CA-13 Tracking Poll Initial Results
Weight Variable = Likely Voter File District Screen, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderRacePartyAgeEducationIncomeMaritalParentalReligionCountyVote Intention
TotalMaleFemaleTotalWhiteHispanicAsian / OtherTotalDemocratRepublicanIndependent / OtherTotal18-2930-4445-6465+TotalHS / LessSome / AssociateUndergradGraduateTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalMarriedWidowedSeparatedDivorcedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalProtestantCatholicAnother religionNo religionTotalFresnoMaderaMercedSan JoaquinStanislausTotalEarly AB / Vote-By-MailIn-Person Election Day
Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?
Biden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden ApprovalBiden Approval
Sample Size469
222
247
469
174
246
48
469
176
163
130
469
49
124
181
115
469
110
200
97
62
469
85
93
146
114
30
469
262
21
16
73
97
469
225
102
25
117
469
139
168
22
140
468
51
80
187
27
123
469
320
149
Strongly approve

Count
Column %
99
21.0%
32
14.6%
66
26.8%
99
21.0%
31
17.7%
62
25.1%
6
12.1%
99
21.0%
94
53.7%
0
0.0%
4
3.2%
99
21.0%
3
6.7%
19
15.2%
42
23.1%
35
30.2%
99
21.0%
16
14.7%
52
25.9%
20
20.4%
11
17.7%
99
21.0%
16
19.1%
16
17.3%
41
28.0%
22
19.3%
3
11.5%
99
21.0%
42
16.1%
10
45.3%
4
21.6%
24
33.5%
19
19.5%
99
21.0%
56
24.8%
13
12.4%
7
27.6%
23
19.9%
99
21.0%
20
14.3%
43
25.4%
3
15.1%
33
23.4%
98
21.0%
8
15.5%
11
14.2%
46
24.6%
7
24.4%
27
21.5%
99
21.0%
85
26.6%
13
9.0%
Somewhat approve

Count
Column %
89
19.0%
42
19.0%
47
19.0%
89
19.0%
31
17.7%
50
20.2%
8
17.4%
89
19.0%
59
33.5%
4
2.2%
27
20.5%
89
19.0%
20
41.2%
22
17.9%
33
18.1%
14
12.0%
89
19.0%
18
15.9%
31
15.2%
25
25.5%
16
26.3%
89
19.0%
24
27.6%
20
21.2%
17
11.9%
20
17.1%
9
29.2%
89
19.0%
37
13.9%
2
9.4%
4
26.1%
9
12.1%
37
38.7%
89
19.0%
25
11.3%
17
17.0%
3
12.6%
43
36.9%
89
19.0%
13
9.1%
33
19.7%
6
27.3%
37
26.7%
89
19.0%
13
25.7%
11
13.6%
23
12.1%
7
25.1%
36
28.9%
89
19.0%
77
24.1%
12
8.0%
Somewhat disapprove

Count
Column %
36
7.7%
19
8.5%
17
7.0%
36
7.7%
8
4.5%
25
10.1%
4
7.5%
36
7.7%
8
4.4%
10
5.9%
19
14.5%
36
7.7%
2
4.8%
21
16.7%
7
3.9%
6
5.3%
36
7.7%
14
12.8%
15
7.4%
5
5.5%
2
3.1%
36
7.7%
2
2.2%
13
13.7%
14
9.4%
7
6.0%
1
3.5%
36
7.7%
23
8.9%
1
5.9%
0
0.0%
6
8.9%
5
5.3%
36
7.7%
13
5.6%
17
16.5%
4
15.5%
3
2.4%
36
7.7%
4
3.2%
19
11.6%
2
7.8%
11
7.6%
36
7.7%
4
6.9%
2
2.3%
22
11.8%
2
7.9%
7
5.4%
36
7.7%
26
8.0%
11
7.2%
Strongly disapprove

Count
Column %
226
48.3%
125
56.3%
101
41.0%
226
48.3%
103
59.3%
97
39.2%
26
54.6%
226
48.3%
7
4.2%
145
89.0%
74
56.7%
226
48.3%
17
35.1%
57
46.0%
95
52.6%
57
49.6%
226
48.3%
55
49.5%
92
46.0%
47
48.6%
33
52.9%
226
48.3%
35
40.7%
40
42.7%
70
48.4%
65
56.7%
17
54.7%
226
48.3%
152
57.8%
8
39.1%
8
49.6%
30
41.5%
28
29.2%
226
48.3%
124
55.1%
48
47.3%
10
39.3%
44
37.9%
226
48.3%
99
71.0%
67
40.1%
11
48.2%
49
35.4%
226
48.3%
26
51.8%
47
58.0%
95
50.8%
11
42.4%
47
37.8%
226
48.3%
121
37.7%
106
71.0%
Undecided

Count
Column %
19
4.0%
3
1.5%
15
6.2%
19
4.0%
1
0.8%
13
5.4%
4
8.4%
19
4.0%
7
4.2%
5
3.0%
7
5.1%
19
4.0%
6
12.2%
5
4.1%
4
2.3%
3
2.9%
19
4.0%
8
7.0%
11
5.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
19
4.0%
9
10.5%
5
5.2%
4
2.4%
1
1.0%
0
1.2%
19
4.0%
8
3.2%
0
0.3%
0
2.7%
3
3.9%
7
7.2%
19
4.0%
7
3.2%
7
6.8%
1
5.0%
3
2.9%
19
4.0%
3
2.3%
5
3.2%
0
1.6%
10
7.0%
19
4.0%
0
0.0%
10
11.9%
1
0.7%
0
0.2%
8
6.3%
19
4.0%
12
3.6%
7
4.8%
Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them—or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.
Donald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: FavorabilityDonald Trump: Favorability
Sample Size469
222
247
469
174
246
48
469
176
163
130
469
49
124
181
115
469
110
200
97
62
469
85
93
146
114
30
469
262
21
16
73
97
469
225
102
25
117
469
139
168
22
140
468
51
80
187
27
123
469
320
149
Very favorable

Count
Column %
155
33.0%
85
38.5%
69
28.1%
155
33.0%
65
37.2%
66
26.9%
24
49.5%
155
33.0%
6
3.2%
116
71.2%
33
25.6%
155
33.0%
15
30.4%
35
27.8%
61
33.7%
45
38.8%
155
33.0%
42
37.9%
63
31.5%
29
30.5%
21
33.3%
155
33.0%
26
30.3%
27
29.3%
47
31.9%
47
41.2%
8
26.9%
155
33.0%
106
40.3%
7
33.3%
7
42.4%
19
25.9%
16
16.9%
155
33.0%
91
40.5%
31
30.1%
7
27.1%
26
22.6%
155
33.0%
68
49.0%
41
24.5%
11
50.9%
34
24.6%
154
33.0%
26
50.8%
34
41.8%
58
30.9%
9
33.2%
28
23.0%
155
33.0%
75
23.6%
79
53.3%
Somewhat favorable

Count
Column %
91
19.4%
49
22.0%
42
17.0%
91
19.4%
33
19.1%
51
20.7%
7
13.6%
91
19.4%
11
6.3%
36
22.1%
44
33.6%
91
19.4%
6
11.9%
45
35.9%
30
16.6%
10
9.0%
91
19.4%
28
25.7%
32
16.2%
19
19.7%
11
17.9%
91
19.4%
12
13.8%
20
21.8%
31
21.3%
20
17.2%
8
26.8%
91
19.4%
58
22.2%
3
13.7%
1
3.2%
15
20.4%
14
15.0%
91
19.4%
34
14.9%
34
33.2%
7
27.4%
17
14.1%
91
19.4%
27
19.5%
39
23.2%
3
11.5%
22
15.9%
91
19.4%
6
11.2%
17
21.2%
48
25.5%
3
11.7%
17
14.1%
91
19.4%
58
18.3%
32
21.8%
Somewhat unfavorable

Count
Column %
28
6.0%
15
6.7%
13
5.3%
28
6.0%
12
7.2%
14
5.7%
1
2.9%
28
6.0%
12
6.6%
5
3.1%
11
8.7%
28
6.0%
7
13.5%
1
1.1%
17
9.2%
3
2.9%
28
6.0%
8
7.0%
14
6.7%
6
6.2%
1
1.3%
28
6.0%
5
6.3%
12
12.9%
4
2.5%
5
4.3%
2
6.8%
28
6.0%
12
4.5%
1
2.5%
1
4.0%
3
4.6%
12
12.0%
28
6.0%
10
4.6%
7
7.3%
0
0.0%
10
8.8%
28
6.0%
8
6.1%
8
4.8%
2
10.1%
9
6.6%
28
6.0%
2
3.8%
5
6.4%
8
4.2%
4
13.4%
9
7.7%
28
6.0%
19
6.1%
9
5.8%
Very unfavorable

Count
Column %
192
41.0%
70
31.7%
122
49.3%
192
41.0%
64
36.5%
113
45.7%
16
33.0%
192
41.0%
148
83.9%
4
2.2%
41
31.6%
192
41.0%
21
43.5%
44
35.2%
73
40.4%
54
47.1%
192
41.0%
32
29.1%
89
44.2%
42
43.6%
29
47.5%
192
41.0%
42
49.5%
31
33.6%
64
44.2%
43
37.3%
12
38.3%
192
41.0%
86
32.9%
11
50.2%
8
50.4%
33
45.9%
54
55.7%
192
41.0%
88
38.9%
30
29.3%
11
45.4%
63
54.2%
192
41.0%
35
25.4%
77
46.0%
6
25.9%
74
52.8%
192
41.0%
17
34.2%
24
30.0%
71
38.1%
11
41.6%
68
55.1%
192
41.0%
164
51.2%
28
19.0%
Never heard of / No opinion

Count
Column %
3
0.6%
2
1.1%
1
0.2%
3
0.6%
0
0.1%
2
0.9%
0
1.0%
3
0.6%
0
0.0%
2
1.4%
1
0.5%
3
0.6%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
2
2.1%
3
0.6%
0
0.4%
3
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
0.6%
0
0.1%
2
2.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
1.2%
3
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
0.0%
2
3.2%
0
0.4%
3
0.6%
3
1.1%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
3
0.6%
0
0.0%
2
1.4%
0
1.6%
0
0.1%
3
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
3
0.6%
3
0.8%
0
0.1%
Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them — or if you have never heard of them or have no opinion.
Kevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: FavorabilityKevin McCarthy: Favorability
Sample Size469
222
247
469
174
246
48
469
176
163
130
469
49
124
181
115
469
110
200
97
62
469
85
93
146
114
30
469
262
21
16
73
97
469
225
102
25
117
469
139
168
22
140
468
51
80
187
27
123
469
320
149
Very favorable

Count
Column %
48
10.3%
34
15.2%
15
5.9%
48
10.3%
19
11.0%
27
10.8%
3
5.2%
48
10.3%
4
2.4%
35
21.2%
9
7.3%
48
10.3%
0
0.0%
8
6.8%
25
13.7%
15
13.2%
48
10.3%
6
5.5%
27
13.3%
8
8.2%
8
12.5%
48
10.3%
2
2.7%
5
5.6%
17
12.0%
19
16.9%
4
13.1%
48
10.3%
33
12.5%
4
17.0%
1
3.2%
8
10.9%
4
3.7%
48
10.3%
35
15.4%
7
6.9%
0
0.0%
7
5.6%
48
10.3%
18
12.8%
23
13.7%
2
7.3%
6
4.2%
48
10.3%
7
13.9%
10
13.0%
25
13.4%
1
2.5%
5
4.2%
48
10.3%
23
7.3%
25
16.7%
Somewhat favorable

Count
Column %
76
16.2%
48
21.7%
28
11.3%
76
16.2%
38
21.8%
26
10.7%
12
24.3%
76
16.2%
5
3.0%
48
29.7%
22
17.3%
76
16.2%
5
10.3%
15
12.4%
31
17.4%
24
21.2%
76
16.2%
19
17.1%
35
17.5%
16
16.1%
7
10.8%
76
16.2%
11
12.7%
7
7.5%
24
16.3%
29
25.7%
5
17.0%
76
16.2%
56
21.2%
3
12.9%
1
7.8%
8
10.5%
9
9.2%
76
16.2%
47
20.9%
12
12.0%
1
4.5%
16
13.6%
76
16.2%
30
21.7%
22
13.3%
6
28.6%
17
12.5%
76
16.2%
9
18.1%
19
23.7%
28
15.2%
4
16.6%
15
12.1%
76
16.2%
42
13.0%
35
23.2%
Somewhat unfavorable

Count
Column %
60
12.8%
32
14.3%
28
11.4%
60
12.8%
27
15.4%
28
11.2%
6
11.5%
60
12.8%
21
12.1%
19
11.9%
19
14.8%
60
12.8%
12
23.9%
13
10.6%
27
14.8%
8
7.2%
60
12.8%
12
11.1%
24
12.2%
10
10.8%
13
20.9%
60
12.8%
14
16.4%
11
12.1%
14
9.3%
16
14.1%
5
16.5%
60
12.8%
36
13.5%
5
21.8%
0
0.0%
7
9.4%
13
13.4%
60
12.8%
21
9.3%
19
19.1%
4
15.7%
16
13.4%
60
12.8%
15
10.9%
19
11.0%
5
24.9%
21
14.9%
59
12.7%
11
21.8%
7
9.2%
26
13.7%
4
14.1%
12
9.5%
60
12.8%
32
10.0%
28
18.8%
Very unfavorable

Count
Column %
161
34.3%
69
30.9%
92
37.3%
161
34.3%
54
31.0%
95
38.5%
12
24.7%
161
34.3%
111
63.0%
12
7.3%
38
29.3%
161
34.3%
9
18.0%
45
36.4%
59
32.4%
48
41.8%
161
34.3%
43
38.6%
62
31.2%
35
36.0%
21
33.9%
161
34.3%
30
34.9%
39
42.0%
53
36.3%
30
26.3%
9
29.2%
161
34.3%
80
30.4%
7
34.6%
8
47.7%
29
40.3%
37
37.9%
161
34.3%
76
33.8%
29
28.4%
8
31.2%
48
41.1%
161
34.3%
31
22.1%
62
37.2%
2
11.1%
65
46.6%
160
34.3%
6
12.0%
23
28.9%
68
36.1%
9
32.1%
55
44.7%
161
34.3%
145
45.3%
16
10.5%
Never heard of / No opinion

Count
Column %
124
26.4%
40
17.9%
84
34.0%
124
26.4%
36
20.8%
71
28.8%
17
34.3%
124
26.4%
34
19.6%
49
29.9%
41
31.3%
124
26.4%
24
47.8%
42
33.8%
39
21.7%
19
16.6%
124
26.4%
31
27.7%
52
25.8%
28
28.9%
14
22.0%
124
26.4%
28
33.3%
31
32.9%
38
26.1%
19
17.0%
7
24.1%
124
26.4%
59
22.3%
3
13.6%
7
41.3%
21
28.9%
35
35.8%
124
26.4%
47
20.7%
34
33.6%
12
48.5%
31
26.3%
124
26.4%
45
32.5%
42
24.9%
6
28.2%
30
21.8%
124
26.5%
17
34.3%
20
25.3%
40
21.6%
9
34.8%
36
29.5%
124
26.4%
78
24.4%
46
30.8%
Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?Which of the following applies to you — you plan to vote early by absentee/mail-in ballot or you plan to vote in person on Election Day?
Vote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote IntentionVote Intention
Sample Size469
222
247
469
174
246
48
469
176
163
130
469
49
124
181
115
469
110
200
97
62
469
85
93
146
114
30
469
262
21
16
73
97
469
225
102
25
117
469
139
168
22
140
468
51
80
187
27
123
469
320
149
Early AB / Vote-By-Mail

Count
Column %
320
68.2%
150
67.6%
170
68.8%
320
68.2%
122
70.0%
169
68.5%
29
60.5%
320
68.2%
146
83.2%
88
53.6%
86
66.3%
320
68.2%
29
58.2%
83
67.0%
114
63.4%
94
81.5%
320
68.2%
72
65.0%
131
65.5%
71
73.2%
47
75.2%
320
68.2%
55
63.9%
65
70.1%
101
69.2%
73
63.7%
26
87.0%
320
68.2%
175
66.6%
16
73.8%
10
58.8%
49
67.7%
71
73.5%
320
68.2%
155
69.1%
59
58.1%
15
58.5%
91
77.5%
320
68.2%
75
53.5%
131
78.1%
13
59.0%
101
72.4%
320
68.3%
30
59.6%
54
67.6%
129
68.7%
16
60.5%
90
73.3%
320
68.2%
320
100.0%
0
0.0%
In-Person Election Day

Count
Column %
149
31.8%
72
32.4%
77
31.2%
149
31.8%
52
30.0%
78
31.5%
19
39.5%
149
31.8%
30
16.8%
76
46.4%
44
33.7%
149
31.8%
21
41.8%
41
33.0%
66
36.6%
21
18.5%
149
31.8%
39
35.0%
69
34.5%
26
26.8%
15
24.8%
149
31.8%
31
36.1%
28
29.9%
45
30.8%
41
36.3%
4
13.0%
149
31.8%
88
33.4%
6
26.2%
7
41.2%
23
32.3%
26
26.5%
149
31.8%
70
30.9%
43
41.9%
10
41.5%
26
22.5%
149
31.8%
65
46.5%
37
21.9%
9
41.0%
38
27.6%
148
31.7%
20
40.4%
26
32.4%
59
31.3%
11
39.5%
33
26.7%
149
31.8%
0
0.0%
149
100.0%