CD Media Big Data Poll: Arizona Midterm Elections October 2022

Weight Variable = Arizona Likely Midterm Election Voters, Confidence Level = 95%

	Gender				Age						Race						Party					Party Detail						Ideology					Education						Income							No College / College				Employment									Marital							Parental						Military / Veteran					Religion						Place of Birth					Place of Birth Detail																																																							Generation						Area					Region					Voting Likelihood					Voting Enthusiasm							Voting Method					Mode
	Total	Male	Female		Total	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+		Total	White / Caucasian	Hispanic / Latino	Black / African American	Asian / Other		Total	Republican	Democrat	Other		Total	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Something else		Total	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative		Total	HS / Less	Some / Associate	4-Year Degree	Advanced Degree		Total	Under $30,000	$30,000 - $49,999	$50,000 - $99,999	$100,000 - $199,999	$200,000 or more		Total	Some / Less	4-Year / Advanced		Total	Employed, full time	Employed, part time	Unemployed, looking	Unemployed, NOT looking	Disabled	Student	Retired		Total	Married	Widowed	Divorced	Separated	Single		Total	Yes, all 18 or over	Yes, one or more school-aged under 18	Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-aged	No		Total	Military	Veteran	No		Total	Protestant / Other Christian	Catholic	Another religion	No religion		Total	Arizona	U.S. / NOT Arizona	Outside U.S.		Total	Alabama	Alaska	Arizona	Arkansas	California	Colorado	Connecticut	Florida	Georgia	Hawaii	Idaho	Illinois	Indiana	Iowa	Kansas	Kentucky	Louisiana	Maine	Maryland	Massachusetts	Michigan	Minnesota	Mississippi	Missouri	Montana	Nebraska	Nevada	New Hampshire	New Jersey	New Mexico	New York	North Carolina	North Dakota	Ohio	Oklahoma	Oregon	Outside U.S.	Pennsylvania	Puerto Rico	Rhode Island	South Carolina	South Dakota	Tennessee	Texas	Utah	Vermont	Virgin Islands	Virginia	Washington	Washington, D.C.	West Virginia	Wisconsin	Wyoming		Total	First Generation	Second Generation	Third Generation / More	Not U.S. Native		Total	Urban	Suburban	Rural		Total	Maricopa	Pima	Rest of State		Total	Certain to vote	Likely to vote, meaning the odds are equal or greater than 50/50	Unlikely but possible to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50		Total	Extremely	Very	Moderately	Slightly	Not at all		Total	Absentee Ballot Early Mail	Absentee Ballot ED Drop	Election Day		Total	OSP/ISP	P2P/SMS
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?							If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?				If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?									If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?							If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?																																																							If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?						If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?							If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?					If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?
Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot							Generic Ballot				Generic Ballot									Generic Ballot							Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot																																																							Generic Ballot						Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot							Generic Ballot					Generic Ballot
Sample Size	974	471	503		974	130	197	345	303		974	745	152	51	26		974	365	290	318		974	365	290	277	42		974	215	353	406		974	182	382	265	145		974	133	186	307	244	104		974	564	410		974	438	86	50	48	39	18	295		974	602	56	111	20	185		974	470	164	54	287		974	15	143	816		974	391	185	104	294		974	336	607	31		974	4	1	336	5	111	17	10	14	1	6	7	53	18	15	10	3	5	2	6	14	23	22	2	8	5	8	4	1	12	14	36	3	3	20	6	7	31	34	1	5	2	3	3	20	11	1	2	8	15	5	1	15	4		943	71	201	666	5		974	295	537	143		974	595	148	231		974	878	85	10		974	626	165	129	32	22		974	557	104	313		974	308	666
Republican candidate Count Column %	475 48.7%	258 54.8%	216 43.1%		475 48.7%	53 41.0%	93 47.4%	181 52.5%	147 48.6%		475 48.7%	368 49.4%	78 51.6%	18 36.1%	10 38.8%		475 48.7%	336 91.9%	10 3.6%	129 40.4%		475 48.7%	336 91.9%	10 3.6%	112 40.4%	17 40.8%		475 48.7%	9 4.2%	103 29.3%	362 89.2%		475 48.7%	89 48.7%	205 53.6%	125 47.2%	56 38.8%		475 48.7%	60 44.8%	83 44.5%	134 43.8%	130 53.0%	68 66.1%		475 48.7%	293 52.0%	181 44.2%		475 48.7%	220 50.2%	45 52.9%	20 41.2%	22 45.9%	14 35.9%	5 28.6%	148 50.1%		475 48.7%	312 51.8%	29 52.3%	50 44.9%	7 35.9%	76 41.3%		475 48.7%	260 55.3%	79 48.1%	26 48.2%	110 38.5%		475 48.7%	7 46.8%	92 64.0%	376 46.1%		475 48.7%	255 65.1%	99 53.6%	40 38.4%	81 27.6%		475 48.7%	151 44.9%	310 51.0%	14 46.1%		475 48.7%	2 36.5%	1 100.0%	151 44.9%	1 20.2%	57 51.2%	12 71.0%	6 59.9%	4 29.2%	0 0.0%	3 45.0%	6 84.2%	29 55.5%	7 40.3%	7 45.2%	6 63.1%	2 76.6%	3 52.3%	1 30.5%	4 68.4%	8 56.6%	13 54.6%	10 46.7%	1 71.2%	5 57.0%	4 76.0%	5 59.4%	2 57.0%	0 0.0%	4 30.5%	10 68.7%	19 52.2%	0 0.0%	2 54.7%	5 25.8%	2 35.3%	7 100.0%	14 46.1%	14 40.5%	0 0.0%	3 57.4%	2 100.0%	0 16.2%	1 32.5%	11 56.1%	5 47.1%	1 100.0%	2 100.0%	1 16.1%	8 51.5%	3 67.3%	0 0.0%	7 45.6%	4 86.0%		461 48.8%	38 53.2%	93 46.5%	326 48.9%	4 69.7%		475 48.7%	114 38.6%	273 50.8%	89 62.1%		475 48.7%	291 49.0%	57 38.7%	126 54.6%		475 48.7%	446 50.8%	26 30.0%	3 31.4%		475 48.7%	336 53.7%	80 48.4%	47 36.4%	8 25.8%	3 15.0%		475 48.7%	185 33.2%	72 69.5%	218 69.5%		475 48.7%	111 36.1%	364 54.6%
Democratic candidate Count Column %	407 41.8%	175 37.2%	232 46.1%		407 41.8%	54 41.3%	83 42.3%	139 40.4%	131 43.2%		407 41.8%	317 42.6%	52 34.0%	25 50.3%	13 47.9%		407 41.8%	16 4.4%	271 93.5%	120 37.6%		407 41.8%	16 4.4%	271 93.5%	106 38.3%	14 32.6%		407 41.8%	191 88.8%	194 55.0%	22 5.4%		407 41.8%	68 37.1%	144 37.7%	117 44.2%	78 54.0%		407 41.8%	59 44.5%	84 44.9%	140 45.5%	94 38.3%	31 30.0%		407 41.8%	212 37.5%	195 47.7%		407 41.8%	179 40.9%	33 38.0%	24 49.3%	17 36.0%	19 48.5%	7 38.2%	127 43.2%		407 41.8%	239 39.7%	21 37.9%	48 43.1%	12 59.7%	87 47.2%		407 41.8%	170 36.2%	62 38.1%	24 45.4%	150 52.4%		407 41.8%	4 28.1%	41 28.8%	362 44.3%		407 41.8%	101 25.7%	69 37.4%	50 47.8%	188 63.8%		407 41.8%	138 41.0%	255 42.1%	14 44.3%		407 41.8%	3 63.5%	0 0.0%	138 41.0%	1 24.3%	48 43.1%	4 25.0%	4 40.1%	9 63.6%	1 100.0%	3 55.0%	0 0.0%	22 41.1%	9 52.8%	8 54.8%	3 28.8%	1 23.4%	3 47.7%	1 69.5%	1 20.1%	6 43.4%	8 35.9%	11 51.3%	0 28.8%	3 43.0%	1 24.0%	2 28.3%	2 43.0%	1 100.0%	7 55.6%	3 18.8%	13 36.8%	0 0.0%	1 29.7%	12 62.6%	4 64.7%	0 0.0%	14 44.3%	19 54.7%	1 100.0%	2 33.3%	0 0.0%	2 83.8%	2 67.5%	5 26.9%	5 46.1%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	7 83.9%	5 35.4%	2 32.7%	0 0.0%	8 54.4%	1 14.0%		393 41.7%	29 41.1%	84 41.7%	279 41.9%	2 30.3%		407 41.8%	147 49.8%	223 41.5%	38 26.5%		407 41.8%	248 41.7%	78 52.8%	81 35.0%		407 41.8%	368 41.9%	34 39.8%	5 51.6%		407 41.8%	261 41.7%	73 44.6%	52 40.2%	14 44.4%	7 29.8%		407 41.8%	318 57.1%	21 19.8%	69 21.9%		407 41.8%	148 48.0%	259 38.9%
Someone else Count Column %	15 1.5%	9 1.8%	6 1.3%		15 1.5%	7 5.1%	1 0.7%	4 1.2%	3 1.0%		15 1.5%	10 1.3%	5 3.3%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%		15 1.5%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	15 4.7%		15 1.5%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	12 4.5%	3 6.5%		15 1.5%	5 2.5%	7 2.1%	2 0.6%		15 1.5%	5 2.9%	3 0.7%	4 1.6%	3 2.1%		15 1.5%	1 0.7%	5 2.7%	5 1.5%	3 1.1%	2 1.8%		15 1.5%	8 1.4%	7 1.8%		15 1.5%	8 1.8%	2 1.8%	0 0.0%	1 2.4%	2 5.9%	0 0.0%	2 0.8%		15 1.5%	10 1.6%	0 0.0%	1 0.7%	1 4.5%	4 1.9%		15 1.5%	9 1.9%	0 0.3%	0 0.0%	6 2.0%		15 1.5%	0 0.0%	4 2.5%	11 1.4%		15 1.5%	3 0.8%	2 1.0%	7 6.5%	3 1.2%		15 1.5%	10 3.1%	5 0.8%	0 0.0%		15 1.5%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	10 3.1%	0 0.0%	1 0.6%	1 4.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.8%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	2 4.4%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	1 2.3%	0 0.0%	0 9.3%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%		15 1.6%	1 1.0%	3 1.4%	12 1.7%	0 0.0%		15 1.5%	6 1.9%	5 1.0%	4 2.9%		15 1.5%	9 1.5%	1 0.4%	6 2.5%		15 1.5%	8 0.9%	6 7.5%	1 10.2%		15 1.5%	2 0.4%	1 0.8%	7 5.3%	0 0.0%	5 20.6%		15 1.5%	10 1.9%	0 0.0%	5 1.5%		15 1.5%	7 2.3%	8 1.2%
Undecided Count Column %	77 7.9%	29 6.2%	48 9.6%		77 7.9%	16 12.6%	19 9.6%	20 5.9%	22 7.1%		77 7.9%	50 6.7%	17 11.1%	7 13.7%	3 13.3%		77 7.9%	14 3.8%	8 2.9%	55 17.3%		77 7.9%	14 3.8%	8 2.9%	47 16.8%	8 20.1%		77 7.9%	10 4.5%	48 13.6%	19 4.8%		77 7.9%	21 11.4%	30 8.0%	18 7.0%	7 5.2%		77 7.9%	13 10.1%	15 7.9%	28 9.2%	19 7.6%	2 2.2%		77 7.9%	51 9.1%	26 6.3%		77 7.9%	31 7.1%	6 7.3%	5 9.5%	8 15.8%	4 9.7%	6 33.1%	17 5.9%		77 7.9%	41 6.8%	5 9.8%	13 11.4%	0 0.0%	18 9.6%		77 7.9%	31 6.5%	22 13.6%	3 6.4%	21 7.2%		77 7.9%	4 25.1%	7 4.6%	67 8.2%		77 7.9%	33 8.4%	15 8.0%	8 7.3%	22 7.4%		77 7.9%	37 11.0%	37 6.1%	3 9.6%		77 7.9%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	37 11.0%	3 55.5%	6 5.1%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	1 7.2%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	1 15.8%	1 2.5%	1 7.0%	0 0.0%	1 8.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	1 11.5%	0 0.0%	2 9.6%	0 2.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	1 12.3%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	2 13.9%	2 12.5%	2 6.6%	3 100.0%	0 15.7%	2 11.5%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	3 9.6%	1 2.6%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	3 17.0%	1 6.8%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	2 13.1%	0 0.0%	1 100.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%		74 7.9%	3 4.7%	21 10.4%	50 7.5%	0 0.0%		77 7.9%	29 9.8%	36 6.8%	12 8.4%		77 7.9%	47 7.9%	12 8.1%	18 7.9%		77 7.9%	57 6.5%	19 22.7%	1 6.8%		77 7.9%	26 4.2%	10 6.2%	23 18.1%	10 29.7%	8 34.6%		77 7.9%	44 7.9%	11 10.7%	22 7.1%		77 7.9%	42 13.6%	35 5.3%


Do not show this message again


Do not show this message again



Do not show this message again