Public Polling Project May 2023
Weight Variable = National Registered Voter File, Confidence Level = 95%
† Indicates variable-specific weighting (show details)
GenderAgeAge DetailRaceRace DetailWhite DetailHispanic DetailAsian DetailPartyIdeologyEducationRace / EducationIncomeEducation / IncomeUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranReligionEvangelicalAreaArea / GenderRegionModeVoting LikelihoodPresidential Primary ParticipationRepublican Presidential NominationDemocratic Presidential NominationRepublican Candidate-Specific SupportDemocratic Candidate-Specific Support
TotalWhite / NOT HispanicTotalHS / LessSome College / Associate4-Year / UndergradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUrbanSuburbanRural
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465-7475+TotalWhite / NOT HispanicBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalWhite / NOT HispanicBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsianAmerican Indian / Alaska NativeNative Hawaiian / Pacific IslanderOther Race / EthnicityTotalDanishDutchEnglishFrenchGermanIrishItalianNorwegianOtherPolishRussianScotch-IrishScottishSwedishTotalArgentineColombianCubanDominicanGuatemalanHonduranMexicanOther Spanish, Hispanic, or Latino groupPeruvianPuerto RicanSalvadoranSpaniardVenezuelanTotalChineseFilipinoIndianJapaneseKoreanOther Asian groupVietnameseTotalDEMREPIND / OTHTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalHS / LessSome College / Associate4-Year / UndergradAdvanced / PostgradHS / LessSome College / Associate4-Year / UndergradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalMilitaryVeteranNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalYesNoNo opinionTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleMaleFemaleMaleFemaleTotalNortheastMidwestSouthWestTotalOnlinePhoneTotalCertain to voteLikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50Certain NOT to voteTotalDemocraticRepublicanUnlikely / IneligibleTotalDonald TrumpRon DeSantisMike PenceVivek RamaswamyNikki HaleyTim ScottLarry ElderAsa HutchinsonSomeone elseUnsure / No opinionTotalJoe BidenRobert Kennedy Jr.Marianne WilliamsonSomeone elseUnsure / No opinionTotalI would vote for the party's nomineeI would consider voting for the other party's nomineeI would not vote at allTotalI would vote for the party's nomineeI would consider voting for the other party's nomineeI would not vote at all
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Voting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting LikelihoodVoting Likelihood
Sample Size3,032
1,422
1,610
3,032
455
746
1,189
643
3,032
240
215
440
591
904
473
170
3,032
2,247
379
230
176
3,032
2,247
379
230
79
33
12
52
2,298
14
39
819
48
391
251
173
49
228
78
36
88
52
32
230
4
2
21
13
4
3
100
20
3
39
10
7
4
79
31
19
6
2
6
6
8
3,032
1,137
1,146
749
3,032
652
1,186
1,195
3,032
779
1,025
743
485
2,247
513
751
579
403
3,032
489
616
1,019
665
243
3,032
229
231
219
72
27
181
222
428
160
34
49
105
244
253
92
29
58
127
179
91
3,032
477
2,555
477
253
180
45
3,032
1,667
189
359
74
743
3,032
1,183
738
181
930
3,032
75
379
2,578
3,032
1,289
688
79
39
282
655
1,289
490
104
694
3,032
757
1,562
713
3,032
379
378
744
818
299
414
3,032
561
625
1,280
567
3,032
2,138
894
3,032
2,514
394
75
49
2,983
1,298
1,431
254
1,431
857
238
76
65
53
17
10
5
38
72
1,298
794
166
48
130
161
1,359
914
271
174
1,137
776
258
103
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
2,514
82.9%
1,232
86.6%
1,282
79.6%
2,514
82.9%
270
59.3%
597
80.0%
1,037
87.3%
610
94.9%
2,514
82.9%
136
56.9%
134
62.0%
341
77.6%
483
81.7%
810
89.7%
450
95.2%
160
94.0%
2,514
82.9%
1,956
87.1%
269
71.0%
168
73.0%
120
68.5%
2,514
82.9%
1,956
87.1%
269
71.0%
168
73.0%
62
79.2%
18
53.5%
5
44.9%
35
67.5%
1,991
86.6%
11
82.9%
37
94.4%
652
79.7%
41
85.7%
357
91.3%
235
93.9%
165
95.2%
48
96.5%
193
84.8%
67
86.0%
34
94.9%
78
87.8%
49
94.1%
23
72.2%
168
73.0%
4
100.0%
2
100.0%
17
78.2%
7
51.5%
0
0.0%
3
100.0%
68
67.9%
19
91.7%
3
100.0%
30
78.2%
9
89.1%
5
77.8%
2
45.1%
62
79.2%
23
74.1%
19
100.0%
3
53.3%
2
100.0%
6
100.0%
2
38.0%
7
80.0%
2,514
82.9%
955
84.0%
1,004
87.6%
555
74.1%
2,514
82.9%
539
82.7%
948
80.0%
1,027
86.0%
2,514
82.9%
543
69.7%
862
84.1%
658
88.5%
452
93.1%
1,956
87.1%
399
77.8%
649
86.4%
525
90.7%
382
94.9%
2,514
82.9%
325
66.3%
479
77.8%
884
86.8%
603
90.7%
223
91.5%
2,514
82.9%
130
56.7%
167
72.2%
170
77.7%
54
74.0%
22
81.4%
129
70.9%
170
76.8%
384
89.8%
145
90.5%
34
100.0%
41
82.9%
87
82.5%
213
87.1%
238
94.2%
79
86.5%
25
85.4%
56
95.9%
116
91.5%
167
92.8%
88
96.4%
2,514
82.9%
351
73.6%
2,163
84.6%
351
73.6%
189
74.8%
131
72.7%
32
70.7%
2,514
82.9%
1,482
88.9%
150
79.4%
302
84.2%
44
60.5%
535
72.0%
2,514
82.9%
1,049
88.7%
587
79.6%
131
72.5%
746
80.2%
2,514
82.9%
30
39.6%
314
82.9%
2,170
84.2%
2,514
82.9%
1,130
87.7%
579
84.2%
55
70.0%
29
73.2%
210
74.4%
510
77.9%
1,130
87.7%
439
89.5%
87
84.0%
604
87.0%
2,514
82.9%
578
76.4%
1,342
85.9%
593
83.2%
2,514
82.9%
300
79.2%
278
73.7%
665
89.4%
677
82.7%
267
89.1%
327
78.9%
2,514
82.9%
462
82.4%
530
84.8%
1,041
81.4%
480
84.7%
2,514
82.9%
1,655
77.4%
858
96.0%
2,514
82.9%
2,514
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2,514
84.3%
1,102
84.9%
1,254
87.7%
157
62.0%
1,254
87.7%
762
88.9%
222
93.3%
59
77.6%
60
91.5%
41
78.3%
15
87.6%
6
62.2%
4
73.8%
23
61.0%
63
87.0%
1,102
84.9%
704
88.7%
132
79.6%
39
81.6%
106
81.7%
121
75.0%
1,192
87.7%
827
90.5%
220
81.3%
144
82.8%
981
86.3%
697
89.9%
196
75.9%
88
85.2%
Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50

Count
Column %
394
13.0%
137
9.6%
257
16.0%
394
13.0%
132
29.0%
118
15.8%
119
10.0%
26
4.0%
394
13.0%
75
31.4%
57
26.3%
80
18.3%
84
14.2%
72
8.0%
19
3.9%
7
4.2%
394
13.0%
239
10.6%
71
18.7%
42
18.2%
43
24.4%
394
13.0%
239
10.6%
71
18.7%
42
18.2%
11
13.3%
13
38.3%
4
36.4%
15
29.5%
254
11.0%
2
17.1%
2
5.6%
145
17.7%
5
11.1%
22
5.5%
12
4.9%
6
3.3%
0
0.0%
27
11.9%
11
14.0%
2
5.1%
11
12.2%
3
5.9%
6
18.1%
42
18.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
5
21.8%
2
12.2%
2
51.6%
0
0.0%
29
28.5%
2
8.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
10.9%
0
0.0%
2
54.9%
11
13.3%
5
16.9%
0
0.0%
2
30.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
28.1%
2
20.0%
394
13.0%
142
12.5%
114
9.9%
139
18.5%
394
13.0%
92
14.2%
183
15.4%
119
10.0%
394
13.0%
175
22.4%
128
12.5%
65
8.7%
27
5.5%
239
10.6%
95
18.6%
83
11.1%
43
7.4%
17
4.1%
394
13.0%
119
24.4%
103
16.8%
105
10.3%
50
7.5%
17
7.1%
394
13.0%
69
30.3%
50
21.4%
37
16.9%
14
18.8%
5
18.6%
43
23.6%
43
19.5%
31
7.3%
11
7.0%
0
0.0%
4
9.0%
8
7.7%
28
11.3%
12
4.8%
12
13.5%
3
9.3%
2
4.1%
9
6.7%
13
7.2%
0
0.0%
394
13.0%
96
20.2%
298
11.7%
96
20.2%
52
20.6%
38
21.4%
6
13.1%
394
13.0%
153
9.2%
24
12.9%
36
10.1%
25
33.5%
156
21.0%
394
13.0%
106
9.0%
112
15.2%
34
18.9%
141
15.2%
394
13.0%
33
44.1%
54
14.4%
307
11.9%
394
13.0%
125
9.7%
92
13.3%
17
21.2%
9
22.8%
58
20.4%
94
14.4%
125
9.7%
35
7.1%
15
14.3%
75
10.8%
394
13.0%
141
18.6%
160
10.2%
94
13.2%
394
13.0%
60
15.7%
81
21.5%
49
6.5%
111
13.6%
29
9.6%
65
15.7%
394
13.0%
76
13.6%
72
11.5%
180
14.1%
66
11.7%
394
13.0%
369
17.2%
26
2.9%
394
13.0%
0
0.0%
394
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
394
13.2%
170
13.1%
149
10.4%
74
29.3%
149
10.4%
80
9.4%
14
5.8%
16
20.4%
6
8.5%
9
18.0%
1
5.0%
4
37.8%
0
0.0%
12
32.3%
8
11.1%
170
13.1%
80
10.0%
31
18.6%
6
12.8%
17
13.3%
37
22.7%
142
10.4%
73
8.0%
50
18.3%
19
10.8%
134
11.8%
68
8.8%
55
21.2%
11
10.3%
Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50

Count
Column %
75
2.5%
39
2.7%
36
2.2%
75
2.5%
32
7.1%
24
3.2%
15
1.2%
4
0.7%
75
2.5%
21
8.7%
11
5.3%
13
2.9%
15
2.5%
11
1.2%
4
0.9%
0
0.0%
75
2.5%
31
1.4%
25
6.5%
10
4.4%
9
5.0%
75
2.5%
31
1.4%
25
6.5%
10
4.4%
6
7.5%
1
3.7%
0
0.0%
2
3.0%
33
1.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
12
1.4%
2
3.2%
10
2.6%
2
0.9%
0
0.0%
2
3.5%
5
2.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
10
4.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
15.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
7
16.9%
0
0.0%
2
22.2%
0
0.0%
6
7.5%
3
9.1%
0
0.0%
1
16.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
33.9%
0
0.0%
75
2.5%
25
2.2%
19
1.6%
31
4.1%
75
2.5%
10
1.5%
35
3.0%
30
2.5%
75
2.5%
36
4.6%
17
1.7%
16
2.1%
6
1.1%
31
1.4%
10
2.0%
7
1.0%
10
1.6%
4
1.0%
75
2.5%
23
4.6%
19
3.0%
22
2.2%
10
1.4%
2
0.7%
75
2.5%
13
5.7%
10
4.3%
8
3.6%
5
7.2%
0
0.0%
4
2.1%
3
1.5%
8
2.0%
2
1.1%
0
0.0%
4
8.0%
5
5.1%
4
1.6%
3
1.0%
0
0.0%
2
5.3%
0
0.0%
2
1.7%
0
0.0%
2
1.9%
75
2.5%
22
4.6%
53
2.1%
22
4.6%
8
3.3%
9
5.1%
5
10.2%
75
2.5%
18
1.1%
11
5.6%
12
3.3%
3
3.4%
32
4.2%
75
2.5%
14
1.2%
25
3.5%
14
7.8%
21
2.3%
75
2.5%
9
12.0%
8
2.0%
58
2.3%
75
2.5%
19
1.5%
16
2.4%
2
2.2%
2
4.1%
8
2.8%
28
4.3%
19
1.5%
13
2.7%
2
1.7%
4
0.6%
75
2.5%
23
3.0%
40
2.5%
12
1.7%
75
2.5%
11
3.0%
12
3.1%
25
3.4%
14
1.8%
2
0.7%
10
2.5%
75
2.5%
15
2.6%
8
1.3%
40
3.2%
11
2.0%
75
2.5%
70
3.3%
5
0.6%
75
2.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
75
100.0%
0
0.0%
75
2.5%
26
2.0%
27
1.9%
22
8.8%
27
1.9%
15
1.7%
2
0.9%
2
2.0%
0
0.0%
2
3.7%
1
7.4%
0
0.0%
1
26.2%
3
6.7%
1
1.9%
26
2.0%
10
1.2%
3
1.8%
3
5.6%
7
5.0%
4
2.2%
26
1.9%
13
1.4%
1
0.5%
11
6.4%
22
1.9%
10
1.3%
7
2.8%
5
4.5%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
49
1.6%
15
1.0%
35
2.1%
49
1.6%
21
4.6%
8
1.0%
18
1.5%
3
0.5%
49
1.6%
7
3.0%
14
6.4%
6
1.3%
10
1.7%
10
1.1%
0
0.0%
3
1.8%
49
1.6%
21
0.9%
14
3.8%
10
4.5%
4
2.1%
49
1.6%