Rust Belt Poll - Badger State Battleground
Weight Variable = Wisconsin Registered Voter, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyRepublican IdentificationIndependent IdentificationEducationIncomeEmploymentUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranReligionEvangelicalAreaRegionLikely Voter ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersI voted in the 2022 midterm electionI voted in the 2020 presidential electionI voted in the 2018 midterm electionI voted in the 2016 presidential electionI've never voted2020 Presidential VotePresidential Primary Participation HistoryBiden ApprovalRepublican Presidential NominationDemocratic Presidential NominationCan / Cannot Be PersuadedBiden vs. TrumpBiden vs. Trump vs. KennedyBiden vs. Trump vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+TotalWhite / CaucasianBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependent / OtherTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalAmerica First RepublicanismTraditional RepublicanismUnsure / No opinionTotalDemocratic PartyRepublican PartyEqually alignedShare little in common with eitherTotalHigh School / LessSome / Associate4-Year / GradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalMilitaryVeteranNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalYesNoTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalMilwaukeeDaneSoutheastSouthwestNorthwestNortheastTotalCertain to voteLikely to vote ≥ 50/50Unlikely to vote ≤ 50/50Certain NOT to voteTotalDemocraticRepublicanUnlikely OR Ineligible to voteTotalLikely VotersUnlikely VotersTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalJoseph R. Biden, DemocratDonald J. Trump, RepublicanJo Jorgensen, LibertarianSomeone elseTotalYes, I've votedNo, first timeTotalStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveUndecidedTotalDonald TrumpRon DeSantisNikki HaleyVivek RamaswamyChris ChristieRyan BinkleyDoug BurgumAsa HutchinsonSomeone elseUndecidedTotalJoe BidenMarianne WilliamsonDean PhillipsSomeone elseUndecidedTotalI can be persuaded to change my mindI cannot be persuaded to change my mindTotalJoseph R. Biden, DemocratDonald J. Trump, RepublicanAnother third party candidateWould NOT voteUndecidedTotalJoseph R. Biden, DemocratDonald J. Trump, RepublicanRobert F. Kennedy Jr., IndependentAnother third party candidateWould NOT voteUndecidedTotalJoseph R. Biden, DemocratDonald J. Trump, RepublicanRobert F. Kennedy Jr., IndependentCornel West, IndependentJill Stein, GreenWould NOT voteUndecided
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter Screen
Sample Size870
431
439
870
100
184
351
236
870
762
55
30
23
870
318
305
246
870
215
349
306
318
109
121
88
246
68
66
51
61
870
191
373
198
108
870
174
194
284
176
43
870
393
84
39
27
71
14
243
870
122
748
122
54
56
12
870
478
51
114
20
207
870
387
180
30
273
870
5
88
777
870
327
244
9
5
57
228
327
133
195
870
257
351
263
870
148
69
285
92
111
165
870
712
105
38
15
855
365
430
60
870
817
53
870
683
187
870
764
106
870
629
241
870
714
156
870
69
801
764
369
369
11
15
795
728
68
870
137
215
118
373
27
430
233
55
53
29
14
3
1
1
4
38
365
260
16
11
19
59
676
382
294
870
323
336
123
33
55
870
318
336
81
69
18
48
870
312
343
89
14
5
28
78
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
712
81.9%
366
85.0%
346
78.8%
712
81.9%
63
63.3%
147
80.0%
290
82.6%
212
90.0%
712
81.9%
643
84.4%
37
66.9%
21
67.5%
12
52.2%
712
81.9%
274
86.2%
266
87.0%
172
69.9%
712
81.9%
182
84.9%
282
80.8%
248
80.9%
274
86.2%
103
94.1%
105
87.1%
66
75.0%
172
69.9%
55
81.1%
54
81.9%
33
64.1%
30
49.4%
712
81.9%
125
65.4%
307
82.3%
178
89.8%
102
94.9%
712
81.9%
122
70.2%
157
80.9%
235
82.7%
162
92.1%
37
85.9%
712
81.9%
341
86.8%
56
66.1%
18
46.2%
16
59.2%
55
77.7%
10
71.6%
217
89.3%
712
81.9%
97
79.7%
615
82.2%
97
79.7%
44
82.3%
46
81.6%
7
58.5%
712
81.9%
415
86.7%
45
87.9%
96
84.6%
10
50.1%
146
70.8%
712
81.9%
336
86.7%
143
79.3%
21
72.2%
212
77.8%
712
81.9%
1
23.3%
80
91.0%
631
81.2%
712
81.9%
271
82.7%
212
86.7%
8
85.3%
1
29.8%
40
69.5%
181
79.4%
271
82.7%
116
87.5%
155
79.4%
712
81.9%
218
84.8%
279
79.5%
216
82.1%
712
81.9%
117
78.8%
57
82.0%
244
85.7%
76
82.5%
87
78.5%
132
79.9%
712
81.9%
712
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
712
83.3%
320
87.6%
373
86.7%
19
32.5%
712
81.9%
712
87.2%
0
0.0%
712
81.9%
628
92.0%
84
45.0%
712
81.9%
683
89.4%
29
27.5%
712
81.9%
580
92.2%
132
54.8%
712
81.9%
640
89.6%
73
46.4%
712
81.9%
29
41.7%
683
85.3%
683
89.4%
336
91.1%
328
88.8%
8
76.3%
11
71.9%
693
87.1%
655
90.1%
37
55.2%
712
81.9%
127
92.4%
171
79.5%
81
69.3%
314
84.2%
18
68.6%
373
86.7%
207
89.0%
50
89.8%
48
91.0%
22
75.4%
14
100.0%
1
32.4%
1
100.0%
1
100.0%
2
52.6%
27
72.9%
320
87.6%
240
92.3%
10
62.4%
9
83.9%
15
76.4%
46
78.3%
603
89.2%
329
86.2%
274
93.1%
712
81.9%
285
88.5%
286
85.1%
97
78.8%
6
19.1%
38
68.2%
712
81.9%
286
89.9%
287
85.2%
56
68.4%
52
75.5%
0
0.0%
32
67.6%
712
81.9%
280
89.8%
292
85.1%
65
72.3%
8
55.8%
3
66.5%
7
24.5%
57
73.3%
Likely to vote ≥ 50/50

Count
Column %
105
12.0%
48
11.2%
57
12.9%
105
12.0%
21
20.7%
27
14.8%
39
11.1%
18
7.7%
105
12.0%
81
10.6%
14
24.9%
5
15.4%
5
24.1%
105
12.0%
36
11.4%
28
9.1%
41
16.6%
105
12.0%
22
10.1%
41
11.8%
42
13.8%
36
11.4%
6
5.9%
13
10.5%
17
19.4%
41
16.6%
7
10.9%
8
12.8%
12
23.4%
13
21.4%
105
12.0%
39
20.5%
47
12.5%
15
7.7%
4
3.7%
105
12.0%
32
18.3%
22
11.3%
41
14.4%
10
5.8%
0
0.0%
105
12.0%
38
9.8%
17
20.0%
15
39.3%
5
17.2%
7
10.1%
3
19.1%
20
8.2%
105
12.0%
16
13.3%
89
11.9%
16
13.3%
6
10.9%
8
14.5%
2
18.3%
105
12.0%
44
9.3%
5
9.7%
9
8.0%
5
23.6%
42
20.2%
105
12.0%
33
8.5%
22
12.0%
4
14.9%
46
16.8%
105
12.0%
1
14.8%
5
5.9%
99
12.7%
105
12.0%
43
13.2%
19
7.8%
1
12.1%
3
70.2%
9
16.2%
29
12.7%
43
13.2%
13
10.1%
30
15.3%
105
12.0%
24
9.5%
50
14.2%
31
11.7%
105
12.0%
23
15.6%
8
11.4%
33
11.6%
7
7.6%
15
13.9%
18
11.1%
105
12.0%
0
0.0%
105
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
105
12.3%
32
8.9%
50
11.7%
22
36.9%
105
12.0%
105
12.8%
0
0.0%
105
12.0%
45
6.6%
60
32.0%
105
12.0%
70
9.2%
34
32.5%
105
12.0%
39
6.1%
66
27.5%
105
12.0%
64
8.9%
41
26.2%
105
12.0%
19
27.0%
86
10.8%
70
9.2%
30
8.1%
35
9.5%
2
14.5%
4
26.6%
83
10.4%
61
8.4%
22
31.9%
105
12.0%
8
6.1%
33
15.2%
17
14.7%
42
11.3%
5
16.8%
50
11.7%
24
10.5%
3
6.0%
4
6.9%
5
17.4%
0
0.0%
2
67.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
47.4%
10
27.1%
32
8.9%
19
7.2%
3
17.5%
0
0.0%
3
14.7%
8
13.7%
60
8.9%
42
10.9%
18
6.2%
105
12.0%
33
10.2%
33
9.9%
18
14.5%
9
27.5%
12
21.2%
105
12.0%
31
9.8%
34
10.0%
12
14.4%
15
21.8%
2
12.9%
11
23.1%
105
12.0%
28
8.8%
35
10.3%
13
15.1%
6
44.2%
1
11.4%
6
19.4%
16
20.4%
Unlikely to vote ≤ 50/50

Count
Column %
38
4.4%
12
2.8%
26
5.9%
38
4.4%
12
11.5%
7
3.8%
14
4.0%
5
2.2%
38
4.4%
26
3.5%
1
2.0%
5
17.1%
5
23.7%
38
4.4%
6
1.7%
10
3.3%
22
9.0%
38
4.4%
9
4.2%
17
4.9%
12
3.9%
6
1.7%
0
0.0%
2
1.5%
4
4.3%
22
9.0%
5
7.6%
2
3.5%
3
6.2%
12
18.9%
38
4.4%
19
9.9%
16
4.3%
3
1.5%
0
0.0%
38
4.4%
12
6.9%
13
6.9%
6
2.2%
2
1.3%
4
10.1%
38
4.4%
10
2.6%
9
11.0%
4
11.3%
4
15.3%
5
7.3%
0
0.0%
5
2.0%
38
4.4%
8
6.2%
30
4.1%
8
6.2%
3
4.9%
2
4.0%
3
23.3%
38
4.4%
15
3.2%
1
2.4%
7
5.9%
5
26.2%
9
4.6%
38
4.4%
17
4.3%
10
5.6%
1
4.2%
10
3.7%
38
4.4%
3
61.9%
3
3.1%
32
4.1%
38
4.4%
9
2.7%
12
4.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
7
12.6%
10
4.5%
9
2.7%
1
0.8%
8
4.0%
38
4.4%
10
3.7%
19
5.5%
9
3.5%
38
4.4%
4
2.7%
4
6.2%
4
1.5%
6
6.9%
7
6.2%
12
7.4%
38
4.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
38
100.0%
0
0.0%
38
4.4%
13
3.5%
7
1.6%
18
30.6%
38
4.4%
0
0.0%
38
71.6%
38
4.4%
7
1.0%
31
16.7%
38
4.4%
8
1.1%
30
27.9%
38
4.4%
9
1.4%
29
12.1%
38
4.4%
9
1.2%
29
18.7%
38
4.4%
16
22.8%
22
2.8%
8
1.1%
3
0.7%
5
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
1.6%
20
2.5%
11
1.5%
9
12.9%
38
4.4%
2
1.5%
9
4.2%
14
12.2%
10
2.8%
2
7.7%
7
1.6%
1
0.6%
2
4.2%
1
2.1%
2
7.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
13
3.5%
1
0.5%
3
20.1%
2
16.1%
2
8.9%
5
8.0%
13
2.0%
11
2.9%
2
0.7%
38
4.4%
3
0.9%
10
3.0%
7
5.5%
13
40.3%
5
9.0%
38
4.4%
0
0.0%
10
3.1%
13
15.7%
2
2.7%
10
54.6%
3
7.0%
38
4.4%
2
0.6%
10
2.9%
11
12.4%
0
0.0%
1
22.1%
10
35.0%
4
5.5%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
15
1.7%
4
1.0%
11
2.5%
15
1.7%
4
4.5%
3
1.4%
8
2.2%
0
0.1%
15
1.7%
12
1.5%
3
6.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.7%
2
0.7%
2
0.6%
11
4.5%
15
1.7%
2
0.9%
9
2.5%
4
1.4%
2
0.7%
0
0.0%
1
1.0%
1
1.3%
11
4.5%
0
0.4%
1
1.8%
3
6.3%
6
10.3%
15
1.7%
8
4.2%
4
1.0%
2
1.1%
1
1.4%
15
1.7%
8
4.7%
2
0.9%
2
0.7%
1
0.8%
2
4.0%
15
1.7%
3
0.9%
2
2.9%
1
3.2%
2
8.3%
3
4.8%
1
9.4%
1
0.4%
15
1.7%
1
0.8%
14
1.9%
1
0.8%
1
1.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.7%
4
0.9%
0
0.0%
2
1.5%
0
0.0%
9
4.4%
15
1.7%
2
0.6%
5
3.0%
3
8.7%
5
1.7%
15
1.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.9%
15
1.7%
5
1.4%
2
0.6%
0
2.6%
0
0.0%
1
1.6%
8
3.4%
5
1.4%
2
1.6%
3
1.3%
15
1.7%
5
2.0%
3
0.8%
7
2.7%
15
1.7%
4
2.9%
0
0.4%
4
1.2%
3
2.9%
2
1.4%
3
1.7%
15
1.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.7%
0
0.0%
15
28.4%
15
1.7%
3
0.5%
12
6.4%
15
1.7%
2
0.3%
13
12.1%
15
1.7%
2
0.2%
14
5.6%
15
1.7%
2
0.2%
14
8.6%
15
1.7%
6
8.6%
9
1.1%
2
0.3%
0
0.1%
1
0.3%
1
9.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.7%
0
0.0%
2
1.1%
4
3.8%
6
1.7%
2
6.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
15
1.7%
1
0.4%
7
2.0%
2
1.2%
4
13.1%
1
1.7%
15
1.7%
1
0.4%
6
1.8%
1
1.4%
0
0.0%
6
32.5%
1
2.2%
15
1.7%
2
0.7%
6
1.7%
0
0.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
6
21.1%
1
0.8%
In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?
Primary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation Screen
Sample Size855
426
429
855
96
181
343
236
855
750
51
30
23
855
316
304
235
855
213
340
302
316
109
120
87
235
68
65
48
55
855
183
370
196
106
855
166
192
282
174
41
855
390
82
38
25
67
12
242
855
121
734
121
53
56
12
855
474
51
112
20
198
855
385
175
27
268
855
5
88
762
855
323
242
9
5
56
220
323
131
192
855
251
348
256
855
144
69
282
90
109
162
855
712
105
38
-
855
365
430
60
855
817
38
855
680
175
855
762
93
855
628
227
855
712
143
855
63
792
762
368
368
10
15
795
728
68
855
137
212
113
367
25
430
233
55
53
29
14
3
1
1
4
38
365
260
16
11
19
59
676
382
294
855
321
329
122
29
54
855
317
331
80
69
12
47
855
310
337
89
14
5
22
78
Democratic

Count
Column %
365
42.7%
154
36.1%
211
49.3%
365
42.7%
45
46.8%
91
50.2%
133
38.9%
96
40.8%
365
42.7%
303
40.4%
36
70.7%
17
57.5%
8
34.9%
365
42.7%
7
2.2%
287
94.4%
72
30.5%
365
42.7%
187
88.0%
152
44.7%
26
8.5%
7
2.2%
3
2.5%
4
3.4%
0
0.0%
72
30.5%
50
73.4%
2
3.2%
10
21.6%
9
17.2%
365
42.7%
70
38.2%
155
41.8%
84
42.6%
57
53.8%
365
42.7%
70
42.5%
88
45.7%
120
42.5%
72
41.3%
15
36.7%
365
42.7%
153
39.3%
46
56.2%
14
37.6%
13
52.3%
29
43.5%
6
47.9%
104
43.0%
365
42.7%
54
44.9%
311
42.3%
54
44.9%
23
43.5%
25
44.0%
7
55.2%
365
42.7%
174
36.8%
22
42.3%
49
43.6%
13
65.8%
107
54.3%
365
42.7%
140
36.4%
78
45.0%
13
48.1%
134
49.8%
365
42.7%
3
61.9%
33
37.7%
329
43.2%
365
42.7%
97
30.2%
92
37.7%
3
35.3%
2
45.0%
34
61.4%
137
62.1%
97
30.2%
34
26.2%
63
32.9%
365
42.7%
133
52.7%
150
43.2%
82
32.3%
365
42.7%
91
62.9%
38
54.5%
107
38.0%
32
35.8%
42
38.7%
56
34.5%
365
42.7%
320
44.9%
32
30.9%
13
33.8%
-
-
365
42.7%
365
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
365
42.7%
352
43.1%
13
33.8%
365
42.7%
306
45.0%
59
33.8%
365
42.7%
330
43.3%
35
37.7%
365
42.7%
273
43.6%
92
40.3%
365
42.7%
297
41.7%
68
47.7%
365
42.7%
27
42.7%
338
42.7%
330
43.3%
314
85.3%
9
2.3%
3
27.1%
4
28.8%
365
45.9%
323
44.4%
42
62.4%
365
42.7%
123
89.8%
168
79.3%
42
37.4%
17
4.7%
14
54.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
365
100.0%
260
100.0%
16
100.0%
11
100.0%
19
100.0%
59
100.0%
287
42.5%
150
39.1%
138
46.9%
365
42.7%
284
88.5%
8
2.4%
40
32.5%
7
25.1%
26
48.0%
365
42.7%
281
88.6%
9
2.6%
32
40.0%
19
27.1%
2
18.6%
23
48.9%
365
42.7%
279
90.1%
5
1.6%
36
40.3%
7
46.0%
2
51.0%
6
27.3%
29
37.9%
Republican

Count
Column %
430
50.3%
246
57.6%
184
43.0%
430
50.3%
42
44.3%
79
43.7%
190
55.5%
118
50.3%
430
50.3%
393
52.4%
13
25.4%
10
33.7%
14
59.8%
430
50.3%
307
97.1%
10
3.4%
113
48.0%
430
50.3%
16
7.3%
152
44.8%
262
86.8%
307
97.1%
107
97.5%
116
96.6%
85
97.2%
113
48.0%
8
11.8%
60
92.2%
24
49.0%
22
40.1%
430
50.3%
94
51.7%
189
51.2%
99
50.7%
47
44.1%
430
50.3%
78
47.1%
85
44.4%
146
51.7%
96
55.0%
25
61.0%
430
50.3%
216
55.5%
27
32.5%
19
50.6%
11
43.3%
33
49.1%
5
42.7%
119
49.3%
430
50.3%
59
49.1%
371
50.5%
59
49.1%
26
50.2%
28
49.0%
5
44.8%
430
50.3%
276
58.2%
25
48.1%
54
48.0%
4
22.5%
71
35.9%
430
50.3%
217
56.3%
89
51.0%
12
43.9%
112
41.9%
430
50.3%
2
38.1%
49
55.9%
379
49.7%
430
50.3%
202
62.5%
138
56.9%
5
52.3%
3
55.0%
19
33.2%
65
29.4%
202
62.5%
91
69.6%
111
57.7%
430
50.3%
105
41.9%
168
48.4%
156
61.1%
430
50.3%
46
31.9%
24
34.7%
156
55.2%
51
57.4%
58
53.6%
95
58.6%
430
50.3%
373
52.4%
50
48.1%
7
17.9%
-
-
430
50.3%
0
0.0%
430
100.0%
0
0.0%
430
50.3%
423
51.8%
7
17.9%
430
50.3%
347
51.1%
83
47.4%
430
50.3%
393
51.6%
37
39.3%
430
50.3%
331
52.8%
99
43.4%
430
50.3%
379
53.2%
51
35.6%
430
50.3%
25
38.7%
406
51.2%
393
51.6%
30
8.1%
348
94.4%
6
64.4%
9
62.4%
430
54.1%
405
55.6%
25
37.6%
430
50.3%
12
8.4%
25
11.7%
51
44.8%
334
91.0%
9
35.9%
430
100.0%
233
100.0%
55
100.0%
53
100.0%
29
100.0%
14
100.0%
3
100.0%
1
100.0%
1
100.0%
4
100.0%
38
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
388
57.5%
232
60.9%
156
53.1%
430
50.3%
23
7.0%
315
95.7%
66
53.9%
8
28.8%
19
34.8%
430
50.3%
24
7.5%
313
94.8%
34
42.7%
41
59.6%
0
0.0%
18
37.7%
430
50.3%
18
5.9%
322
95.4%
39
43.4%
5
36.2%
2
44.7%
4
18.5%
40
51.4%
Unlikely OR Ineligible to vote

Count
Column %
60
7.0%
27
6.3%
33
7.7%
60
7.0%
9
9.0%
11
6.1%
19
5.6%
21
8.9%
60
7.0%
54
7.2%
2
3.9%
3
8.9%
1
5.3%
60
7.0%
2
0.8%
7
2.2%
51
21.5%
60
7.0%
10
4.7%
36
10.5%
14
4.7%
2
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
2.8%
51
21.5%
10
14.9%
3
4.7%
14
29.3%
23
42.8%
60
7.0%
18
10.0%
26
7.0%
13
6.8%
2
2.1%
60
7.0%
17
10.4%
19
9.8%
16
5.8%
6
3.7%
1
2.2%
60
7.0%
20
5.2%
9
11.3%
4
11.9%
1
4.4%
5
7.4%
1
9.4%
19
7.7%
60
7.0%
7
6.0%
53
7.2%
7
6.0%
3
6.3%
4
7.0%
0
0.0%
60
7.0%
24
5.0%
5
9.6%
9
8.4%
2
11.8%
19
9.8%
60
7.0%
28
7.3%
7
4.1%
2
8.0%
22
8.3%
60
7.0%
0
0.0%
6
6.4%
54
7.1%
60
7.0%
24
7.4%
13
5.3%
1
12.4%
0
0.0%
3
5.4%
19
8.6%
24
7.4%
6
4.3%
18
9.5%
60
7.0%
13
5.3%
29
8.5%
17
6.6%
60
7.0%
7
5.1%
8
10.9%
19
6.8%
6
6.9%
8
7.7%
11
7.0%
60
7.0%
19
2.7%
22
21.0%
18
48.3%
-
-
60
7.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
60
100.0%
60
7.0%
41
5.1%
18
48.3%
60
7.0%
27
3.9%
33
18.8%
60
7.0%
38
5.0%
21
23.0%
60
7.0%
23
3.6%
37
16.2%
60
7.0%
36
5.0%
24
16.7%
60
7.0%
12
18.5%
48
6.1%
38
5.0%
24
6.6%
12
3.3%
1
8.5%
1
8.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
60
7.0%
2
1.8%
19
9.1%
20
17.7%
16
4.2%
2
9.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
60
7.0%
14
4.4%
6
1.9%
17
13.6%
13
46.1%
9
17.2%
60
7.0%
12
3.9%
9
2.6%
14
17.3%
9
13.4%
10
81.4%
6
13.3%
60
7.0%
12
3.9%
10
2.9%
15
16.3%
3
17.8%
0
4.2%
12
54.2%
8
10.7%