BIG DATA POLL — National (December 2023)
Weight Variable = National Registered Voter File Database, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeAge DetailRaceRace DetailWhite DetailPartyIdeologyRepublican IdentificationIndependent IdentificationEducationIncomeEmploymentUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranReligionEvangelicalAreaRegionRegion DetailLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersPrimary Participation ScreenI voted in the 2022 midterm electionI voted in the 2020 presidential electionI voted in the 2018 midterm electionI voted in the 2016 presidential electionI've never voted2020 Presidential VoteDirection of CountryBiden ApprovalRepublican Presidential NominationDemocratic Presidential NominationRepublican Candidate-Specific SupportDemocratic Candidate-Specific Support
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465-7475+TotalWhite / NOT HispanicBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalWhite / NOT HispanicBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsianNative Hawaiian / Pacific IslanderAmerican Indian / Alaska NativeOther Race / EthnicityTotalAmericanDanishDutchEnglishFrenchGermanIrishItalianNorwegianOtherPolishRussianScotch-IrishScottishSwedishTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependent / OtherTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalAmerica First RepublicanismTraditional RepublicanismUnsure / No opinionTotalRepublican PartyDemocratic PartyEqually alignedShare little in common with eitherTotalHigh School / LessSome / Associate4-Year / GradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalMilitaryVeteranNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalYesNoNo opinionTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalNortheastMidwestSouthWestTotalNew EnglandMiddle AtlanticEast North CentralWest North CentralSouth AtlanticEast South CentralWest South CentralMountainPacificTotalCertain to voteLikely to vote ≥ 50/50Unlikely to vote ≤ 50/50Certain NOT to voteTotalLikely VotersUnlikely VotersTotalRepublicanDemocraticUnlikely OR Ineligible to voteTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalJoe BidenDonald TrumpJo JorgensenSomeone elseTotalRight directionWrong trackUnsure / No opinionTotalStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveUndecidedTotalDonald TrumpNikki HaleyRon DeSantisVivek RamaswamyChris ChristieAsa HutchinsonSomeone elseUndecidedTotalJoe BidenMarianne WilliamsonDean PhillipsSomeone elseUndecidedTotalI would vote for the party's nomineeI would consider voting for the Democratic nomineeI would consider voting for a third party nomineeI would write-in [your choice]I would not vote at allTotalI would vote for the party's nomineeI would consider voting for the Republican nomineeI would consider voting for a third party nomineeI would write-in [your choice]I would not vote at all
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter Screen
Sample Size3,011
1,445
1,566
3,011
479
764
1,094
674
3,011
259
220
503
488
867
470
205
3,011
2,117
385
319
190
3,011
2,117
385
319
87
9
45
48
2,204
1,101
4
20
437
38
166
94
70
28
102
53
29
31
20
10
3,011
1,099
1,078
834
3,011
765
1,247
1,000
1,099
434
433
232
834
203
187
201
243
3,011
765
1,135
683
428
3,011
744
699
979
485
105
3,011
1,321
383
176
145
228
73
686
3,011
524
2,487
524
299
179
47
3,011
1,497
226
418
96
774
3,011
1,149
619
198
1,045
3,011
93
388
2,530
3,011
1,240
714
103
64
272
618
1,240
690
482
68
3,011
837
1,448
726
3,011
530
650
1,171
659
3,011
135
394
467
184
617
214
340
223
437
3,011
2,239
534
147
92
3,011
2,772
239
2,919
1,338
1,298
283
3,011
2,268
743
3,011
2,560
451
3,011
2,019
992
3,011
2,268
743
3,011
434
2,577
2,560
1,262
1,179
51
68
3,011
836
1,853
322
3,011
561
716
445
1,168
122
1,339
839
131
111
89
47
20
20
83
1,298
864
72
58
126
179
1,339
619
115
144
405
56
1,298
754
144
146
210
44
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
2,239
74.3%
1,135
78.5%
1,104
70.5%
2,239
74.3%
264
55.1%
498
65.3%
859
78.5%
617
91.5%
2,239
74.3%
120
46.4%
144
65.4%
314
62.5%
345
70.7%
699
80.6%
430
91.5%
187
91.5%
2,239
74.3%
1,673
79.0%
244
63.4%
196
61.3%
126
66.3%
2,239
74.3%
1,673
79.0%
244
63.4%
196
61.3%
57
65.2%
5
50.8%
32
71.7%
32
66.0%
1,730
78.5%
870
79.0%
3
73.4%
10
51.5%
319
73.1%
27
69.3%
139
83.7%
79
83.5%
63
89.9%
23
82.9%
80
78.6%
46
86.8%
25
87.8%
24
76.9%
12
59.1%
10
100.0%
2,239
74.3%
869
79.1%
852
79.0%
518
62.1%
2,239
74.3%
607
79.3%
839
67.3%
793
79.3%
869
79.1%
359
82.7%
348
80.3%
163
70.0%
518
62.1%
139
68.4%
146
78.3%
113
56.6%
119
49.0%
2,239
74.3%
464
60.7%
851
74.9%
554
81.1%
369
86.3%
2,239
74.3%
491
66.1%
490
70.2%
777
79.4%
395
81.4%
86
81.3%
2,239
74.3%
993
75.2%
248
64.7%
99
56.4%
78
54.1%
157
68.6%
42
58.0%
621
90.6%
2,239
74.3%
366
69.7%
1,873
75.3%
366
69.7%
217
72.5%
120
67.0%
29
62.2%
2,239
74.3%
1,193
79.7%
155
68.8%
306
73.2%
56
58.7%
528
68.1%
2,239
74.3%
932
81.2%
425
68.6%
113
57.0%
769
73.5%
2,239
74.3%
29
30.9%
300
77.3%
1,910
75.5%
2,239
74.3%
974
78.5%
529
74.1%
79
76.5%
39
61.2%
179
65.8%
439
71.0%
974
78.5%
556
80.6%
378
78.5%
40
58.1%
2,239
74.3%
612
73.1%
1,082
74.7%
545
75.1%
2,239
74.3%
409
77.1%
495
76.0%
813
69.4%
523
79.3%
2,239
74.3%
112
82.3%
297
75.3%
359
77.0%
135
73.7%
422
68.4%
145
67.7%
245
72.2%
175
78.7%
348
79.6%
2,239
74.3%
2,239
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2,239
74.3%
2,239
80.7%
0
0.0%
2,239
76.7%
1,062
79.3%
1,025
79.0%
152
53.6%
2,239
74.3%
1,918
84.6%
321
43.2%
2,239
74.3%
2,114
82.6%
125
27.6%
2,239
74.3%
1,721
85.2%
518
52.2%
2,239
74.3%
1,900
83.8%
338
45.5%
2,239
74.3%
222
51.2%
2,016
78.2%
2,114
82.6%
1,060
84.0%
985
83.5%
27
53.0%
42
61.9%
2,239
74.3%
656
78.4%
1,403
75.7%
180
56.0%
2,239
74.3%
476
84.8%
530
74.0%
251
56.4%
938
80.2%
45
36.9%
1,063
79.3%
697
83.1%
108
82.3%
90
81.2%
73
81.5%
30
63.4%
8
39.1%
13
65.9%
45
53.9%
1,025
79.0%
739
85.6%
35
49.5%
36
62.2%
92
72.6%
123
68.7%
1,063
79.3%
528
85.4%
77
67.0%
103
71.3%
335
82.7%
19
34.7%
1,025
79.0%
658
87.3%
92
64.4%
97
66.4%
154
73.0%
24
54.5%
Likely to vote ≥ 50/50

Count
Column %
534
17.7%
225
15.6%
308
19.7%
534
17.7%
152
31.8%
172
22.6%
163
14.9%
46
6.8%
534
17.7%
100
38.8%
52
23.5%
122
24.3%
90
18.5%
123
14.2%
32
6.9%
14
6.8%
534
17.7%
301
14.2%
106
27.6%
83
26.1%
43
22.5%
534
17.7%
301
14.2%
106
27.6%
83
26.1%
22
24.9%
3
37.8%
7
16.0%
10
21.4%
323
14.7%
161
14.6%
0
0.0%
3
16.0%
82
18.8%
7
19.0%
17
10.4%
11
11.9%
2
3.0%
5
17.1%
14
13.3%
5
9.0%
4
12.2%
4
14.4%
7
36.9%
0
0.0%
534
17.7%
163
14.8%
179
16.6%
192
23.0%
534
17.7%
115
15.1%
282
22.6%
137
13.7%
163
14.8%
60
13.8%
55
12.7%
48
20.7%
192
23.0%
45
22.3%
29
15.6%
54
26.8%
64
26.2%
534
17.7%
186
24.4%
201
17.7%
102
15.0%
44
10.3%
534
17.7%
157
21.1%
148
21.2%
151
15.4%
64
13.1%
14
13.3%
534
17.7%
254
19.3%
93
24.2%
43
24.5%
31
21.6%
38
16.7%
24
32.8%
50
7.3%
534
17.7%
121
23.1%
412
16.6%
121
23.1%
71
23.7%
41
22.9%
10
20.8%
534
17.7%
226
15.1%
49
21.6%
59
14.1%
26
26.8%
175
22.5%
534
17.7%
154
13.4%
134
21.6%
60
30.1%
186
17.8%
534
17.7%
41
43.7%
68
17.4%
425
16.8%
534
17.7%
196
15.8%
126
17.6%
18
17.5%
18
28.2%
69
25.2%
107
17.4%
196
15.8%
104
15.0%
74
15.3%
19
27.5%
534
17.7%
170
20.3%
257
17.7%
107
14.7%
534
17.7%
79
15.0%
99
15.2%
257
21.9%
98
14.9%
534
17.7%
14
10.0%
66
16.7%
68
14.7%
30
16.6%
148
23.9%
47
22.0%
62
18.3%
33
14.7%
66
15.0%
534
17.7%
0
0.0%
534
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
534
17.7%
534
19.3%
0
0.0%
534
18.3%
221
16.5%
232
17.9%
81
28.5%
534
17.7%
296
13.1%
238
32.0%
534
17.7%
373
14.6%
161
35.6%
534
17.7%
247
12.2%
287
28.9%
534
17.7%
299
13.2%
235
31.6%
534
17.7%
130
30.0%
403
15.7%
373
14.6%
178
14.1%
157
13.3%
15
28.5%
23
34.4%
534
17.7%
141
16.9%
309
16.6%
84
26.1%
534
17.7%
70
12.5%
142
19.8%
132
29.7%
159
13.6%
31
25.9%
221
16.5%
112
13.4%
20
15.1%
17
15.1%
12
13.4%
13
28.2%
10
51.8%
6
28.2%
31
37.5%
232
17.9%
111
12.8%
29
40.4%
16
27.9%
30
24.0%
46
25.7%
221
16.5%
74
11.9%
31
27.2%
38
26.4%
58
14.2%
20
35.7%
232
17.9%
83
11.0%
45
31.3%
43
29.4%
48
23.0%
13
30.3%
Unlikely to vote ≤ 50/50

Count
Column %
147
4.9%
52
3.6%
96
6.1%
147
4.9%
39
8.1%
59
7.7%
41
3.7%
9
1.3%
147
4.9%
25
9.6%
14
6.3%
44
8.7%
31
6.3%
25
2.9%
7
1.5%
2
0.9%
147
4.9%
93
4.4%
17
4.5%
27
8.4%
10
5.4%
147
4.9%
93
4.4%
17
4.5%
27
8.4%
6
7.2%
1
11.4%
1
2.5%
2
3.9%
99
4.5%
52
4.8%
1
26.6%
4
19.0%
19
4.2%
4
9.2%
8
4.7%
2
1.7%
3
4.2%
0
0.0%
4
3.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
8.6%
1
4.1%
0
0.0%
147
4.9%
52
4.7%
33
3.1%
62
7.4%
147
4.9%
28
3.6%
80
6.4%
39
3.9%
52
4.7%
13
3.1%
24
5.5%
15
6.4%
62
7.4%
15
7.3%
7
3.6%
13
6.7%
27
11.0%
147
4.9%
75
9.9%
51
4.5%
13
1.9%
7
1.7%
147
4.9%
55
7.4%
45
6.5%
31
3.1%
13
2.7%
3
2.8%
147
4.9%
44
3.3%
30
7.9%
23
13.0%
14
10.0%
23
10.0%
4
5.8%
9
1.3%
147
4.9%
25
4.8%
122
4.9%
25
4.8%
8
2.8%
12
6.9%
5
10.1%
147
4.9%
42
2.8%
16
7.1%
35
8.3%
11
11.1%
44
5.7%
147
4.9%
39
3.4%
40
6.5%
15
7.6%
53
5.0%
147
4.9%
18
19.9%
13
3.3%
116
4.6%
147
4.9%
51
4.1%
31
4.3%
5
5.2%
3
5.4%
19
7.1%
38
6.1%
51
4.1%
21
3.1%
20
4.2%
9
13.1%
147
4.9%
30
3.6%
71
4.9%
47
6.4%
147
4.9%
25
4.8%
40
6.2%
58
5.0%
24
3.6%
147
4.9%
6
4.7%
19
4.8%
27
5.8%
13
7.0%
23
3.8%
14
6.5%
21
6.2%
10
4.3%
14
3.3%
147
4.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
147
100.0%
0
0.0%
147
4.9%
0
0.0%
147
61.6%
147
5.0%
56
4.2%
41
3.1%
51
17.9%
147
4.9%
39
1.7%
108
14.6%
147
4.9%
56
2.2%
91
20.3%
147
4.9%
37
1.8%
110
11.1%
147
4.9%
55
2.4%
92
12.4%
147
4.9%
53
12.2%
94
3.7%
56
2.2%
18
1.4%
29
2.4%
8
16.1%
1
1.2%
147
4.9%
26
3.1%
94
5.1%
26
8.2%
147
4.9%
9
1.5%
35
4.9%
45
10.1%
46
4.0%
12
9.6%
56
4.2%
30
3.5%
3
2.6%
4
3.7%
5
5.1%
4
8.4%
2
9.1%
1
5.9%
7
8.6%
41
3.1%
13
1.5%
7
10.1%
6
9.9%
4
3.4%
10
5.6%
56
4.2%
17
2.7%
7
5.7%
3
2.3%
12
3.1%
17
29.6%
41
3.1%
13
1.8%
6
4.3%
6
4.2%
8
4.0%
7
15.2%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
92
3.0%
33
2.3%
58
3.7%
92
3.0%
24
5.0%
34
4.4%
31
2.8%
3
0.4%
92
3.0%
14
5.2%
11
4.8%
23
4.5%
22
4.5%
20
2.3%
1
0.2%
2
0.9%
92
3.0%
49
2.3%
17
4.5%
14
4.3%
11
5.8%
92
3.0%
49
2.3%
17
4.5%
14
4.3%
2
2.7%
0
0.0%
4
9.7%
4
8.8%
52
2.3%
18
1.6%
0
0.0%
3
13.5%
17
3.8%
1
2.5%
2
1.2%
3
2.9%
2
2.9%
0
0.0%
4
4.2%
2
4.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
92
3.0%
15
1.4%
14
1.3%
63
7.5%
92
3.0%
15
2.0%
45
3.6%
31
3.1%
15
1.4%
2
0.5%
6
1.4%
7
3.0%
63
7.5%
4
2.1%
5
2.5%
20
9.9%
34
13.9%
92
3.0%
39
5.0%
32
2.8%
14
2.0%
7
1.7%
92
3.0%
40
5.4%
15
2.2%
20
2.0%
14
2.8%
3
2.7%
92
3.0%
29
2.2%
12
3.3%
11
6.2%
21
14.3%
11
4.7%
2
3.3%
5
0.8%
92
3.0%
12
2.3%
80
3.2%
12
2.3%
3
1.0%
6
3.2%
3
6.9%
92
3.0%
36
2.4%
6
2.5%
18
4.4%
3
3.5%
28
3.7%
92
3.0%
23
2.0%
20
3.3%
11
5.3%
38
3.6%
92
3.0%
5
5.5%
8
2.1%
78
3.1%
92
3.0%
19
1.6%
28
4.0%
1
0.8%
3
5.2%
5
1.9%
34
5.6%
19
1.6%
9
1.3%
10
2.0%
1
1.4%
92
3.0%
25
3.0%
39
2.7%
27
3.7%
92
3.0%
17
3.2%
17
2.6%
43
3.7%
14
2.2%
92
3.0%
4
3.0%
13
3.2%
12
2.6%
5
2.7%
24
3.9%
8
3.8%
11
3.4%
5
2.4%
9
2.1%
92
3.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
92
100.0%
92
3.0%
0
0.0%
92
38.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
92
3.0%
15
0.7%
77
10.3%
92
3.0%
17
0.7%
75
16.5%
92
3.0%
15
0.7%
77
7.8%
92
3.0%
13
0.6%
78
10.5%
92
3.0%
29
6.6%
63
2.4%
17
0.7%
6
0.4%
9
0.7%
1
2.4%
2
2.5%
92
3.0%
13
1.5%
48
2.6%
31
9.6%
92
3.0%
6
1.1%
9
1.2%
17
3.8%
26
2.2%
34
27.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary / caucus for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?
Primary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation Screen
Sample Size2,919
1,412
1,508
2,919
455
730
1,063
672
2,919
245
209
480
466
847
469
203
2,919
2,067
368
305
179
2,919
2,067
368
305
85
9
41
44
2,152
1,083
4
17
420
37
164
92
68
28
98
51
29
31
20
10
2,919
1,084
1,064
771
2,919
750
1,201
968
1,084
432
427
225
771
199
182
181
210
2,919
726
1,103
670
420
2,919
704
683
959
471
103
2,919
1,291
371
165
124
218
71
680
2,919
512
2,407
512
296
173
44
2,919
1,461
220
400
92
746
2,919
1,126
598
188
1,007
2,919
88
380
2,451
2,919
1,221
685
102
60
267
583
1,221
681
472
67
2,919
812
1,409
699
2,919
513
633
1,128
645
2,919
131
382
455
179
593
206
329
218
427
2,919
2,239
534
147
-
2,919
2,772
147
2,919
1,338
1,298
283
2,919
2,253
667
2,919
2,543
377
2,919
2,005
915
2,919
2,254
665
2,919
405
2,514
2,543
1,256
1,171
50
66
2,919
823
1,805
291
2,919
554
707
428
1,143
88
1,339
839
131
111
89
47
20
20
83
1,298
864
72
58
126
179
1,339
619
115
144
405
56
1,298
754
144
146
210
44
Republican

Count
Column %
1,338
45.8%
673
47.7%
666
44.1%
1,338
45.8%
167
36.8%
311
42.6%
531
49.9%
329
49.0%
1,338
45.8%
87
35.5%
80
38.4%
199
41.4%
221
47.4%
422
49.8%
237
50.6%
92
45.3%
1,338
45.8%
1,070
51.8%
68
18.4%
126
41.1%
75
41.8%
1,338
45.8%
1,070
51.8%
68
18.4%
126
41.1%
31
36.8%
5
59.9%
21
50.5%
17
39.6%
1,102
51.2%
594
54.9%
1
23.8%
12
67.2%
188
44.8%
21
55.4%
91
55.4%
44
47.6%
30
43.7%
15
53.3%
37
37.7%
24
47.0%
12
40.0%
16
52.8%
13
62.5%
5
52.9%
1,338
45.8%
1,007
92.9%
55
5.2%
277
35.9%
1,338
45.8%
105
14.0%
470
39.1%
763
78.8%
1,007
92.9%
398
92.0%
399
93.5%
210
93.2%
277
35.9%
146
73.6%
16
9.0%
64
35.4%
50
23.9%
1,338
45.8%
360
49.6%
500
45.3%
301
45.0%
177
42.1%
1,338
45.8%
275
39.0%
288
42.2%
498
52.0%
244
51.7%
33
32.6%
1,338
45.8%
589
45.6%
151
40.8%
80
48.4%
62
49.8%
97
44.5%
21
29.5%
339
49.8%
1,338
45.8%
191
37.3%
1,147
47.7%
191
37.3%
109
36.8%
64
37.3%
18
41.0%
1,338
45.8%
746
51.0%
113
51.3%
189
47.3%
39
42.0%
252
33.7%
1,338
45.8%
580
51.5%
283
47.3%
96
51.3%
379
37.6%
1,338
45.8%
38
42.8%
186
49.0%
1,115
45.5%
1,338
45.8%
665
54.5%
330
48.1%
40
38.9%
16
25.8%
106
39.6%
182
31.2%
665
54.5%
414
60.8%
224
47.4%
27
40.9%
1,338
45.8%
278
34.2%
670
47.6%
390
55.9%
1,338
45.8%
215
41.8%
304
48.0%
553
49.0%
266
41.3%
1,338
45.8%
54
41.4%
160
42.0%
211
46.4%
93
52.2%
272
45.9%
111
53.9%
170
51.7%
102
46.7%
165
38.6%
1,338
45.8%
1,062
47.4%
221
41.4%
56
38.0%
-
-
1,338
45.8%
1,283
46.3%
56
38.0%
1,338
45.8%
1,338
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1,338
45.8%
1,029
45.7%
310
46.5%
1,338
45.8%
1,176
46.2%
163
43.2%
1,338
45.8%
934
46.6%
404
44.2%
1,338
45.8%
1,063
47.1%
275
41.4%
1,338
45.8%
152
37.5%
1,186
47.2%
1,176
46.2%
124
9.9%
1,014
86.6%
19
38.8%
18
28.1%
1,338
45.8%
152
18.4%
1,133
62.8%
53
18.3%
1,338
45.8%
57
10.3%
120
17.0%
194
45.3%
951
83.3%
16
18.0%
1,338
99.9%
838
99.9%
131
100.0%
111
100.0%
89
100.0%
47
100.0%
20
100.0%
20
100.0%
83
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1,338
99.9%
619
100.0%
115
100.0%
144
100.0%
405
99.8%
56
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
Democratic

Count
Column %
1,298
44.5%
608
43.1%
690
45.8%
1,298
44.5%
240
52.7%
349
47.9%
439
41.3%
270
40.2%
1,298
44.5%
128
52.3%
111
53.2%
231
48.2%
206
44.2%
352
41.5%
183
38.9%
87
43.1%
1,298
44.5%
785
38.0%
277
75.3%
159
51.9%
78
43.5%
1,298
44.5%
785
38.0%
277
75.3%
159
51.9%
43
50.0%
2
22.7%
14
33.2%
20
44.7%
827
38.4%
395
36.5%
2
49.6%
6
32.8%
186
44.3%
12
31.4%
55
33.7%
33
35.5%
29
42.7%
10
36.3%
47
47.6%
24
47.0%
12
42.2%
7
22.1%
5
27.4%
5
47.1%
1,298
44.5%
57
5.2%
984
92.5%
257
33.4%
1,298
44.5%
605
80.7%
557
46.4%
136
14.1%
57
5.2%
31
7.1%
19
4.6%
7
2.9%
257
33.4%
19
9.5%
124
68.3%
58
31.9%
56
26.8%
1,298
44.5%
296
40.7%
483
43.8%
305
45.5%
215
51.1%
1,298
44.5%
338
48.0%
318
46.5%
386
40.2%
197
41.9%
60
58.2%
1,298
44.5%
611
47.3%
185
49.8%
61
37.1%
42
33.7%
93
42.9%
40
56.2%
267
39.2%
1,298
44.5%
281
54.8%
1,018
42.3%
281
54.8%
173
58.5%
90
51.9%
18
41.4%
1,298
44.5%
595
40.7%
84
38.3%
163
40.7%
42
45.8%
414
55.4%
1,298
44.5%
438
38.9%
274
45.8%
76
40.2%
511
50.7%
1,298
44.5%
41
46.9%
169
44.6%
1,088
44.4%
1,298
44.5%
453
37.1%
290
42.3%
56
55.1%
43
71.4%
134
50.1%
321
55.1%
453
37.1%
224
32.8%
206
43.5%
24
35.6%
1,298
44.5%
467
57.5%
603
42.8%
228
32.7%
1,298
44.5%
252
49.1%
262
41.4%
476
42.2%
308
47.8%
1,298
44.5%
62
47.5%
189
49.6%
196
43.1%
66
37.0%
267
45.0%
79
38.6%
130
39.4%
80
36.6%