Rust Belt Poll — Wolverine Battleground
Weight Variable = Michigan Registered Voter, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeAge DetailRacePartyIdeologyRepublican IdentificationIndependent IdentificationEducationIncomeEmploymentUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentalMilitary / VeteranReligionEvangelicalAreaRegionLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersPrimary Participation ScreenI voted in the 2022 midterm electionI voted in the 2020 presidential electionI voted in the 2018 midterm electionI voted in the 2016 presidential electionI've never voted2020 Presidential VotePresidential Primary Participation HistoryBiden ApprovalRepublican Presidential NominationDemocratic Presidential NominationCan / Cannot Be PersuadedBiden vs. TrumpBiden vs. Trump. KennedyBiden vs. Trump vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+Total18-2425-2930-3940-4950-6465-7475+TotalWhite / CaucasianBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalDemocratRepublicanIndependent / OtherTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalAmerica First RepublicanismTraditional RepublicanismUnsure / No opinionTotalDemocratic PartyRepublican PartyEqually alignedShare little in common with eitherTotalHigh School / LessSome / Associate4-Year / GradAdvanced / PostgradTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalMilitaryVeteranNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishMuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalYesNoTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalWayneOakland / MacombSoutheastSouthwestNorth Central / U.P.TotalCertain to voteLikely to vote ≥ 50/50Unlikely to vote ≤ 50/50Certain NOT to voteTotalLikely VotersUnlikely VotersTotalDemocraticRepublicanUnlikely OR Ineligible to voteTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalJoseph R. Biden, DemocratDonald J. Trump, RepublicanJo Jorgensen, LibertarianSomeone elseTotalYes, I've votedNo, first timeTotalStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveUndecidedTotalDonald TrumpRon DeSantisNikki HaleyVivek RamaswamyChris ChristieDoug BurgumRyan BinkleyAsa HutchinsonSomeone elseUndecidedTotalJoe BidenMarianne WilliamsonDean PhillipsSomeone elseUndecidedTotalI can be persuaded to change my mindI cannot be persuaded to change my mindTotalDonald J. Trump, RepublicanJoseph R. Biden, DemocratAnother third party candidateWould NOT voteUndecidedTotalDonald J. Trump, RepublicanJoseph R. Biden, DemocratRobert F. Kennedy Jr., IndependentAnother third party candidateWould NOT voteUndecidedTotalDonald J. Trump, RepublicanJoseph R. Biden, DemocratRobert F. Kennedy Jr., IndependentCornel West, IndependentJill Stein, GreenWould NOT voteUndecided
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter Screen
Sample Size1,273
616
657
1,273
172
298
468
336
1,273
88
84
183
199
383
261
75
1,273
1,025
150
55
43
1,273
489
486
298
1,273
342
477
453
486
178
178
130
298
65
78
75
80
1,273
298
491
290
193
1,273
272
300
453
207
39
1,273
518
163
78
65
108
18
323
1,273
221
1,052
221
117
80
23
1,273
693
67
160
30
323
1,273
555
257
64
398
1,273
18
139
1,116
1,273
507
292
25
24
93
332
507
264
243
1,273
266
677
330
1,273
222
292
286
237
237
1,273
1,042
158
39
34
1,273
1,200
73
1,239
545
596
97
1,273
974
299
1,273
1,128
145
1,273
863
410
1,273
1,018
255
1,273
120
1,153
1,128
535
552
17
23
1,142
1,003
138
1,273
234
278
181
544
36
596
366
66
52
37
12
4
4
2
6
47
545
368
20
10
49
99
942
481
460
1,273
518
458
153
45
99
1,273
508
447
109
84
26
99
1,273
500
461
118
17
15
33
128
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
1,042
81.8%
520
84.4%
522
79.4%
1,042
81.8%
103
59.7%
234
78.5%
390
83.3%
316
94.1%
1,042
81.8%
51
57.6%
52
61.9%
141
76.9%
159
79.9%
324
84.5%
245
93.9%
71
94.7%
1,042
81.8%
858
83.7%
111
74.0%
46
83.2%
27
62.6%
1,042
81.8%
411
84.1%
423
86.9%
208
69.9%
1,042
81.8%
301
87.8%
348
73.0%
393
86.7%
423
86.9%
161
90.1%
156
87.6%
106
81.6%
208
69.9%
50
76.8%
66
85.1%
48
63.6%
44
55.3%
1,042
81.8%
205
68.7%
405
82.4%
256
88.1%
176
91.2%
1,042
81.8%
193
71.0%
238
79.1%
392
86.4%
181
87.3%
38
96.2%
1,042
81.8%
427
82.4%
111
68.5%
55
69.8%
49
75.6%
83
76.9%
12
68.4%
304
94.3%
1,042
81.8%
175
79.4%
867
82.3%
175
79.4%
94
80.3%
64
80.0%
17
72.6%
1,042
81.8%
603
87.1%
45
67.4%
134
84.0%
23
77.4%
236
72.9%
1,042
81.8%
486
87.6%
209
81.2%
39
60.4%
308
77.6%
1,042
81.8%
7
40.1%
114
81.8%
921
82.5%
1,042
81.8%
438
86.5%
247
84.6%
21
81.6%
12
49.5%
68
73.4%
256
77.1%
438
86.5%
226
85.7%
212
87.3%
1,042
81.8%
207
77.8%
567
83.8%
268
81.1%
1,042
81.8%
185
83.3%
250
85.7%
234
81.8%
196
82.6%
177
74.9%
1,042
81.8%
1,042
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1,042
81.8%
1,042
86.8%
0
0.0%
1,042
84.1%
468
85.9%
518
86.9%
55
56.8%
1,042
81.8%
876
89.9%
166
55.6%
1,042
81.8%
996
88.3%
46
31.9%
1,042
81.8%
790
91.6%
252
61.4%
1,042
81.8%
915
89.9%
126
49.5%
1,042
81.8%
71
58.9%
971
84.2%
996
88.3%
481
89.8%
492
89.1%
11
62.5%
12
51.5%
987
86.4%
895
89.2%
92
66.2%
1,042
81.8%
210
89.7%
217
78.1%
127
70.2%
473
87.0%
15
40.5%
518
86.9%
329
90.0%
55
82.7%
48
93.6%
30
79.1%
11
90.1%
3
74.3%
1
21.5%
0
26.9%
5
82.5%
35
76.0%
468
85.9%
331
89.9%
14
69.3%
6
61.1%
35
71.4%
83
83.8%
829
88.0%
418
86.8%
411
89.2%
1,042
81.8%
445
85.9%
406
88.8%
111
72.6%
14
32.1%
64
65.2%
1,042
81.8%
431
84.7%
397
88.9%
80
73.7%
60
70.9%
4
15.7%
70
70.5%
1,042
81.8%
425
85.1%
410
88.8%
92
77.9%
12
69.3%
10
63.1%
6
17.5%
87
68.4%
Likely to vote ≥ 50/50

Count
Column %
158
12.4%
64
10.4%
94
14.3%
158
12.4%
42
24.6%
46
15.3%
55
11.7%
16
4.7%
158
12.4%
22
25.5%
20
23.6%
29
16.1%
28
14.2%
43
11.1%
12
4.6%
4
5.1%
158
12.4%
121
11.8%
27
17.7%
2
2.8%
9
21.5%
158
12.4%
55
11.3%
52
10.7%
51
17.0%
158
12.4%
30
8.7%
87
18.3%
41
9.0%
52
10.7%
13
7.4%
19
10.6%
20
15.4%
51
17.0%
8
12.1%
8
10.6%
16
20.9%
19
23.6%
158
12.4%
59
19.7%
62
12.6%
27
9.4%
10
5.3%
158
12.4%
50
18.5%
40
13.2%
46
10.1%
20
9.9%
1
3.8%
158
12.4%
62
11.9%
38
23.6%
15
19.1%
9
13.4%
16
14.8%
5
26.9%
14
4.3%
158
12.4%
32
14.7%
126
11.9%
32
14.7%
17
14.6%
14
17.0%
2
7.1%
158
12.4%
68
9.7%
15
21.8%
16
9.9%
4
13.3%
56
17.3%
158
12.4%
43
7.7%
39
15.1%
18
28.4%
58
14.7%
158
12.4%
6
31.2%
17
12.3%
135
12.1%
158
12.4%
50
10.0%
29
9.9%
4
17.5%
11
44.8%
12
13.2%
51
15.4%
50
10.0%
28
10.7%
22
9.2%
158
12.4%
37
13.9%
82
12.1%
39
11.9%
158
12.4%
26
11.9%
29
9.9%
36
12.4%
30
12.5%
38
15.9%
158
12.4%
0
0.0%
158
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
158
12.4%
158
13.2%
0
0.0%
158
12.8%
65
11.9%
69
11.5%
25
25.4%
158
12.4%
84
8.6%
74
24.8%
158
12.4%
115
10.2%
43
29.9%
158
12.4%
62
7.2%
96
23.4%
158
12.4%
86
8.5%
72
28.1%
158
12.4%
24
20.3%
134
11.6%
115
10.2%
48
9.0%
54
9.9%
4
22.7%
8
34.4%
133
11.7%
99
9.8%
35
25.1%
158
12.4%
14
6.2%
42
15.0%
38
21.1%
57
10.5%
7
18.4%
69
11.5%
31
8.5%
9
14.2%
3
6.4%
7
19.0%
1
4.6%
1
15.9%
3
78.5%
1
73.1%
1
17.5%
11
24.0%
65
11.9%
32
8.8%
6
30.7%
2
17.8%
12
24.7%
12
12.5%
97
10.3%
52
10.9%
44
9.7%
158
12.4%
60
11.7%
39
8.5%
30
19.4%
9
19.1%
21
20.8%
158
12.4%
66
12.9%
34
7.7%
20
18.8%
17
20.7%
4
15.2%
16
16.6%
158
12.4%
62
12.3%
37
8.1%
19
15.8%
3
16.5%
4
26.7%
8
23.7%
26
20.1%
Unlikely to vote ≤ 50/50

Count
Column %
39
3.1%
17
2.8%
21
3.3%
39
3.1%
11
6.4%
12
3.9%
14
3.0%
2
0.7%
39
3.1%
5
5.9%
6
7.0%
7
3.9%
7
3.7%
11
2.9%
2
0.9%
0
0.0%
39
3.1%
27
2.6%
6
3.7%
6
11.5%
0
0.0%
39
3.1%
15
3.1%
8
1.5%
16
5.4%
39
3.1%
6
1.6%
26
5.4%
7
1.6%
8
1.5%
2
1.4%
3
1.5%
2
1.9%
16
5.4%
4
5.9%
0
0.0%
6
8.3%
6
7.7%
39
3.1%
18
6.2%
14
2.8%
5
1.7%
2
0.9%
39
3.1%
15
5.5%
13
4.3%
8
1.8%
3
1.4%
0
0.0%
39
3.1%
19
3.6%
4
2.2%
2
2.4%
4
6.4%
6
5.4%
1
3.6%
4
1.3%
39
3.1%
7
3.1%
32
3.0%
7
3.1%
1
0.7%
1
1.7%
5
20.3%
39
3.1%
8
1.1%
5
7.0%
8
4.8%
2
7.0%
17
5.2%
39
3.1%
15
2.6%
5
1.9%
4
6.9%
15
3.8%
39
3.1%
4
19.7%
5
3.5%
30
2.7%
39
3.1%
10
2.0%
12
4.0%
0
0.9%
0
0.0%
7
7.3%
10
3.0%
10
2.0%
7
2.7%
3
1.2%
39
3.1%
10
3.7%
15
2.2%
14
4.2%
39
3.1%
8
3.5%
7
2.3%
6
2.1%
8
3.6%
10
4.2%
39
3.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
39
100.0%
0
0.0%
39
3.1%
0
0.0%
39
53.2%
39
3.1%
12
2.3%
9
1.6%
17
17.7%
39
3.1%
9
0.9%
30
10.1%
39
3.1%
12
1.1%
27
18.6%
39
3.1%
7
0.8%
32
7.7%
39
3.1%
10
1.0%
29
11.4%
39
3.1%
15
12.2%
24
2.1%
12
1.1%
6
1.1%
4
0.8%
0
0.0%
2
7.2%
22
1.9%
10
1.0%
12
8.8%
39
3.1%
5
2.1%
12
4.3%
10
5.8%
7
1.3%
5
12.6%
9
1.6%
5
1.5%
2
3.1%
0
0.0%
1
1.9%
1
5.3%
0
9.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
12
2.3%
5
1.3%
0
0.0%
2
21.1%
2
3.9%
4
3.6%
16
1.7%
11
2.3%
5
1.1%
39
3.1%
6
1.1%
11
2.3%
6
4.1%
10
21.8%
7
6.7%
39
3.1%
5
1.1%
12
2.7%
3
3.1%
4
5.1%
8
31.7%
5
5.5%
39
3.1%
6
1.2%
12
2.5%
2
1.6%
2
11.7%
0
1.5%
9
27.3%
8
6.2%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
34
2.7%
14
2.3%
20
3.0%
34
2.7%
16
9.3%
7
2.3%
10
2.1%
2
0.5%
34
2.7%
10
11.1%
6
7.5%
6
3.2%
5
2.3%
6
1.6%
1
0.6%
0
0.2%
34
2.7%
19
1.9%
7
4.5%
1
2.5%
7
15.9%
34
2.7%
7
1.5%
4
0.8%
23
7.7%
34
2.7%
6
1.9%
16
3.3%
12
2.7%
4
0.8%
2
1.1%
1
0.4%
1
1.1%
23
7.7%
3
5.2%
3
4.3%
5
7.2%
11
13.3%
34
2.7%
16
5.5%
11
2.2%
2
0.8%
5
2.6%
34
2.7%
14
5.0%
10
3.4%
7
1.6%
3
1.5%
0
0.0%
34
2.7%
11
2.2%
9
5.7%
7
8.8%
3
4.6%
3
2.8%
0
1.1%
1
0.2%
34
2.7%
6
2.8%
28
2.7%
6
2.8%
5
4.4%
1
1.2%
0
0.0%
34
2.7%
14
2.0%
3
3.8%
2
1.2%
1
2.3%
15
4.6%
34
2.7%
11
2.0%
5
1.8%
3
4.2%
16
4.0%
34
2.7%
2
9.0%
3
2.4%
29
2.6%
34
2.7%
8
1.6%
4
1.4%
0
0.0%
1
5.8%
6
6.2%
15
4.5%
8
1.6%
2
0.9%
6
2.3%
34
2.7%
12
4.5%
13
1.9%
9
2.7%
34
2.7%
3
1.2%
6
2.1%
10
3.6%
3
1.3%
12
5.0%
34
2.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
34
100.0%
34
2.7%
0
0.0%
34
46.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
34
2.7%
6
0.6%
29
9.6%
34
2.7%
6
0.5%
28
19.6%
34
2.7%
3
0.4%
31
7.6%
34
2.7%
6
0.6%
28
11.0%
34
2.7%
10
8.6%
24
2.1%
6
0.5%
0
0.0%
1
0.3%
3
14.7%
2
6.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
34
2.7%
5
2.1%
7
2.6%
5
2.9%
6
1.2%
10
28.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
34
2.7%
7
1.3%
2
0.5%
6
4.0%
12
27.0%
7
7.3%
34
2.7%
7
1.3%
3
0.7%
5
4.4%
3
3.3%
10
37.4%
7
7.4%
34
2.7%
7
1.3%
3
0.6%
5
4.6%
0
2.5%
1
8.7%
10
31.5%
7
5.3%
In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?In which party primary for the presidential nomination will you vote next year—or are you unlikely or ineligible to participate in either?
Primary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation ScreenPrimary Participation Screen
Sample Size1,239
602
637
1,239
156
291
458
334
1,239
78
78
177
194
377
259
75
1,239
1,006
143
53
36
1,239
482
482
275
1,239
336
462
441
482
176
177
129
275
61
75
69
69
1,239
282
481
288
188
1,239
259
290
446
204
39
1,239
507
153
71
62
105
18
322
1,239
214
1,024
214
112
79
23
1,239
679
65
158
29
308
1,239
544
252
61
382
1,239
16
135
1,087
1,239
499
287
25
23
87
317
499
261
237
1,239
254
664
321
1,239
219
285
276
234
225
1,239
1,042
158
39
-
1,239
1,200
39
1,239
545
596
97
1,239
969
270
1,239
1,122
117
1,239
859
379
1,239
1,012
227
1,239
110
1,129
1,122
535
551
15
21
1,142
1,003
138
1,239
229
271
176
537
26
596
366
66
52
37
12
4
4
2
6
47
545
368
20
10
49
99
942
481
460
1,239
511
456
147
33
92
1,239
502
444
104
81
16
91
1,239
493
458
113
17
14
23
121
Democratic

Count
Column %
545
44.0%
241
40.0%
305
47.8%
545
44.0%
78
50.1%
130
44.8%
201
43.8%
136
40.8%
545
44.0%
43
54.8%
35
45.4%
85
48.0%
72
36.9%
174
46.2%
113
43.7%
23
30.9%
545
44.0%
382
38.0%
111
77.5%
34
63.8%
18
50.0%
545
44.0%
446
92.5%
11
2.2%
89
32.4%
545
44.0%
279
82.9%
220
47.7%
47
10.6%
11
2.2%
3
1.5%
5
2.7%
3
2.5%
89
32.4%
48
78.0%
4
5.9%
22
31.7%
15
21.4%
545
44.0%
107
38.0%
219
45.5%
128
44.3%
92
48.9%
545
44.0%
117
45.1%
138
47.4%
185
41.4%
89
43.7%
17
43.1%
545
44.0%
226
44.5%
73
47.5%
32
45.4%
27
42.5%
48
45.6%
11
61.3%
129
40.1%
545
44.0%
105
49.0%
440
43.0%
105
49.0%
55
49.3%
38
48.5%
11
48.7%
545
44.0%
263
38.8%
22
34.1%
77
48.5%
11
38.5%
172
55.9%
545
44.0%
229
42.2%
112
44.3%
26
42.8%
178
46.7%
545
44.0%
10
59.7%
42
31.0%
494
45.4%
545
44.0%
190
38.1%
102
35.4%
17
65.2%
12
52.4%
48
55.2%
177
55.8%
190
38.1%
81
30.8%
109
46.1%
545
44.0%
135
53.2%
303
45.6%
107
33.5%
545
44.0%
135
61.7%
122
42.8%
106
38.4%
101
43.1%
82
36.4%
545
44.0%
468
45.0%
65
41.0%
12
31.8%
-
-
545
44.0%
533
44.4%
12
31.8%
545
44.0%
545
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
545
44.0%
452
46.7%
93
34.5%
545
44.0%
502
44.7%
44
37.4%
545
44.0%
398
46.3%
148
38.9%
545
44.0%
445
44.0%
100
44.2%
545
44.0%
49
45.1%
496
43.9%
502
44.7%
466
87.0%
29
5.3%
2
15.3%
5
21.6%
545
47.8%
480
47.8%
66
47.6%
545
44.0%
195
85.2%
223
82.3%
82
46.6%
35
6.5%
11
41.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
545
100.0%
368
100.0%
20
100.0%
10
100.0%
49
100.0%
99
100.0%
398
42.3%
199
41.3%
200
43.4%
545
44.0%
20
4.0%
415
91.0%
59
39.9%
15
46.6%
36
39.7%
545
44.0%
22
4.3%
405
91.3%
41
39.7%
36
44.0%
4
22.9%
38
41.5%
545
44.0%
19
3.9%
407
88.8%
48
43.0%
9
56.0%
8
59.0%
6
27.6%
47
38.8%
Republican

Count
Column %
596
48.1%
305
50.6%
292
45.8%
596
48.1%
67
43.1%
131
45.0%
222
48.4%
177
52.8%
596
48.1%
31
39.5%
36
46.8%
73
41.2%
106
54.6%
173
46.0%
127
49.1%
49
65.4%
596
48.1%
540
53.7%
23
16.2%
16
30.8%
16
45.2%
596
48.1%
24
5.0%
459
95.1%
113
41.2%
596
48.1%
39
11.5%
182
39.5%
375
85.0%
459
95.1%
170
96.5%
169
95.1%
120
93.3%
113
41.2%
4
6.6%
60
80.2%
26
37.5%
23
33.6%
596
48.1%
148
52.6%
227
47.1%
141
49.0%
81
42.8%
596
48.1%
115
44.4%
125
43.2%
229
51.3%
106
51.6%
22
55.1%
596
48.1%
245
48.4%
73
47.4%
34
47.8%
28
44.8%
42
40.3%
6
33.8%
168
52.1%
596
48.1%
96
44.7%
500
48.8%
96
44.7%
50
44.9%
36
45.8%
9
40.3%
596
48.1%
372
54.8%
41
63.4%
68
43.4%
14
48.7%
101
32.7%
596
48.1%
275
50.5%
123
48.9%
31
51.4%
167
43.7%
596
48.1%
6
36.1%
79
58.7%
511
47.0%
596
48.1%
270
54.1%
169
58.8%
9
34.3%
8
35.8%
31
35.8%
109
34.4%
270
54.1%
159
60.8%
111
46.8%
596
48.1%
102
40.0%
312
47.0%
183
56.9%
596
48.1%
66
30.2%
143
50.0%
149
54.1%
117
50.3%
121
53.8%
596
48.1%
518
49.8%
69
43.4%
9
23.9%
-
-
596
48.1%
587
48.9%
9
23.9%
596
48.1%
0
0.0%
596
100.0%
0
0.0%
596
48.1%
467
48.2%
130
47.9%
596
48.1%
550
49.0%
46
39.6%
596
48.1%
416
48.4%
180
47.4%
596
48.1%
503
49.8%
93
40.9%
596
48.1%
52
47.6%
544
48.2%
550
49.0%
41
7.7%
491
89.1%
9
61.6%
9
41.1%
596
52.2%
524
52.2%
73
52.4%
596
48.1%
31
13.5%
34
12.4%
69
39.1%
458
85.3%
5
17.9%
596
100.0%
366
100.0%
66
100.0%
52
100.0%
37
100.0%
12
100.0%
4
100.0%
4
100.0%
2
100.0%
6
100.0%
47
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
543
57.7%
283
58.7%
261
56.6%
596
48.1%
468
91.5%
28
6.1%
63
42.5%
6
19.4%
32
34.8%
596
48.1%
459
91.4%
25
5.7%
49
46.7%
27
33.2%
1
8.7%
35
38.6%
596
48.1%
452
91.7%
38
8.3%
51
45.2%
6
32.5%
2
14.8%
5
23.1%
42
35.0%
Unlikely OR Ineligible to vote

Count
Column %
97
7.8%
56
9.4%
41
6.4%
97
7.8%
11
6.8%
30
10.2%
35
7.7%
21
6.4%
97
7.8%
4
5.7%
6
7.8%
19
10.8%
16
8.5%
29
7.8%
19
7.2%
3
3.7%
97
7.8%
83
8.3%
9
6.3%
3
5.4%
2
4.8%
97
7.8%
12
2.5%
13
2.7%
72
26.3%
97
7.8%
19
5.5%
59
12.8%
19
4.4%
13
2.7%
3
2.0%
4
2.2%
5
4.2%
72
26.3%
9
15.4%
10
13.9%
21
30.8%
31
45.0%
97
7.8%
27
9.4%
36
7.4%
19
6.7%
16
8.3%
97
7.8%
27
10.5%
27
9.4%
33
7.3%
10
4.7%
1
1.8%
97
7.8%
36
7.1%
8
5.1%
5
6.8%
8
12.7%
15
14.0%
1
4.9%
25
7.7%
97
7.8%
14
6.3%
84
8.2%
14
6.3%
7
5.8%
4
5.6%
3
10.9%
97
7.8%
44
6.5%
2
2.5%
13
8.1%
4
12.8%
35
11.4%
97
7.8%
40
7.3%
17
6.8%
4
5.8%
37
9.6%
97
7.8%
1
4.2%
14
10.3%
82
7.6%
97
7.8%
39
7.8%
17
5.8%
0
0.5%
3
11.8%
8
8.9%
31
9.8%
39
7.8%
22
8.4%
17
7.1%
97
7.8%
17
6.7%
49
7.4%
31
9.6%
97
7.8%
18
8.1%
21
7.3%
21
7.6%
16
6.7%
22
9.9%
97
7.8%
55
5.3%
25
15.6%
17
44.2%
-
-
97
7.8%
80
6.7%
17
44.2%
97
7.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
97
100.0%
97
7.8%
49
5.1%
48
17.6%
97
7.8%
70
6.3%
27
23.0%
97
7.8%
45
5.3%
52
13.6%
97
7.8%
63
6.2%
34
15.0%
97
7.8%
8
7.3%
89
7.9%
70
6.3%
28
5.3%
31
5.5%
3
23.0%
8
37.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
97
7.8%
3
1.3%
14
5.3%
25
14.3%
44
8.2%
10
40.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
97
7.8%
23
4.5%
14
3.0%
26
17.5%
11
34.0%
23
25.6%
97
7.8%
21
4.3%
14
3.1%
14
13.6%
19
22.8%
11
68.4%
18
19.9%
97
7.8%
22
4.4%
14
3.0%
13
11.7%
2
11.5%
4
26.2%
11
49.3%
32
26.1%