2%
130
44.3%
17
43.2%
191
36.8%
979
45.5%
445
50.6%
228
45.9%
39
36.4%
267
39.9%
979
45.5%
27
51.4%
130
47.8%
821
45.0%
979
45.5%
485
57.0%
258
45.0%
35
48.1%
14
22.2%
61
41.0%
126
28.4%
485
57.0%
311
63.8%
152
48.9%
22
42.5%
247
72.2%
247
72.2%
979
45.5%
215
34.5%
495
47.6%
268
55.2%
979
45.5%
155
38.9%
209
43.9%
395
49.7%
220
45.6%
979
45.5%
819
46.3%
141
44.6%
19
28.9%
-
-
979
45.5%
822
47.4%
157
37.5%
979
45.5%
899
46.0%
80
40.3%
979
45.5%
751
47.5%
228
40.1%
979
45.5%
814
46.2%
165
42.4%
899
46.0%
73
7.8%
798
86.1%
9
31.6%
19
31.9%
54
38.9%
28
41.1%
5
19.2%
21
47.0%
979
45.5%
87
15.8%
848
60.3%
44
22.5%
979
45.5%
31
7.4%
86
16.4%
125
43.4%
727
83.9%
11
20.2%
979
100.0%
550
100.0%
113
100.0%
70
100.0%
57
100.0%
41
100.0%
27
100.0%
20
100.0%
6
100.0%
6
100.0%
4
100.0%
3
100.0%
2
100.0%
2
100.0%
8
100.0%
73
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
979
100.0%
498
100.0%
76
100.0%
112
100.0%
262
100.0%
31
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
979
45.5%
770
87.4%
49
5.8%
113
40.5%
47
32.6%
979
45.5%
751
87.8%
47
5.8%
73
38.0%
61
39.3%
47
34.5%
979
45.5%
768
87.6%
52
6.1%
19
31.9%
82
38.8%
58
36.6%
979
45.5%
743
87.0%
42
5.3%
67
37.2%
14
38.2%
60
39.0%
53
37.8%
979
45.5%
586
46.8%
281
46.5%
83
37.8%
28
38.1%
979
45.5%
542
46.9%
307
44.9%
99
43.1%
31
37.4%
979
45.5%
403
49.4%
315
46.1%
180
41.5%
80
36.9%
979
45.5%
400
48.7%
280
44.6%
191
43.4%
108
41.3%
979
45.5%
233
44.5%
206
45.0%
336
51.3%
205
39.6%
979
45.5%
456
50.5%
238
40.9%
156
43.9%
128
41.5%
Democratic

Count
Column %
992
46.1%
433
42.2%
559
49.6%
992
46.1%
161
51.4%
289
56.7%
309
40.0%
233
41.9%
992
46.1%
86
52.4%
75
50.3%
201
62.1%
152
43.5%
244
40.1%
157
39.8%
76
47.0%
992
46.1%
594
40.4%
139
51.4%
203
72.8%
55
41.5%
992
46.1%
38
4.7%
772
94.3%
182
34.8%
992
46.1%
444
85.4%
420
51.3%
128
15.7%
38
4.7%
14
3.8%
19
6.6%
5
3.3%
182
34.8%
12
8.1%
99
79.4%
38
32.7%
33
24.2%
992
46.1%
181
41.4%
357
43.4%
282
49.6%
172
53.2%
795
44.2%
440
40.5%
354
49.9%
992
46.1%
163
48.9%
226
47.3%
326
40.2%
191
49.8%
86
58.6%
992
46.1%
484
47.3%
102
45.3%
52
49.8%
36
45.5%
45
44.7%
29
65.8%
244
42.5%
992
46.1%
207
59.5%
785
43.5%
207
59.5%
138
60.8%
60
56.4%
10
63.3%
992
46.1%
508
44.3%
62
40.9%
122
41.6%
20
49.5%
280
53.9%
992
46.1%
367
41.7%
229
46.2%
57
52.6%
339
50.7%
992
46.1%
22
40.7%
114
42.1%
856
46.9%
992
46.1%
291
34.3%
274
47.8%
31
42.8%
47
76.0%
75
50.7%
273
61.4%
291
34.3%
149
30.6%
124
40.0%
18
33.8%
78
22.9%
78
22.9%
992
46.1%
363
58.1%
443
42.5%
186
38.3%
992
46.1%
213
53.6%
219
46.0%
334
42.0%
225
46.7%
992
46.1%
831
46.9%
135
42.7%
27
40.7%
-
-
992
46.1%
817
47.1%
174
41.8%
992
46.1%
905
46.4%
87
43.5%
992
46.1%
734
46.4%
257
45.1%
992
46.1%
809
46.0%
182
46.7%
905
46.4%
797
85.0%
75
8.1%
11
38.3%
21
36.3%
63
45.5%
28
41.3%
16
63.1%
18
41.6%
992
46.1%
433
78.9%
430
30.5%
129
65.8%
992
46.1%
376
89.6%
392
74.7%
135
46.8%
66
7.6%
23
42.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
992
100.0%
622
100.0%
115
100.0%
49
100.0%
83
100.0%
123
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
992
100.0%
604
100.0%
88
100.0%
117
100.0%
156
100.0%
27
100.0%
992
46.1%
69
7.8%
756
89.2%
108
38.5%
59
41.4%
992
46.1%
65
7.6%
726
89.3%
88
45.7%
59
37.9%
54
39.4%
992
46.1%
69
7.9%
751
88.9%
34
58.7%
74
35.1%
63
39.7%
992
46.1%
74
8.7%
705
89.6%
87
48.2%
15
43.4%
56
36.5%
53
38.4%
992
46.1%
591
47.2%
272
45.0%
99
44.9%
30
40.3%
992
46.1%
553
48.0%
308
45.0%
95
41.1%
36
42.9%
992
46.1%
381
46.7%
307
44.9%
195
44.9%
109
50.0%
992
46.1%
385
47.0%
301
47.9%
191
43.3%
114
43.7%
992
46.1%
250
47.7%
205
45.0%
295
45.1%
241
46.7%
992
46.1%
402
44.5%
291
50.0%
160
44.9%
138
44.8%
Unlikely OR Ineligible to vote

Count
Column %
181
8.4%
98
9.5%
83
7.4%
181
8.4%
24
7.8%
35
6.9%
73
9.4%
49
8.7%
181
8.4%
17
10.7%
7
4.6%
21
6.6%
27
7.8%
59
9.7%
34
8.6%
15
9.1%
181
8.4%
111
7.6%
20
7.4%
29
10.5%
20
15.2%
181
8.4%
21
2.6%
19
2.3%
141
27.0%
181
8.4%
24
4.5%
104
12.7%
53
6.5%
21
2.6%
6
1.7%
8
2.6%
7
4.5%
141
27.0%
18
12.4%
13
10.3%
48
41.4%
63
45.3%
181
8.4%
33
7.5%
66
8.0%
51
8.9%
31
9.6%
144
8.0%
83
7.6%
61
8.6%
181
8.4%
37
11.2%
35
7.3%
68
8.4%
31
8.0%
10
6.7%
181
8.4%
76
7.5%
28
12.4%
7
6.5%
8
10.2%
13
13.1%
1
2.3%
47
8.2%
181
8.4%
17
4.9%
164
9.1%
17
4.9%
7
3.3%
7
6.6%
3
17.0%
181
8.4%
76
6.6%
12
7.9%
42
14.1%
3
7.3%
48
9.3%
181
8.4%
67
7.6%
39
7.9%
12
10.9%
62
9.3%
181
8.4%
4
7.9%
27
10.1%
149
8.2%
181
8.4%
74
8.7%
41
7.2%
7
9.1%
1
1.8%
12
8.3%
46
10.2%
74
8.7%
27
5.6%
34
11.0%
13
23.8%
17
4.9%
17
4.9%
181
8.4%
47
7.4%
103
9.9%
31
6.5%
181
8.4%
30
7.5%
48
10.1%
66
8.2%
37
7.7%
181
8.4%
121
6.8%
40
12.7%
20
30.4%
-
-
181
8.4%
94
5.4%
87
20.7%
181
8.4%
149
7.6%
32
16.2%
181
8.4%
96
6.1%
84
14.8%
181
8.4%
138
7.8%
43
10.9%
149
7.6%
68
7.2%
53
5.8%
9
30.1%
19
31.9%
22
15.6%
12
17.6%
5
17.6%
5
11.4%
181
8.4%
29
5.3%
129
9.2%
23
11.7%
181
8.4%
13
3.0%
47
8.9%
28
9.8%
73
8.5%
20
36.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
181
8.4%
42
4.8%
42
5.0%
59
21.0%
37
26.0%
181
8.4%
39
4.5%
40
4.9%
31
16.3%
35
22.8%
36
26.1%
181
8.4%
40
4.6%
42
5.0%
5
9.4%
55
26.1%
38
23.7%
181
8.4%
37
4.3%
40
5.1%
27
14.6%
7
18.4%
38
24.5%
33
23.8%
181
8.4%
75
6.0%
52
8.5%
38
17.3%
16
21.5%
181
8.4%
59
5.1%
69
10.1%
36
15.8%
16
19.6%
181
8.4%
32
3.9%
61
9.0%
59
13.6%
29
13.1%
181
8.4%
36
4.4%
47
7.5%
59
13.4%
39
15.0%
181
8.4%
41
7.8%
46
10.0%
24
3.6%
71
13.7%
181
8.4%
45
5.0%
53
9.1%
40
11.2%
42
13.7%