CD Media Big Data Poll: Arizona Midterm Elections October 2022
Weight Variable = Arizona Likely Midterm Election Voters, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeRacePartyParty DetailIdeologyEducationIncomeNo College / CollegeEmploymentMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranReligionPlace of BirthPlace of Birth DetailGenerationAreaRegionVoting LikelihoodVoting EnthusiasmVoting MethodMode
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+TotalWhite / CaucasianHispanic / LatinoBlack / African AmericanAsian / OtherTotalRepublicanDemocratOtherTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependentSomething elseTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalHS / LessSome / Associate4-Year DegreeAdvanced DegreeTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalSome / Less4-Year / AdvancedTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalMilitaryVeteranNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicAnother religionNo religionTotalArizonaU.S. / NOT ArizonaOutside U.S.TotalAlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutFloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMarylandMassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonOutside U.S.PennsylvaniaPuerto RicoRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirgin IslandsVirginiaWashingtonWashington, D.C.West VirginiaWisconsinWyomingTotalFirst GenerationSecond GenerationThird Generation / MoreNot U.S. NativeTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalMaricopaPimaRest of StateTotalCertain to voteLikely to vote, meaning the odds are equal or greater than 50/50Unlikely but possible to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50TotalExtremelyVeryModeratelySlightlyNot at allTotalAbsentee Ballot Early MailAbsentee Ballot ED DropElection DayTotalOSP/ISPP2P/SMS
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?
Generic BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric Ballot
Sample Size974
471
503
974
130
197
345
303
974
745
152
51
26
974
365
290
318
974
365
290
277
42
974
215
353
406
974
182
382
265
145
974
133
186
307
244
104
974
564
410
974
438
86
50
48
39
18
295
974
602
56
111
20
185
974
470
164
54
287
974
15
143
816
974
391
185
104
294
974
336
607
31
974
4
1
336
5
111
17
10
14
1
6
7
53
18
15
10
3
5
2
6
14
23
22
2
8
5
8
4
1
12
14
36
3
3
20
6
7
31
34
1
5
2
3
3
20
11
1
2
8
15
5
1
15
4
943
71
201
666
5
974
295
537
143
974
595
148
231
974
878
85
10
974
626
165
129
32
22
974
557
104
313
974
308
666
Republican candidate

Count
Column %
475
48.7%
258
54.8%
216
43.1%
475
48.7%
53
41.0%
93
47.4%
181
52.5%
147
48.6%
475
48.7%
368
49.4%
78
51.6%
18
36.1%
10
38.8%
475
48.7%
336
91.9%
10
3.6%
129
40.4%
475
48.7%
336
91.9%
10
3.6%
112
40.4%
17
40.8%
475
48.7%
9
4.2%
103
29.3%
362
89.2%
475
48.7%
89
48.7%
205
53.6%
125
47.2%
56
38.8%
475
48.7%
60
44.8%
83
44.5%
134
43.8%
130
53.0%
68
66.1%
475
48.7%
293
52.0%
181
44.2%
475
48.7%
220
50.2%
45
52.9%
20
41.2%
22
45.9%
14
35.9%
5
28.6%
148
50.1%
475
48.7%
312
51.8%
29
52.3%
50
44.9%
7
35.9%
76
41.3%
475
48.7%
260
55.3%
79
48.1%
26
48.2%
110
38.5%
475
48.7%
7
46.8%
92
64.0%
376
46.1%
475
48.7%
255
65.1%
99
53.6%
40
38.4%
81
27.6%
475
48.7%
151
44.9%
310
51.0%
14
46.1%
475
48.7%
2
36.5%
1
100.0%
151
44.9%
1
20.2%
57
51.2%
12
71.0%
6
59.9%
4
29.2%
0
0.0%
3
45.0%
6
84.2%
29
55.5%
7
40.3%
7
45.2%
6
63.1%
2
76.6%
3
52.3%
1
30.5%
4
68.4%
8
56.6%
13
54.6%
10
46.7%
1
71.2%
5
57.0%
4
76.0%
5
59.4%
2
57.0%
0
0.0%
4
30.5%
10
68.7%
19
52.2%
0
0.0%
2
54.7%
5
25.8%
2
35.3%
7
100.0%
14
46.1%
14
40.5%
0
0.0%
3
57.4%
2
100.0%
0
16.2%
1
32.5%
11
56.1%
5
47.1%
1
100.0%
2
100.0%
1
16.1%
8
51.5%
3
67.3%
0
0.0%
7
45.6%
4
86.0%
461
48.8%
38
53.2%
93
46.5%
326
48.9%
4
69.7%
475
48.7%
114
38.6%
273
50.8%
89
62.1%
475
48.7%
291
49.0%
57
38.7%
126
54.6%
475
48.7%
446
50.8%
26
30.0%
3
31.4%
475
48.7%
336
53.7%
80
48.4%
47
36.4%
8
25.8%
3
15.0%
475
48.7%
185
33.2%
72
69.5%
218
69.5%
475
48.7%
111
36.1%
364
54.6%
Democratic candidate

Count
Column %
407
41.8%
175
37.2%
232
46.1%
407
41.8%
54
41.3%
83
42.3%
139
40.4%
131
43.2%
407
41.8%
317
42.6%
52
34.0%
25
50.3%
13
47.9%
407
41.8%
16
4.4%
271
93.5%
120
37.6%
407
41.8%
16
4.4%
271
93.5%
106
38.3%
14
32.6%
407
41.8%
191
88.8%
194
55.0%
22
5.4%
407
41.8%
68
37.1%
144
37.7%
117
44.2%
78
54.0%
407
41.8%
59
44.5%
84
44.9%
140
45.5%
94
38.3%
31
30.0%
407
41.8%
212
37.5%
195
47.7%
407
41.8%
179
40.9%
33
38.0%
24
49.3%
17
36.0%
19
48.5%
7
38.2%
127
43.2%
407
41.8%
239
39.7%
21
37.9%
48
43.1%
12
59.7%
87
47.2%
407
41.8%
170
36.2%
62
38.1%
24
45.4%
150
52.4%
407
41.8%
4
28.1%
41
28.8%
362
44.3%
407
41.8%
101
25.7%
69
37.4%
50
47.8%
188
63.8%
407
41.8%
138
41.0%
255
42.1%
14
44.3%
407
41.8%
3
63.5%
0
0.0%
138
41.0%
1
24.3%
48
43.1%
4
25.0%
4
40.1%
9
63.6%
1
100.0%
3
55.0%
0
0.0%
22
41.1%
9
52.8%
8
54.8%
3
28.8%
1
23.4%
3
47.7%
1
69.5%
1
20.1%
6
43.4%
8
35.9%
11
51.3%
0
28.8%
3
43.0%
1
24.0%
2
28.3%
2
43.0%
1
100.0%
7
55.6%
3
18.8%
13
36.8%
0
0.0%
1
29.7%
12
62.6%
4
64.7%
0
0.0%
14
44.3%
19
54.7%
1
100.0%
2
33.3%
0
0.0%
2
83.8%
2
67.5%
5
26.9%
5
46.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
7
83.9%
5
35.4%
2
32.7%
0
0.0%
8
54.4%
1
14.0%
393
41.7%
29
41.1%
84
41.7%
279
41.9%
2
30.3%
407
41.8%
147
49.8%
223
41.5%
38
26.5%
407
41.8%
248
41.7%
78
52.8%
81
35.0%
407
41.8%
368
41.9%
34
39.8%
5
51.6%
407
41.8%
261
41.7%
73
44.6%
52
40.2%
14
44.4%
7
29.8%
407
41.8%
318
57.1%
21
19.8%
69
21.9%
407
41.8%
148
48.0%
259
38.9%
Someone else

Count
Column %
15
1.5%
9
1.8%
6
1.3%
15
1.5%
7
5.1%
1
0.7%
4
1.2%
3
1.0%
15
1.5%
10
1.3%
5
3.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
4.7%
15
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
12
4.5%
3
6.5%
15
1.5%
5
2.5%
7
2.1%
2
0.6%
15
1.5%
5
2.9%
3
0.7%
4
1.6%
3
2.1%
15
1.5%
1
0.7%
5
2.7%
5
1.5%
3
1.1%
2
1.8%
15
1.5%
8
1.4%
7
1.8%
15
1.5%
8
1.8%
2
1.8%
0
0.0%
1
2.4%
2
5.9%
0
0.0%
2
0.8%
15
1.5%
10
1.6%
0
0.0%
1
0.7%
1
4.5%
4
1.9%
15
1.5%
9
1.9%
0
0.3%
0
0.0%
6
2.0%
15
1.5%
0
0.0%
4
2.5%
11
1.4%
15
1.5%
3
0.8%
2
1.0%
7
6.5%
3
1.2%
15
1.5%
10
3.1%
5
0.8%
0
0.0%
15
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
10
3.1%
0
0.0%
1
0.6%
1
4.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%