CA-13 Crosstabs (March)
Weight Variable = Aristotle National Voter File, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderRacePartyIdeologyEducation
TotalMaleFemaleTotalHispanic / LatinoWhite / NOT HispanicAsian / OtherBlack / AATotalDemocratRepublicanIndependent / OtherTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalHS / LessSome / AssociateUndergrad / Postgrad
Thinking back to the 2020 presidential election last November, for whom did you vote?Thinking back to the 2020 presidential election last November, for whom did you vote?Thinking back to the 2020 presidential election last November, for whom did you vote?Thinking back to the 2020 presidential election last November, for whom did you vote?Thinking back to the 2020 presidential election last November, for whom did you vote?
2020 Presidential Vote2020 Presidential Vote2020 Presidential Vote2020 Presidential Vote2020 Presidential Vote
Sample Size451
218
233
451
252
164
27
8
451
187
149
115
451
122
186
142
451
136
260
55
Joe Biden

Column %
53.3%
50.4%
56.0%
53.3%
57.9%
48.3%
31.0%
85.3%
53.3%
81.2%
11.2%
62.7%
53.3%
92.1%
59.5%
11.7%
53.3%
54.3%
51.0%
61.9%
Donald Trump

Column %
42.1%
46.2%
38.1%
42.1%
37.1%
46.6%
69.0%
14.7%
42.1%
18.8%
82.8%
26.9%
42.1%
7.9%
34.5%
81.5%
42.1%
41.3%
45.5%
27.5%
Other

Column %
4.6%
3.3%
5.9%
4.6%
4.9%
5.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4.6%
0.0%
6.0%
10.4%
4.6%
0.0%
6.0%
6.8%
4.6%
4.4%
3.5%
10.6%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?
Generic BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric BallotGeneric Ballot
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
Republican candidate

Count
Column %
208
42.4%
92
39.5%
116
45.0%
208
42.4%
101
37.5%
94
52.4%
12
34.3%
2
19.6%
208
42.4%
12
6.1%
147
92.0%
50
36.9%
208
42.4%
24
18.4%
76
36.6%
109
69.6%
208
42.4%
64
41.3%
121
43.9%
24
38.5%
Democratic candidate

Count
Column %
196
39.9%
100
42.8%
96
37.2%
196
39.9%
115
42.7%
64
35.7%
10
29.1%
7
80.4%
196
39.9%
177
89.4%
3
1.7%
17
12.3%
196
39.9%
101
78.5%
67
32.5%
28
17.9%
196
39.9%
61
39.7%
108
39.3%
27
43.0%
Someone else

Count
Column %
27
5.5%
15
6.6%
11
4.4%
27
5.5%
15
5.7%
2
1.3%
9
25.4%
0
0.0%
27
5.5%
9
4.6%
4
2.8%
13
9.9%
27
5.5%
0
0.0%
18
8.5%
9
5.8%
27
5.5%
9
5.9%
6
2.3%
11
18.5%
Undecided

Count
Column %
61
12.3%
26
11.0%
35
13.5%
61
12.3%
38
14.0%
19
10.6%
4
11.2%
0
0.0%
61
12.3%
0
0.0%
6
3.5%
55
40.8%
61
12.3%
4
3.1%
46
22.3%
10
6.7%
61
12.3%
20
13.2%
40
14.6%
0
0.0%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?
Gray vs. Giglio with LeanersGray vs. Giglio with LeanersGray vs. Giglio with LeanersGray vs. Giglio with LeanersGray vs. Giglio with Leaners
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
Adam Gray, Democrat

% Valid Cases
43.7%
47.2%
40.6%
43.7%
50.8%
34.6%
29.1%
74.0%
43.7%
91.7%
2.2%
22.5%
43.7%
73.1%
45.4%
17.5%
43.7%
41.6%
41.8%
57.7%
David Giglio, Republican

% Valid Cases
44.4%
40.8%
47.6%
44.4%
39.6%
53.7%
40.0%
19.6%
44.4%
4.4%
92.0%
46.7%
44.4%
19.1%
39.7%
71.3%
44.4%
47.0%
45.1%
34.3%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?
Arballo vs. Giglio with LeanersArballo vs. Giglio with LeanersArballo vs. Giglio with LeanersArballo vs. Giglio with LeanersArballo vs. Giglio with Leaners
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
David Giglio, Republican

% Valid Cases
44.9%
44.5%
45.3%
44.9%
39.3%
54.9%
40.0%
29.3%
44.9%
7.5%
93.5%
42.2%
44.9%
20.9%
39.8%
71.3%
44.9%
47.2%
46.0%
34.3%
Phil Arballo, Democrat

% Valid Cases
41.8%
47.4%
36.8%
41.8%
49.1%
34.3%
22.0%
54.8%
41.8%
87.7%
0.8%
23.1%
41.8%
73.6%
40.6%
17.5%
41.8%
37.0%
41.9%
53.5%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?
Gray vs. Martinez with LeanersGray vs. Martinez with LeanersGray vs. Martinez with LeanersGray vs. Martinez with LeanersGray vs. Martinez with Leaners
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
Adam Gray, Democrat

% Valid Cases
50.4%
49.9%
50.9%
50.4%
60.5%
38.8%
29.1%
64.6%
50.4%
89.6%
3.3%
48.6%
50.4%
75.0%
51.1%
29.3%
50.4%
50.4%
47.9%
61.5%
Diego Martinez, Republican

% Valid Cases
34.3%
34.0%
34.5%
34.3%
26.8%
47.4%
28.6%
19.6%
34.3%
6.5%
86.1%
13.8%
34.3%
18.8%
29.4%
53.5%
34.3%
27.7%
40.0%
24.9%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?
Arballo vs. Martinez with LeanersArballo vs. Martinez with LeanersArballo vs. Martinez with LeanersArballo vs. Martinez with LeanersArballo vs. Martinez with Leaners
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
Phil Arballo, Democrat

% Valid Cases
50.3%
54.8%
46.3%
50.3%
60.4%
41.0%
22.0%
46.6%
50.3%
90.1%
3.2%
47.6%
50.3%
82.8%
46.8%
28.4%
50.3%
53.6%
48.0%
52.4%
Diego Martinez, Republican

% Valid Cases
35.6%
33.2%
37.7%
35.6%
31.0%
43.6%
28.6%
37.6%
35.6%
6.3%
86.9%
17.8%
35.6%
11.9%
36.0%
54.4%
35.6%
25.0%
43.6%
26.1%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?
Gray vs. Heng with LeanersGray vs. Heng with LeanersGray vs. Heng with LeanersGray vs. Heng with LeanersGray vs. Heng with Leaners
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
Adam Gray, Democrat

% Valid Cases
52.9%
54.8%
51.3%
52.9%
64.9%
40.6%
22.0%
64.6%
52.9%
92.7%
8.0%
47.7%
52.9%
77.7%
54.8%
30.2%
52.9%
60.8%
48.4%
53.5%
Elizabeth Heng, Republican

% Valid Cases
31.9%
29.8%
33.8%
31.9%
23.3%
45.6%
28.6%
28.9%
31.9%
2.5%
82.0%
15.8%
31.9%
17.7%
24.5%
53.5%
31.9%
17.8%
41.4%
24.9%
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?7If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?7If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?7If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?7If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for whom would you vote in your congressional district?7
Arballo vs. Heng with LeanersArballo vs. Heng with LeanersArballo vs. Heng with LeanersArballo vs. Heng with LeanersArballo vs. Heng with Leaners
Sample Size492
234
258
492
268
179
36
9
492
198
159
135
492
128
207
156
492
154
276
62
Phil Arballo, Democrat

% Valid Cases
50.4%
53.0%
48.0%
50.4%
60.3%
40.5%
22.0%
64.2%
50.4%
90.9%
4.8%
44.8%
50.4%
81.6%
46.9%
29.3%
50.4%
55.9%
46.6%
53.5%
Elizabeth Heng, Republican

% Valid Cases
35.1%
35.4%
34.8%
35.1%
29.1%
45.6%
28.6%
29.3%
35.1%
5.9%
85.3%
18.5%
35.1%
13.8%
34.4%
53.5%
35.1%
24.9%
43.1%
24.9%