BIG DATA POLL — National Poll (February 2024)

Weight Variable = National Registered Voter File Demographics, Confidence Level = 95%

	Gender			Age					Age Detail								Race					Race Detail								White Detail																Party				Ideology				Republican Identification				Independent Identification					Education					Non-College Working Class			Income						Employment								Union			Union Type				Marital						Parental					Military / Veteran				Religion Detail										Evangelical				White Evangelical			Area				Region					Division										Likelihood to Vote					Primary Participation Screen				Likely Voters vs. Unlikely Voters			I voted in the 2022 midterm election			I voted in the 2020 presidential election			I voted in the 2018 midterm election			I voted in the 2016 presidential election			I've never voted			2020 Presidential Vote				Direction of Country				Views on current/present business conditions				Views on current/present employment conditions				Expectations regarding business conditions six months from now				Expectations regarding employment conditions six months from now				Expectations regarding total family income six months from now				Biden Approval						Biden Approval: Economy and Jobs						Biden Approval: Inflation and Cost of Living						Biden Approval: Immigration and Border Security						Biden Approval: Foreign Policy						Republican Presidential Nomination					Democratic Presidential Nomination					Republican Candidate-Specific Support						Democratic Candidate-Specific Support
	Total	Male	Female	Total	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	Total	18-24	25-29	30-39	40-49	50-64	65-74	75+	Total	White / NOT Hispanic	Black / African American	Hispanic / Latino	Asian / Other	Total	White / NOT Hispanic	Black / African American	Hispanic / Latino	Asian	American Indian / Alaska Native	Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	Other Race / Ethnicity	Total	American	Danish	Dutch	English	French	German	Irish	Italian	Norwegian	Other	Polish	Russian	Scotch-Irish	Scottish	Swedish	Total	Republican	Democrat	Independent / Other	Total	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	Total	America First Republicanism	Traditional Republicanism	Unsure / No opinion	Total	Republican Party	Democratic Party	Equally aligned	Share little in common with either	Total	High School / Less	Some / Associate	4-Year / Grad	Advanced / Postgrad	Total	White Non-College	Non-White Non-College	Total	Under $30,000	$30,000 - $49,999	$50,000 - $99,999	$100,000 - $199,999	$200,000 or more	Total	Employed, full time	Employed, part time	Unemployed, looking	Unemployed, NOT looking	Disabled	Student	Retired	Total	Yes	No	Total	Public	Private	Both	Total	Married	Widowed	Divorced	Separated	Single	Total	Yes, all 18 or over	Yes, one or more school-aged under 18	Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-aged	No	Total	Military	Veteran	No	Total	Protestant	Catholic	Christian (Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)	Eastern Orthodox (Greek, Russian, Other)	Mormon (LDS)	Jewish	Muslim	Another religion	No religion	Total	Yes	No	No opinion	Total	Yes	None-White Evangelical	Total	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Total	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	Total	New England	Middle Atlantic	East North Central	West North Central	South Atlantic	East South Central	West South Central	Mountain	Pacific	Total	Certain to vote	Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50	Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50	Certain NOT to vote	Total	Democratic	Republican	Unlikely OR Ineligible to vote	Total	Likely Voters	Unlikely Voters	Total	Yes	No	Total	Yes	No	Total	Yes	No	Total	Yes	No	Total	Yes	No	Total	Joe Biden	Donald Trump	Someone else	Total	Right direction	Wrong track	Unsure / No opinion	Total	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Total	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Total	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Total	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Total	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Total	Strongly approve	Somewhat approve	Somewhat disapprove	Strongly disapprove	Undecided	Total	Strongly approve	Somewhat approve	Somewhat disapprove	Strongly disapprove	Undecided	Total	Strongly approve	Somewhat approve	Somewhat disapprove	Strongly disapprove	Undecided	Total	Strongly approve	Somewhat approve	Somewhat disapprove	Strongly disapprove	Undecided	Total	Strongly approve	Somewhat approve	Somewhat disapprove	Strongly disapprove	Undecided	Total	Donald Trump	Nikki Haley	Someone else	Undecided	Total	Joe Biden	Dean Phillips	Someone else	Undecided	Total	I would vote for the party's nominee	I would consider voting for the Democratic nominee	I would consider voting for a third party nominee	I would write-in [your choice]	I would not vote at all	Total	I would vote for the party's nominee	I would consider voting for the Republican nominee	I would consider voting for a third party nominee	I would write-in [[your choice]	I would not vote at all
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?								How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?								How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?																How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?								How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?										How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?										How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?			How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?					How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?						How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote								Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote								Likelihood to Vote																Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote								Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote										Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote										Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote			Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote				Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote					Likelihood to Vote						Likelihood to Vote
Sample Size	3,005	1,424	1,581	3,005	451	746	1,090	718	3,005	273	177	466	493	877	484	234	3,005	2,152	364	294	195	3,005	2,152	364	294	96	30	9	60	2,152	1,001	9	16	468	35	160	116	98	20	79	56	21	29	21	22	3,005	1,124	1,067	814	3,005	676	1,274	1,055	1,124	520	379	225	814	211	172	186	246	3,005	808	1,034	715	448	1,087	521	566	3,005	762	689	967	478	110	3,005	1,246	379	220	130	205	65	759	3,005	392	2,613	392	234	124	34	3,005	1,442	221	369	78	895	3,005	1,148	1,146	159	552	3,005	61	326	2,619	3,005	819	726	544	24	34	82	31	175	571	1,421	740	562	119	740	528	212	3,005	739	1,496	769	3,005	550	679	1,133	643	3,005	147	403	493	186	646	162	325	207	436	3,005	2,285	510	129	81	2,924	1,242	1,387	294	3,005	2,795	210	3,005	2,163	842	3,005	2,541	464	3,005	1,979	1,026	3,005	2,306	699	3,005	404	2,601	2,541	1,260	1,257	23	3,005	725	1,940	340	3,005	803	1,229	973	3,005	951	1,043	1,011	3,005	905	1,137	963	3,005	1,007	1,043	955	3,005	843	1,012	1,150	3,005	480	703	443	1,287	92	3,005	589	685	473	1,148	111	3,005	424	546	481	1,440	114	3,005	336	554	511	1,427	178	3,005	447	594	513	1,211	241	1,389	1,047	206	68	69	1,241	862	89	129	161	1,387	552	131	199	453	51	1,243	692	127	164	213	48
Certain to vote Count Column %	2,285 76.0%	1,139 80.0%	1,145 72.5%	2,285 76.0%	247 54.9%	528 70.7%	861 78.9%	649 90.4%	2,285 76.0%	134 49.1%	113 63.7%	314 67.4%	370 75.1%	704 80.2%	432 89.4%	217 92.5%	2,285 76.0%	1,741 80.9%	235 64.5%	178 60.6%	130 66.7%	2,285 76.0%	1,741 80.9%	235 64.5%	178 60.6%	61 63.2%	19 62.8%	5 60.7%	45 75.1%	1,741 80.9%	818 81.7%	7 72.8%	12 79.0%	348 74.4%	25 72.8%	137 85.6%	100 86.3%	82 83.9%	18 92.0%	57 72.4%	50 89.7%	21 100.0%	24 82.6%	21 96.3%	21 91.4%	2,285 76.0%	939 83.6%	849 79.6%	497 61.0%	2,285 76.0%	562 83.1%	872 68.5%	850 80.6%	939 83.6%	451 86.8%	315 83.1%	173 76.9%	497 61.0%	159 75.4%	121 70.6%	95 51.3%	121 49.3%	2,285 76.0%	522 64.6%	775 75.0%	612 85.6%	375 83.8%	773 71.1%	376 72.1%	397 70.1%	2,285 76.0%	504 66.1%	510 74.1%	776 80.3%	410 85.8%	84 76.7%	2,285 76.0%	969 77.8%	255 67.3%	122 55.6%	78 60.0%	150 73.0%	38 57.5%	673 88.6%	2,285 76.0%	275 70.1%	2,010 76.9%	275 70.1%	174 74.3%	82 66.2%	19 55.9%	2,285 76.0%	1,175 81.5%	169 76.4%	277 75.0%	48 61.6%	616 68.9%	2,285 76.0%	830 72.4%	952 83.1%	101 63.7%	401 72.6%	2,285 76.0%	27 44.2%	265 81.4%	1,993 76.1%	2,285 76.0%	682 83.3%	562 77.5%	387 71.1%	17 70.8%	29 84.6%	72 87.5%	20 65.9%	115 65.8%	400 70.1%	1,115 78.5%	589 79.7%	447 79.5%	78 66.0%	589 79.7%	439 83.3%	150 70.7%	2,285 76.0%	543 73.4%	1,158 77.4%	584 75.9%	2,285 76.0%	430 78.1%	538 79.3%	833 73.6%	483 75.2%	2,285 76.0%	117 79.7%	312 77.5%	388 78.8%	150 80.6%	487 75.4%	122 75.0%	225 69.3%	161 77.5%	323 74.1%	2,285 76.0%	2,285 100.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	2,285 78.1%	980 78.9%	1,147 82.7%	157 53.6%	2,285 76.0%	2,285 81.7%	0 0.0%	2,285 76.0%	1,871 86.5%	413 49.1%	2,285 76.0%	2,143 84.3%	142 30.6%	2,285 76.0%	1,728 87.3%	556 54.2%	2,285 76.0%	1,969 85.4%	316 45.2%	2,285 76.0%	203 50.3%	2,081 80.0%	2,143 84.3%	1,061 84.2%	1,067 84.8%	15 66.7%	2,285 76.0%	589 81.1%	1,506 77.7%	190 55.9%	2,285 76.0%	642 79.9%	852 69.3%	791 81.3%	2,285 76.0%	765 80.4%	728 69.8%	792 78.3%	2,285 76.0%	719 79.5%	783 68.8%	783 81.2%	2,285 76.0%	787 78.2%	728 69.7%	770 80.6%	2,285 76.0%	631 74.9%	728 71.9%	926 80.5%	2,285 76.0%	428 89.2%	509 72.4%	270 61.0%	1,041 80.8%	37 40.0%	2,285 76.0%	517 87.8%	480 70.0%	311 65.7%	932 81.2%	45 40.7%	2,285 76.0%	370 87.3%	402 73.6%	317 66.0%	1,142 79.3%	53 46.7%	2,285 76.0%	280 83.3%	412 74.5%	341 66.8%	1,149 80.5%	102 57.5%	2,285 76.0%	388 86.9%	435 73.3%	345 67.2%	987 81.5%	129 53.6%	1,148 82.7%	894 85.4%	169 82.1%	39 57.7%	46 66.9%	979 78.9%	741 86.0%	57 64.0%	76 59.0%	104 64.9%	1,146 82.7%	478 86.5%	101 76.6%	152 76.6%	397 87.7%	18 35.5%	981 78.9%	599 86.6%	86 67.8%	114 69.5%	160 75.2%	22 45.8%
Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50 Count Column %	510 17.0%	209 14.6%	301 19.1%	510 17.0%	131 29.0%	151 20.2%	173 15.8%	56 7.8%	510 17.0%	85 31.2%	46 25.7%	106 22.7%	84 17.0%	134 15.3%	41 8.6%	14 6.1%	510 17.0%	303 14.1%	84 23.2%	79 26.7%	44 22.8%	510 17.0%	303 14.1%	84 23.2%	79 26.7%	27 28.4%	7 24.6%	3 31.6%	7 11.5%	303 14.1%	145 14.5%	2 27.2%	3 17.8%	77 16.5%	6 17.5%	15 9.3%	14 12.2%	11 11.3%	2 8.0%	18 22.4%	4 7.2%	0 0.0%	4 13.5%	1 3.7%	1 5.0%	510 17.0%	145 12.9%	167 15.7%	198 24.3%	510 17.0%	84 12.4%	288 22.6%	139 13.2%	145 12.9%	57 11.0%	56 14.9%	31 13.9%	198 24.3%	39 18.5%	35 20.1%	62 33.2%	62 25.4%	510 17.0%	195 24.1%	182 17.6%	80 11.1%	53 11.9%	202 18.6%	95 18.2%	107 18.9%	510 17.0%	167 21.9%	133 19.3%	141 14.6%	55 11.5%	14 12.9%	510 17.0%	201 16.2%	96 25.3%	58 26.5%	34 25.7%	33 16.1%	17 25.3%	71 9.4%	510 17.0%	84 21.3%	426 16.3%	84 21.3%	45 19.4%	28 22.3%	11 31.1%	510 17.0%	192 13.3%	35 16.0%	67 18.0%	18 22.9%	198 22.2%	510 17.0%	217 18.9%	151 13.2%	28 17.7%	114 20.6%	510 17.0%	22 36.1%	44 13.4%	445 17.0%	510 17.0%	105 12.8%	120 16.5%	113 20.7%	6 26.2%	3 9.3%	8 9.4%	8 25.0%	41 23.4%	107 18.7%	227 16.0%	117 15.8%	81 14.5%	29 24.1%	117 15.8%	72 13.7%	45 21.0%	510 17.0%	143 19.3%	234 15.6%	134 17.4%	510 17.0%	92 16.8%	96 14.2%	209 18.5%	112 17.4%	510 17.0%	22 14.9%	70 17.5%	69 13.9%	27 14.8%	117 18.1%	26 15.9%	66 20.5%	36 17.4%	76 17.5%	510 17.0%	0 0.0%	510 100.0%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	510 17.4%	223 17.9%	200 14.4%	87 29.6%	510 17.0%	510 18.3%	0 0.0%	510 17.0%	248 11.5%	262 31.2%	510 17.0%	341 13.4%	169 36.3%	510 17.0%	209 10.6%	301 29.3%	510 17.0%	279 12.1%	231 33.0%	510 17.0%	115 28.4%	395 15.2%	341 13.4%	166 13.2%	169 13.4%	7 29.2%	510 17.0%	111 15.3%	309 16.0%	90 26.5%	510 17.0%	129 16.1%	258 21.0%	123 12.6%	510 17.0%	145 15.3%	210 20.1%	155 15.3%	510 17.0%	141 15.5%	248 21.9%	121 12.6%	510 17.0%	171 17.0%	214 20.5%	125 13.1%	510 17.0%	155 18.4%	200 19.8%	155 13.5%	510 17.0%	39 8.1%	146 20.7%	131 29.5%	168 13.1%	27 29.1%	510 17.0%	50 8.5%	158 23.1%	125 26.4%	142 12.4%	35 31.2%	510 17.0%	41 9.8%	113 20.8%	124 25.8%	206 14.3%	26 22.5%	510 17.0%	33 9.8%	113 20.5%	120 23.4%	204 14.3%	41 22.8%	510 17.0%	39 8.6%	124 20.9%	122 23.9%	162 13.4%	63 26.2%	200 14.4%	130 12.5%	33 16.0%	22 31.8%	15 22.5%	223 18.0%	112 12.9%	26 29.6%	42 32.7%	43 26.6%	200 14.4%	65 11.7%	23 17.7%	40 20.0%	49 10.8%	23 45.9%	223 17.9%	82 11.9%	37 29.2%	43 26.5%	46 21.7%	14 29.1%
Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50 Count Column %	129 4.3%	50 3.5%	79 5.0%	129 4.3%	48 10.6%	42 5.6%	30 2.8%	9 1.3%	129 4.3%	37 13.6%	11 6.0%	29 6.1%	20 4.1%	23 2.6%	7 1.4%	3 1.1%	129 4.3%	68 3.1%	28 7.8%	22 7.6%	10 5.4%	129 4.3%	68 3.1%	28 7.8%	22 7.6%	4 4.4%	2 7.8%	1 7.7%	3 5.3%	68 3.1%	26 2.6%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	27 5.9%	3 9.7%	5 3.1%	1 0.6%	2 2.4%	0 0.0%	1 0.9%	1 1.8%	0 0.0%	1 2.2%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	129 4.3%	27 2.4%	35 3.3%	68 8.3%	129 4.3%	15 2.3%	80 6.3%	34 3.2%	27 2.4%	7 1.4%	6 1.6%	13 5.9%	68 8.3%	10 4.6%	8 4.7%	20 11.0%	29 11.9%	129 4.3%	59 7.2%	49 4.8%	13 1.8%	8 1.8%	71 6.5%	34 6.6%	37 6.5%	129 4.3%	52 6.8%	35 5.0%	30 3.1%	8 1.7%	4 3.9%	129 4.3%	50 4.0%	20 5.2%	26 11.7%	7 5.7%	12 5.8%	9 13.6%	6 0.7%	129 4.3%	27 6.9%	102 3.9%	27 6.9%	13 5.5%	11 8.6%	3 10.0%	129 4.3%	39 2.7%	12 5.4%	20 5.3%	8 9.8%	51 5.7%	129 4.3%	66 5.8%	25 2.2%	14 8.9%	23 4.2%	129 4.3%	10 16.6%	15 4.5%	104 4.0%	129 4.3%	27 3.3%	32 4.4%	25 4.5%	0 0.0%	2 6.2%	2 1.9%	2 5.6%	9 5.0%	31 5.4%	54 3.8%	22 3.0%	23 4.1%	9 7.3%	22 3.0%	11 2.1%	11 5.0%	129 4.3%	36 4.8%	65 4.4%	28 3.7%	129 4.3%	19 3.5%	28 4.2%	56 4.9%	25 4.0%	129 4.3%	5 3.3%	14 3.5%	22 4.5%	6 3.3%	31 4.8%	7 4.2%	18 5.6%	8 3.7%	18 4.1%	129 4.3%	0 0.0%	0 0.0%	129 100.0%	0 0.0%	129 4.4%	39 3.1%	40 2.9%	50 16.8%	129 4.3%	0 0.0%	129 61.3%	129 4.3%	36 1.6%	93 11.1%	129 4.3%	43 1.7%	86 18.5%	129 4.3%	35 1.8%	94 9.2%	129 4.3%	46 2.0%	83 11.9%	129 4.3%	57 14.0%	72 2.8%	43 1.7%	25 2.0%	18 1.4%	0 0.0%	129 4.3%	17 2.3%	84 4.3%	29 8.4%	129 4.3%	22 2.7%	70 5.7%	37 3.8%	129 4.3%	28 2.9%	62 5.9%	39 3.9%	129 4.3%	29 3.2%	65 5.7%	35 3.6%	129 4.3%	28 2.8%	65 6.3%	35 3.7%	129 4.3%	41 4.8%	47 4.6%	42 3.6%	129 4.3%	5 1.0%	36 5.2%	27 6.0%	49 3.8%	12 12.9%	129 4.3%	13 2.2%	34 5.0%	26 5.4%	42 3.7%	14 12.7%	129 4.3%	4 1.0%	22 4.0%	27 5.5%	59 4.1%	18 15.5%	129 4.3%	13 3.8%	18 3.2%	34 6.7%	45 3.2%	19 10.6%	129 4.3%	10 2.2%	20 3.4%	38 7.3%	37 3.0%	24 10.1%	40 2.9%	22 2.1%	4 1.9%	7 10.5%	7 10.6%	39 3.2%	9 1.1%	6 6.3%	11 8.2%	14 8.5%	40 2.9%	10 1.8%	7 5.7%	7 3.5%	7 1.4%	9 18.6%	39 3.1%	10 1.5%	4 3.0%	7 4.0%	7 3.1%	12 25.1%
Certain NOT to vote Count Column %	81 2.7%	27 1.9%	55 3.5%	81 2.7%	25 5.5%	25 3.4%	27 2.4%	4 0.6%	81 2.7%	17 6.1%	8 4.7%	17 3.7%	18 3.7%	16 1.9%	3 0.7%	1 0.3%	81 2.7%	40 1.9%	16 4.4%	15 5.2%	10 5.2%	81 2.7%	40 1.9%	16 4.4%	15 5.2%	4 4.0%	1 4.7%	0 0.0%	5 8.1%	40 1.9%	12 1.2%	0 0.0%	1 3.2%	15 3.3%	0 0.0%	3 1.9%	1 0.9%	2 2.4%	0 0.0%