Keystone State Big Data Poll October 2022
Weight Variable = Pennsylvania Likely Voters, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeAge DetailRacePartyParty DetailIdeologyEducationIncomeEmploymentUnion HouseholdUnion TypeMaritalParentalReligionAreaRegionVoting LikelihoodVoting EnthusiasmMost Important Issue
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465+TotalWhite / CaucasianBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependent / OtherTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependentSomething elseTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalHS / LessSome / Associate4-Year / UndergradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPrivatePublicBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalPhiladelphiaSoutheastNortheastDutchCentralWestAlleghenyTotalCertain to vote AND already votedCertain to vote BUT haven't voted yetLikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50TotalExtremelyVeryModeratelySlightlyNot at allTotalAbortionCoronavirus / Vaccinations / MandatesCost of Living / InflationCrime / Policing / SafetyEconomy and JobsElection Integrity / ReformsEnvironment / Climate ChangeForeign Policy / National SecurityGun Rights / Second AmendmentHealthcareImmigration / Border SecurityOther - Write In (Required)Public Education / Critical Race Theory
Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?Thinking about the midterm elections in 2022, how likely are you to vote?
Voting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting Likelihood
Sample Size1,005
496
509
1,005
120
211
427
247
1,005
63
56
139
152
348
247
1,005
838
108
42
17
1,005
416
403
186
1,005
416
403
174
12
1,005
226
410
369
1,005
255
367
246
137
1,005
105
217
363
277
43
1,005
493
131
19
33
67
17
244
1,005
231
774
231
97
127
7
1,005
586
77
119
26
196
1,005
487
191
56
271
1,005
446
324
13
7
56
159
1,005
187
519
299
1,005
97
162
175
58
227
205
80
1,005
280
687
38
0
1,005
699
151
111
22
22
1,005
177
15
322
68
150
50
21
20
31
49
37
44
20
Certain to vote AND already voted

Count
Column %
280
27.8%
131
26.4%
149
29.3%
280
27.8%
51
42.4%
51
24.2%
85
20.0%
93
37.5%
280
27.8%
27
42.6%
24
42.2%
35
25.6%
30
19.9%
71
20.3%
93
37.5%
280
27.8%
207
24.6%
44
40.5%
25
58.9%
5
28.8%
280
27.8%
52
12.6%
189
46.8%
39
20.9%
280
27.8%
52
12.6%
189
46.8%
36
20.6%
3
25.4%
280
27.8%
106
46.8%
129
31.4%
45
12.3%
280
27.8%
77
30.3%
94
25.7%
68
27.5%
40
29.5%
280
27.8%
35
33.1%
83
38.2%
84
23.1%
69
25.0%
9
20.7%
280
27.8%
124
25.2%
32
24.7%
4
21.6%
2
6.1%
18
26.5%
9
51.8%
90
36.9%
280
27.8%
76
33.0%
204
26.3%
76
33.0%
22
22.4%
52
40.9%
2
34.9%
280
27.8%
142
24.3%
23
29.1%
35
29.5%
5
17.6%
75
38.4%
280
27.8%
138
28.3%
44
22.9%
12
20.7%
87
32.0%
280
27.8%
102
22.9%
94
28.9%
5
40.6%
2
25.5%
16
28.4%
61
38.5%
280
27.8%
74
39.4%
150
28.8%
56
18.9%
280
27.8%
32
32.7%
44
27.5%
51
29.1%
11
19.4%
69
30.2%
47
23.0%
25
31.5%
280
27.8%
280
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
280
27.8%
220
31.4%
37
24.2%
21
18.7%
0
1.1%
3
12.0%
280
27.8%
64
36.0%
5
33.1%
73
22.6%
19
27.4%
33
22.2%
23
45.0%
8
39.2%
4
20.4%
9
29.1%
14
27.9%
7
17.5%
17
39.3%
5
23.7%
Certain to vote BUT haven't voted yet

Count
Column %
687
68.3%
339
68.2%
348
68.5%
687
68.3%
53
44.5%
156
73.7%
325
76.2%
153
61.7%
687
68.3%
29
45.8%
24
43.1%
100
72.4%
116
76.1%
265
76.3%
153
61.7%
687
68.3%
605
72.2%
54
50.3%
16
37.7%
12
67.6%
687
68.3%
351
84.3%
206
51.1%
130
69.9%
687
68.3%
351
84.3%
206
51.1%
121
69.6%
9
74.6%
687
68.3%
111
49.1%
261
63.7%
315
85.4%
687
68.3%
165
64.6%
255
69.5%
174
70.7%
93
68.0%
687
68.3%
63
59.9%
126
57.8%
261
72.0%
204
73.6%
33
77.4%
687
68.3%
344
69.7%
97
74.6%
14
72.0%
28
82.4%
46
68.3%
6
37.0%
152
62.2%
687
68.3%
152
65.9%
535
69.1%
152
65.9%
74
76.5%
74
57.8%
4
65.1%
687
68.3%
433
73.8%
52
66.7%
79
66.8%
19
73.5%
103
52.8%
687
68.3%
343
70.5%
140
73.1%
40
71.7%
164
60.4%
687
68.3%
331
74.3%
219
67.7%
8
59.4%
5
74.5%
36
64.5%
87
54.9%
687
68.3%
102
54.8%
348
67.1%
236
78.9%
687
68.3%
61
62.7%
110
67.9%
112
64.2%
42
72.7%
156
68.7%
152
74.2%
53
66.0%
687
68.3%
0
0.0%
687
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
687
68.3%
479
68.5%
105
69.1%
76
68.2%
10
47.7%
17
79.1%
687
68.3%
108
60.7%
10
66.9%
238
73.9%
47
69.8%
109
72.6%
28
55.0%
11
52.7%
16
79.6%
21
67.4%
30
61.2%
30
80.9%
26
59.9%
13
64.0%
Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50

Count
Column %
38
3.8%
27
5.4%
11
2.2%
38
3.8%
16
13.1%
4
2.1%
16
3.7%
2
0.8%
38
3.8%
7
11.6%
8
14.7%
3
2.1%
6
4.0%
11
3.2%
2
0.8%
38
3.8%
26
3.1%
10
9.2%
1
3.4%
1
3.6%
38
3.8%
12
3.0%
8
2.1%
17
9.2%
38
3.8%
12
3.0%
8
2.1%
17
9.8%
0
0.0%
38
3.8%
9
4.1%
20
5.0%
8
2.3%
38
3.8%
13
5.0%
17
4.7%
4
1.8%
3
2.5%
38
3.8%
7
7.1%
9
3.9%
17
4.7%
4
1.4%
1
1.9%
38
3.8%
25
5.0%
1
0.6%
1
6.4%
4
11.4%
3
5.2%
2
11.1%
2
0.8%
38
3.8%
3
1.2%
35
4.5%
3
1.2%
1
1.1%
2
1.3%
0
0.0%
38
3.8%
11
1.8%
3
4.1%
4
3.7%
2
8.9%
17
8.9%
38
3.8%
6
1.2%
8
4.0%
4
7.6%
20
7.5%
38
3.8%
12
2.8%
11
3.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
4
7.1%
11
6.6%
38
3.8%
11
5.7%
21
4.1%
6
2.0%
38
3.8%
4
4.6%
7
4.6%
12
6.6%
4
7.1%
3
1.1%
6
2.8%
2
2.5%
38
3.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
38
100.0%
0
0.0%
38
3.8%
0
0.1%
10
6.7%
15
13.1%
11
49.1%
2
8.9%
38
3.8%
6
3.3%
0
0.0%
11
3.5%
2
2.7%
8
5.2%
0
0.0%
2
8.1%
0
0.0%
1
2.0%
5
11.0%
1
1.6%
0
0.9%
2
12.3%
Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50

Count
Column %
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?How enthusiastic are you about voting in the midterm elections in November?
Voting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting EnthusiasmVoting Enthusiasm
Sample Size1,005
496
509
1,005
120
211
427
247
1,005
63
56
139
152
348
247
1,005
838
108
42
17
1,005
416
403
186
1,005
416
403
174
12
1,005
226
410
369
1,005
255
367
246
137
1,005
105
217
363
277
43
1,005
493
131
19
33
67
17
244
1,005
231
774
231
97
127
7
1,005
586
77
119
26
196
1,005
487
191
56
271
1,005
446
324
13
7
56
159
1,005
187
519
299
1,005
97
162
175
58
227
205
80
1,005
280
687
38
0
1,005
699
151
111
22
22
1,005
177
15
322
68
150
50
21
20
31
49
37
44
20
Extremely

Count
Column %
699
69.6%
333
67.2%
366
71.9%
699
69.6%
70
58.5%
140
66.1%
289
67.7%
200
81.1%
699
69.6%
38
60.4%
32
56.4%
86
62.3%
103
67.6%
240
68.9%
200
81.1%
699
69.6%
581
69.4%
74
69.1%
31
74.1%
12
71.4%
699
69.6%
299
71.8%
310
77.0%
90
48.5%
699
69.6%
299
71.8%
310
77.0%
84
48.5%
6
48.7%
699
69.6%
163
72.0%
251
61.1%
286
77.5%
699
69.6%
166
64.9%
260
71.0%
175
71.1%
98
71.6%
699
69.6%
65
61.8%
161
74.0%
237
65.2%
206
74.2%
31
72.4%
699
69.6%
330
67.0%
89
68.0%
13
65.8%
18
54.9%
48
72.4%
14
81.2%
186
76.3%
699
69.6%
180
77.8%
519
67.1%
180
77.8%
77
79.8%
99
77.9%
3
48.0%
699
69.6%
414
70.5%
50
64.6%
94
79.2%
16
59.8%
126
64.1%
699
69.6%
354
72.7%
128
67.1%
32
56.6%
185
68.4%
699
69.6%
324
72.6%
221
68.2%
9
68.0%
7
97.7%
33
58.6%
105
66.4%
699
69.6%
137
73.4%
346
66.6%
216
72.2%
699
69.6%
70
72.0%
105
65.1%
118
67.7%
41
69.6%
156
68.7%
148
72.4%
60
74.7%
699
69.6%
220
78.5%
479
69.7%
0
1.2%
0
0.0%
699
69.6%
699
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
699
69.6%
118
66.6%
4
23.6%
232
72.1%
52
75.9%
107
71.5%
40
80.2%
13
60.2%
17
82.8%
19
61.6%
28
57.6%
28
76.2%
34
77.0%
7
35.6%
Very

Count
Column %
151
15.1%
84
16.9%
67
13.3%
151
15.1%
24
19.8%
35
16.7%
67
15.8%
25
10.1%
151
15.1%
12
19.7%
11
20.0%
29
20.6%
16
10.9%
58
16.6%
25
10.1%
151
15.1%
129
15.4%
12
11.6%
8
18.4%
3
14.9%
151
15.1%
60
14.4%
56
13.9%
35
19.0%
151
15.1%
60
14.4%
56
13.9%
34
19.7%
1
8.6%
151
15.1%
41
18.0%
72
17.5%
39
10.5%
151
15.1%
38
15.1%
57
15.5%
35
14.2%
21
15.5%
151
15.1%
18
17.3%
23
10.6%
71
19.4%
34
12.3%
6
12.7%
151
15.1%
77
15.7%
25
19.1%
5
24.2%
7
21.1%
9
13.4%
3
18.8%
25
10.4%
151
15.1%
26
11.1%
126
16.2%
26
11.1%
11
11.8%
13
10.0%
1
21.6%
151
15.1%
93
15.9%
8
10.1%
18
14.8%
3
11.6%
30
15.3%
151
15.1%
70
14.3%
28
14.5%
9
15.7%
45
16.6%
151
15.1%
59
13.3%
46
14.3%
3
20.9%
0
0.0%
11
18.9%
32
20.5%
151
15.1%
31
16.8%
75
14.5%
45
15.0%
151
15.1%
13
13.1%
28
17.4%
32
18.3%
8
14.2%
41
18.1%
18
8.6%
11
14.3%
151
15.1%
37
13.1%
105
15.2%
10
26.9%
0
0.0%
151
15.1%
0
0.0%
151
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
151
15.1%
30
17.0%
4
28.6%
46
14.3%
8
11.9%
17
11.5%
7
13.8%
4
17.5%
1
4.9%
8
27.3%
10
21.4%
4
11.6%
4
9.3%
7
33.2%
Moderately

Count
Column %
111
11.0%
54
10.8%
57
11.3%
111
11.0%
19
15.5%
24
11.5%
55
12.8%
13
5.5%
111
11.0%
8
13.2%
10
18.1%
16
11.7%
23
15.3%
40
11.4%
13
5.5%
111
11.0%
92
11.0%
15
14.1%
2
5.6%
2
9.8%
111
11.0%
45
10.9%
30
7.4%
36
19.2%
111
11.0%
45
10.9%
30
7.4%
33
18.7%
3
27.0%
111
11.0%
16
6.9%
62
15.1%
33
9.1%
111
11.0%
40
15.8%
37
10.1%
22
9.0%
11
8.4%
111
11.0%
16
15.2%
25
11.6%
39
10.9%
28
9.9%
3
7.0%
111
11.0%
61
12.3%
14
10.8%
2
8.7%
5
14.7%
6
9.1%
0
0.0%
23
9.6%
111
11.0%
17
7.6%
94
12.1%
17
7.6%
7
6.8%
10
8.2%
0
7.2%
111
11.0%
58
9.9%
17
21.4%
5
4.0%
7
28.2%
24
12.5%
111
11.0%
50
10.2%
25
13.2%
9
15.5%
27
10.1%
111
11.0%
47
10.6%
41
12.8%
1
4.9%
0
2.3%
10
18.2%
11
7.1%
111
11.0%
13
6.7%
70
13.4%
29
9.6%
111
11.0%
12
11.9%
19
11.8%
12
7.1%
6
10.7%
25
11.0%
31
15.0%
6
7.4%
111
11.0%
21
7.4%
76
11.0%
15
38.5%
0
0.0%
111
11.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
111
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
111
11.0%
23
13.0%
7
47.8%
29
8.9%
6
8.9%
17
11.5%
3
5.8%
2
10.8%
2
9.9%
3
9.2%
8
16.8%
3
7.0%
2
4.6%
6
31.1%
Slightly

Count
Column %
22
2.2%
16
3.2%
6
1.2%
22
2.2%
7
5.4%
2
1.0%
8
1.8%
6
2.3%
22
2.2%
4
5.7%
3
5.1%
2
1.2%
4
2.9%
4
1.0%
6
2.3%
22
2.2%
18
2.1%
4
3.4%
0
0.0%
1
3.9%
22
2.2%
6
1.6%
3
0.7%
13
6.7%
22
2.2%
6
1.6%
3
0.7%
13
7.2%
0
0.0%
22
2.2%
4
1.7%
12
3.0%
6
1.6%
22
2.2%
6
2.3%
6
1.7%
7
2.9%
2
1.7%
22
2.2%
3
2.6%
6
2.8%
8
2.1%
5
1.7%
1
1.6%
22
2.2%
12
2.4%
0
0.0%
0
1.3%
2
5.2%
3
4.1%
0
0.0%
5
2.1%
22
2.2%
5
2.2%
17
2.2%
5
2.2%
2
1.6%
3
2.2%
1
10.0%
22
2.2%
7
1.3%
3
3.8%
1
1.0%
0
0.0%
10
5.3%
22
2.2%
6
1.3%
4
2.2%
4
6.5%
8
2.8%
22
2.2%
5
1.2%
9
2.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
3.1%
5
3.4%
22
2.2%
2
1.1%
15
2.9%
5
1.6%
22
2.2%
1
1.0%
4
2.2%
10
5.7%
1
2.2%
2
0.8%
4
1.8%
1
0.8%
22
2.2%
0
0.1%
10
1.5%
11
28.4%
0
100.0%
22
2.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
22
100.0%
0
0.0%
22
2.2%
2
1.3%
0
0.0%
11
3.3%
0
0.0%
4
2.7%
0
0.0%
2
8.1%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
0.9%
1
1.8%
2
3.8%
0
0.0%
Not at all

Count
Column %
22
2.1%
9
1.9%
12
2.4%
22
2.1%
1
0.7%
10
4.7%
8
1.9%
3
1.0%
22
2.1%
1
1.0%
0
0.4%
6
4.2%
5
3.4%
7
2.1%
3
1.0%
22
2.1%
19
2.2%
2
1.9%
1
1.9%
0
0.0%
22
2.1%
5
1.3%
4
1.0%
12
6.6%
22
2.1%
5
1.3%
4
1.0%
10
6.0%
2
15.7%
22
2.1%
3
1.4%
14
3.3%
5
1.4%
22
2.1%
5
1.9%
6
1.7%
7
2.7%
4
2.8%
22
2.1%
3
3.1%
2
0.9%
8
2.3%
5
1.9%
3
6.4%
22
2.1%
13
2.6%
3
2.1%
0
0.0%
1
4.0%
1
0.9%
0
0.0%
4
1.6%
22
2.1%
3
1.3%
19
2.4%
3
1.3%
0
0.0%
2
1.7%
1
13.1%
22
2.1%
15
2.5%
0
0.0%
1
1.1%
0
0.4%
5
2.8%
22
2.1%
7
1.5%
6
3.0%
3
5.6%
5
2.0%
22
2.1%
10
2.3%
6
1.8%
1
6.2%
0
0.0%
1
1.2%
4
2.6%
22
2.1%
4
2.1%
13
2.5%
5
1.5%
22
2.1%
2
2.1%
6
3.6%
2
1.2%
2
3.4%
3
1.4%
4
2.1%
2
2.8%
22
2.1%
3
0.9%
17
2.5%
2
5.1%
0
0.0%
22
2.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
22
100.0%
22
2.1%
4
2.1%
0
0.0%
5
1.5%
2
3.3%
4
2.9%
0
0.2%
1
3.5%
0
2.4%
0
0.4%
2
3.2%
1
3.4%
2
5.3%
0
0.0%