Rust Belt Poll: Wolverine Battleground (March-April 2024)
Weight Variable = Michigan Registered Voters, Confidence Level = 95%
GenderAgeRaceEthnicityParty DetailIdeologyRepublican IdentificationUnaffiliated IdentificationEducationCollege Non-CollegeEducation By RaceEducation By Race AND GenderIncomeEmploymentUnionUnion TypeMaritalParentsReligionReligion DetailEvangelicalAreaLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersI voted in the 2022 midterm electionI voted in the 2020 presidential electionI voted in the 2018 midterm electionI voted in the 2016 presidential electionI've never voted2020 Presidential VoteBiden ApprovalWhitmer Approval
TotalMaleFemaleTotal18-2930-4445-6465+TotalWhite / CaucasianBlack / African AmericanHispanic / LatinoAsian / OtherTotalAmericanDanishDutchEnglishFinnishFrenchGermanIrishItalianNon-whiteNorwegianOtherPolishRussianScotch-IrishScottishSwedishTotalDemocratRepublicanIndependentSomething elseTotalLiberalModerateConservativeTotalAmerica First RepublicanismTraditional RepublicanismUnsure / No opinionTotalDemocratic PartyEqually alignedRepublican PartyShare little in common with eitherTotalHigh School / LessSome / Associate4-Year / GradAdvanced / PostgradTotal2-Year / Less4-Year / HigherTotalWhite Non-CollegeWhite CollegeNon-White Non-CollegeNon-White CollegeTotalWhite Non-College MenWhite Non-College WomenWhite College MenWhite College WomenNon-White Non-College MenNon-White Non-College WomenNon-White College MenNon-White College FemaleTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999$100,000 - $199,999$200,000 or moreTotalEmployed, full timeEmployed, part timeUnemployed, lookingUnemployed, NOT lookingDisabledStudentRetiredTotalYesNoTotalPublicPrivateBothTotalMarriedWidowedDivorcedSeparatedSingleTotalYes, all 18 or overYes, one or more school-aged under 18Yes, one or all under 18 but not yet school-agedNoTotalProtestant / Other ChristianCatholicJewishAnother religionNo religionTotalProtestantCatholicChristian (Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)Eastern Orthodox (Greek, Russian, Other)JewishMormon (LDS)MuslimAnother religionNo religionTotalYesNoTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalCertain to voteLikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50Certain NOT to voteTotalLikely VotersUnlikely VotersTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalYesNoTotalJoseph R. Biden, DemocratDonald J. Trump, RepublicanJo Jorgensen, LibertarianSomeone elseTotalStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveUndecidedTotalStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveUndecided
In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?In which state are you registered and eligible to vote—or, are you not registered and eligible to vote in any of these states?
Registered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter ScreenRegistered Voter Screen
Sample Size1,218
632
586
1,218
146
247
455
370
1,218
994
153
42
29
1,218
592
2
34
218
8
17
93
45
27
27
4
54
50
9
11
16
11
1,218
448
466
272
32
1,218
286
509
423
466
180
182
105
303
79
62
79
83
1,218
311
464
279
165
1,218
775
443
1,218
622
371
152
72
1,218
297
325
227
145
69
83
39
33
1,218
307
262
385
213
51
1,218
442
141
89
40
98
32
376
1,218
203
1,015
203
128
60
15
1,218
631
92
168
25
301
1,218
566
223
60
368
1,218
520
267
23
92
315
1,218
291
267
216
9
23
4
20
73
315
520
263
258
1,218
246
711
261
1,218
1,023
122
40
33
1,218
1,145
73
1,218
949
269
1,218
1,080
138
1,218
862
356
1,218
990
228
1,218
141
1,077
1,080
525
517
13
26
1,218
244
285
145
515
30
1,218
421
238
173
344
42
Michigan

Count
Column %
1,218
100.0%
632
100.0%
586
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
146
100.0%
247
100.0%
455
100.0%
370
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
994
100.0%
153
100.0%
42
100.0%
29
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
592
100.0%
2
100.0%
34
100.0%
218
100.0%
8
100.0%
17
100.0%
93
100.0%
45
100.0%
27
100.0%
27
100.0%
4
100.0%
54
100.0%
50
100.0%
9
100.0%
11
100.0%
16
100.0%
11
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
448
100.0%
466
100.0%
272
100.0%
32
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
286
100.0%
509
100.0%
423
100.0%
466
100.0%
180
100.0%
182
100.0%
105
100.0%
303
100.0%
79
100.0%
62
100.0%
79
100.0%
83
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
311
100.0%
464
100.0%
279
100.0%
165
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
775
100.0%
443
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
622
100.0%
371
100.0%
152
100.0%
72
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
297
100.0%
325
100.0%
227
100.0%
145
100.0%
69
100.0%
83
100.0%
39
100.0%
33
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
307
100.0%
262
100.0%
385
100.0%
213
100.0%
51
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
442
100.0%
141
100.0%
89
100.0%
40
100.0%
98
100.0%
32
100.0%
376
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
203
100.0%
1,015
100.0%
203
100.0%
128
100.0%
60
100.0%
15
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
631
100.0%
92
100.0%
168
100.0%
25
100.0%
301
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
566
100.0%
223
100.0%
60
100.0%
368
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
520
100.0%
267
100.0%
23
100.0%
92
100.0%
315
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
291
100.0%
267
100.0%
216
100.0%
9
100.0%
23
100.0%
4
100.0%
20
100.0%
73
100.0%
315
100.0%
520
100.0%
263
100.0%
258
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
246
100.0%
711
100.0%
261
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
1,023
100.0%
122
100.0%
40
100.0%
33
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
1,145
100.0%
73
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
949
100.0%
269
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
1,080
100.0%
138
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
862
100.0%
356
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
990
100.0%
228
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
141
100.0%
1,077
100.0%
1,080
100.0%
525
100.0%
517
100.0%
13
100.0%
26
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
244
100.0%
285
100.0%
145
100.0%
515
100.0%
30
100.0%
1,218
100.0%
421
100.0%
238
100.0%
173
100.0%
344
100.0%
42
100.0%
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter ScreenLikely Voter Screen
Sample Size1,218
632
586
1,218
146
247
455
370
1,218
994
153
42
29
1,218
592
2
34
218
8
17
93
45
27
27
4
54
50
9
11
16
11
1,218
448
466
272
32
1,218
286
509
423
466
180
182
105
303
79
62
79
83
1,218
311
464
279
165
1,218
775
443
1,218
622
371
152
72
1,218
297
325
227
145
69
83
39
33
1,218
307
262
385
213
51
1,218
442
141
89
40
98
32
376
1,218
203
1,015
203
128
60
15
1,218
631
92
168
25
301
1,218
566
223
60
368
1,218
520
267
23
92
315
1,218
291
267
216
9
23
4
20
73
315
520
263
258
1,218
246
711
261
1,218
1,023
122
40
33
1,218
1,145
73
1,218
949
269
1,218
1,080
138
1,218
862
356
1,218
990
228
1,218
141
1,077
1,080
525
517
13
26
1,218
244
285
145
515
30
1,218
421
238
173
344
42
Certain to vote

Count
Column %
1,023
84.0%
551
87.1%
472
80.6%
1,023
84.0%
89
61.1%
186
75.4%
395
86.7%
352
95.3%
1,023
84.0%
857
86.2%
109
71.3%
37
89.2%
19
66.6%
1,023
84.0%
500
84.5%
2
100.0%
26
75.4%
167
77.0%
7
85.1%
15
88.7%
86
91.8%
38
84.3%
24
87.8%
24
87.8%
4
100.0%
40
74.3%
47
93.3%
8
88.6%
11
100.0%
15
93.2%
10
86.5%
1,023
84.0%
383
85.5%
408
87.5%
215
79.0%
17
52.9%
1,023
84.0%
249
87.0%
398
78.2%
376
88.9%
408
87.5%
171
95.2%
152
83.6%
85
81.1%
231
76.3%
70
88.3%
41
66.5%
73
92.1%
47
57.0%
1,023
84.0%
217
69.8%
395
85.2%
259
92.9%
152
92.2%
1,023
84.0%
612
79.0%
411
92.6%
1,023
84.0%
510
81.9%
347
93.4%
102
67.2%
64
88.5%
1,023
84.0%
254
85.5%
256
78.6%
213
93.9%
134
92.6%
48
68.8%
55
65.9%
36
91.7%
28
84.6%
1,023
84.0%
217
70.6%
225
85.9%
341
88.6%
193
90.6%
47
91.4%
1,023
84.0%
385
87.0%
112
79.1%
52
58.6%
21
53.8%
75
76.3%
20
62.9%
358
95.2%
1,023
84.0%
174
85.5%
849
83.7%
174
85.5%
115
89.7%
49
82.6%
10
62.0%
1,023
84.0%
560
88.8%
80
86.8%
147
87.3%
16
61.5%
220
73.0%
1,023
84.0%
518
91.5%
173
77.7%
42
69.1%
290
78.7%
1,023
84.0%
450
86.4%
231
86.4%
22
96.5%
72
77.4%
248
78.8%
1,023
84.0%
256
88.1%
231
86.4%
182
84.3%
7
77.9%
22
96.5%
4
100.0%
17
86.4%
54
74.9%
248
78.8%
450
86.4%
224
85.1%
226
87.8%
1,023
84.0%
190
77.1%
614
86.3%
219
83.9%
1,023
84.0%
1,023
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1,023
84.0%
1,023
89.3%
0
0.0%
1,023
84.0%
882
92.9%
141
52.5%
1,023
84.0%
985
91.2%
37
27.3%
1,023
84.0%
805
93.4%
217
61.0%
1,023
84.0%
907
91.6%
116
50.9%
1,023
84.0%
73
51.7%
950
88.2%
985
91.2%
475
90.6%
479
92.6%
10
82.7%
21
80.3%
1,023
84.0%
224
92.2%
229
80.4%
96
66.5%
459
89.2%
14
46.2%
1,023
84.0%
383
90.9%
174
73.3%
128
74.0%
318
92.4%
19
45.9%
Likely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 50/50

Count
Column %
122
10.1%
56
8.9%
66
11.3%
122
10.1%
31
21.0%
34
13.7%
44
9.7%
14
3.7%
122
10.1%
86
8.7%
28
18.1%
2
5.1%
6
21.8%
122
10.1%
54
9.1%
0
0.0%
4
11.7%
34
15.8%
1
14.9%
1
6.2%
6
6.0%
6
12.9%
2
7.9%
2
7.1%
0
0.0%
8
15.3%
2
4.4%
1
11.4%
0
0.0%
1
6.8%
0
0.0%
122
10.1%
46
10.3%
37
8.0%
34
12.7%
5
14.5%
122
10.1%
25
8.7%
74
14.6%
23
5.5%
37
8.0%
6
3.2%
23
12.5%
9
8.4%
39
12.9%
5
5.7%
13
21.3%
4
5.1%
17
20.9%
122
10.1%
54
17.4%
44
9.5%
14
5.1%
10
6.0%
122
10.1%
98
12.7%
24
5.5%
122
10.1%
68
10.9%
18
4.9%
30
19.9%
6
8.2%
122
10.1%
29
9.9%
39
11.9%
12
5.1%
7
4.6%
12
17.8%
18
21.7%
3
7.2%
3
9.5%
122
10.1%
46
15.2%
25
9.5%
30
7.7%
17
8.2%
4
7.8%
122
10.1%
46
10.4%
15
10.7%
19
21.5%
10
25.2%
13
13.0%
6
19.9%
13
3.6%
122
10.1%
21
10.4%
101
10.0%
21
10.4%
10
7.6%
6
10.3%
5
34.7%
122
10.1%
48
7.5%
5
5.4%
14
8.5%
7
29.3%
48
16.0%
122
10.1%
34
6.0%
34
15.4%
10
17.4%
44
11.9%
122
10.1%
45
8.7%
26
9.6%
1
3.5%
13
13.7%
38
12.1%
122
10.1%
24
8.1%
26
9.6%
21
9.7%
1
8.2%
1
3.5%
0
0.0%
2
8.0%
11
15.2%
38
12.1%
45
8.7%
25
9.4%
21
8.0%
122
10.1%
36
14.8%
64
9.0%
22
8.6%
122
10.1%
0
0.0%
122
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
122
10.1%
122
10.7%
0
0.0%
122
10.1%
59
6.2%
64
23.7%
122
10.1%
82
7.6%
41
29.7%
122
10.1%
48
5.6%
74
20.9%
122
10.1%
66
6.7%
56
24.6%
122
10.1%
29
20.7%
93
8.7%
82
7.6%
43
8.1%
34
6.6%
1
7.1%
4
14.7%
122
10.1%
10
4.0%
44
15.5%
32
21.9%
34
6.7%
2
8.3%
122
10.1%
23
5.5%
48
20.3%
31
17.7%
13
3.8%
8
18.1%
Unlikely to vote, meaning the odds are greater than 0 but less than 50/50

Count
Column %
40
3.3%
15
2.3%
25
4.3%
40
3.3%
13
9.0%
15
6.0%
10
2.1%
2
0.6%
40
3.3%
28
2.8%
10
6.6%
0
0.0%
2
7.0%
40
3.3%
19
3.3%
0
0.0%
3
8.8%
8
3.5%
0
0.0%
1
5.1%
2
2.2%
1
2.8%
1
4.3%
1
5.2%
0
0.0%
1
1.0%
1
2.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
13.5%
40
3.3%
10
2.3%
11
2.4%
14
5.1%
4
13.4%
40
3.3%
7
2.5%
21
4.2%
11
2.7%
11
2.4%
2
1.0%
3
1.5%
7
6.5%
18
6.0%
3
4.1%
6
9.1%
1
1.4%
8
9.9%
40
3.3%
19
6.0%
17
3.7%
2
0.8%
2
1.0%
40
3.3%
36
4.7%
4
0.9%
40
3.3%
25
4.1%
2
0.7%
11
7.1%
1
1.8%
40
3.3%
8
2.6%
18
5.4%
1
0.5%
1
0.9%
6
8.3%
5
6.1%
0
0.0%
1
4.0%
40
3.3%
19
6.1%
9
3.3%
11
2.9%
1
0.2%
0
0.8%
40
3.3%
8
1.8%
8
5.5%
11
12.4%
4
9.6%
4
3.8%
2
7.3%
3
0.9%
40
3.3%
5
2.5%
35
3.4%
5
2.5%
3
2.3%
2
2.6%
1
3.3%
40
3.3%
12
1.9%
4
4.7%
4
2.4%
0
0.0%
20
6.5%
40
3.3%
9
1.6%
11
4.9%
3
5.7%
16
4.4%
40
3.3%
16
3.0%
5
1.7%
0
0.0%
6
6.1%
14
4.4%
40
3.3%
7
2.3%
5
1.7%
8
3.5%
1
14.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
5.6%
4
6.2%
14
4.4%
16
3.0%
9
3.2%
7
2.8%
40
3.3%
12
5.0%
20
2.8%
8
3.1%
40
3.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
40
100.0%
0
0.0%
40
3.3%
0
0.0%
40
54.7%
40
3.3%
7
0.8%
33
12.1%
40
3.3%
12
1.1%
28
20.6%
40
3.3%
7
0.8%
33
9.3%
40
3.3%
14
1.4%
26
11.5%
40
3.3%
19
13.4%
21
1.9%
12
1.1%
6
1.2%
3
0.6%
1
10.2%
1
3.8%
40
3.3%
5
1.9%
9
3.2%
12
8.1%
9
1.8%
5
18.0%
40
3.3%
8
2.0%
12
4.9%
9
4.9%
4
1.3%
7
16.4%
Certain NOT to vote

Count
Column %
33
2.7%
11
1.7%
22
3.8%
33
2.7%
13
8.8%
12
4.9%
7
1.5%
1
0.4%
33
2.7%
23
2.3%
6
4.0%
2
5.7%
1
4.5%
33
2.7%
18
3.1%
0
0.0%
1
4.1%
8
3.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
5
9.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
33
2.7%
8
1.9%
10
2.1%
9
3.2%
6
19.2%
33
2.7%
5
1.8%
16
3.1%
12
2.9%
10
2.1%
1
0.7%
4
2.4%
4
4.0%
15
4.8%
1
1.9%
2
3.2%
1
1.4%
10
12.1%
33
2.7%
21
6.7%
7
1.6%
3
1.2%
1
0.8%
33
2.7%
28
3.7%
5
1.1%
33
2.7%
20
3.1%
4
1.0%
9
5.8%
1
1.4%
33
2.7%
6
2.0%
14
4.2%
1
0.4%
3
1.9%
4
5.1%
5
6.3%
0
1.1%
1
1.9%
33
2.7%
25
8.1%
3
1.3%
3
0.7%
2
1.0%
0
0.0%
33
2.7%
4
0.9%
7
4.7%
7
7.5%
5
11.4%
7
6.9%
3
10.0%
1
0.4%
33
2.7%
3
1.5%
30
2.9%
3
1.5%
0
0.3%
3
4.6%
0
0.0%
33
2.7%
11
1.8%
3
3.1%
3
1.7%
2
9.2%
14
4.5%
33
2.7%
5
1.0%
5
2.1%
5
7.8%
18
5.0%
33
2.7%
10
1.8%
6
2.3%
0
0.0%
3
2.9%
15
4.6%
33
2.7%
4
1.4%
6
2.3%
5
2.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
3.7%
15
4.6%
10
1.8%
6
2.3%
4
1.4%
33
2.7%
8
3.1%
14
1.9%
12
4.4%
33
2.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
33
100.0%
33
2.7%
0
0.0%
33
45.3%
33
2.7%
1
0.2%
32
11.7%
33
2.7%
2
0.2%
31
22.4%
33
2.7%
2
0.2%
31
8.8%
33
2.7%
3
0.3%
30
13.0%
33
2.7%
20
14.1%
13
1.2%
2
0.2%
1
0.1%
1
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
1.2%
33
2.7%
5
1.9%
3
1.0%
5
3.5%
12
2.4%
8
27.4%
33
2.7%
7
1.6%
4
1.6%
6
3.4%
8
2.5%
8
19.7%
How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?How likely are you to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Likely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely VotersLikely Voters vs. Unlikely Voters
Sample Size1,218
632
586
1,218
146
247
455
370
1,218
994
153
42
29
1,218
592
2
34
218
8
17
93
45
27
27
4
54
50
9
11
16
11
1,218
448
466
272
32
1,218
286
509
423
466
180
182
105
303
79
62
79
83
1,218
311
464
279
165
1,218
775
443
1,218
622
371
152
72
1,218
297
325
227
145
69
83
39
33
1,218
307
262
385
213
51
1,218
442
141
89
40
98
32
376
1,218
203
1,015
203
128
60
15
1,218
631
92
168
25
301
1,218
566
223
60
368
1,218
520
267
23
92
315
1,218
291
267
216
9
23
4
20
73
315
520
263
258
1,218
246
711
261
1,218
1,023
122
40
33
1,218
1,145
73
1,218
949
269
1,218
1,080
138
1,218
862
356
1,218
990
228
1,218
141
1,077
1,080
525
517
13
26
1,218
244
285
145
515
30
1,218
421
238
173
344
42
Likely Voters

Count
Column %
1,145
94.0%
607
96.0%
539
91.9%
1,145
94.0%
120
82.1%
220
89.1%
439
96.4%
366
99.0%
1,145
94.0%
943
94.9%
137
89.4%
40
94.3%
26
88.5%
1,145
94.0%
554
93.6%
2
100.0%
30
87.1%
202
92.7%
8
100.0%
16
94.9%
91
97.8%
44
97.2%
26
95.7%
26
94.8%
4
100.0%
48
89.6%
49
97.7%
9
100.0%
11
100.0%
16
100.0%
10
86.5%
1,145
94.0%
429
95.8%
445
95.5%
249
91.7%
21
67.4%
1,145
94.0%
274
95.7%
472
92.7%
399
94.5%
445
95.5%
177
98.4%
175
96.1%
94
89.5%
270
89.2%
75
94.0%
54
87.7%
77
97.2%
65
77.9%
1,145
94.0%
271
87.2%
439
94.7%
273
98.0%
162
98.2%
1,145
94.0%
710
91.7%
435
98.1%
1,145
94.0%
578
92.8%
365
98.4%
133
87.1%
69
96.7%
1,145
94.0%
284
95.4%
294
90.4%
224
99.1%
141
97.2%
60
86.6%
73
87.6%
39
98.9%
31
94.1%
1,145
94.0%
263
85.8%
250
95.4%
371
96.3%
210
98.8%
51
99.2%
1,145
94.0%
430
97.4%
127
89.8%
71
80.1%
31
79.0%
88
89.3%
26
82.7%
372
98.7%
1,145
94.0%
195
96.0%
950
93.6%
195
96.0%
125
97.3%
55
92.8%
15
96.7%
1,145
94.0%
608
96.4%
85
92.1%
161
95.9%
23
90.8%
268
89.0%
1,145
94.0%
552
97.4%
208
93.1%
52
86.5%
334
90.6%
1,145
94.0%
495
95.2%
256
96.0%
23
100.0%
84
91.1%
286
90.9%
1,145
94.0%
280
96.3%
256
96.0%
203
93.9%
8
86.0%
23
100.0%
4
100.0%
19
94.4%
65
90.1%
286
90.9%
495
95.2%
248
94.5%
247
95.8%
1,145
94.0%
226
91.9%
678
95.3%
241
92.5%
1,145
94.0%
1,023
100.0%
122
100.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1,145
94.0%
1,145
100.0%
0
0.0%
1,145
94.0%
940
99.1%
205
76.2%
1,145
94.0%
1,067
98.7%
78
57.0%
1,145
94.0%
854
99.0%
291
81.9%
1,145
94.0%
973
98.3%
172
75.5%
1,145
94.0%
102
72.5%
1,043
96.9%
1,067
98.7%
518
98.7%
513
99.2%
11
89.8%
24
95.0%
1,145
94.0%
234
96.2%
273
95.8%
128
88.4%
493
95.8%
16
54.6%
1,145
94.0%
406
96.4%
222
93.6%
159
91.7%
331
96.3%
27
64.0%
Unlikely Voters

Count
Column %
73
6.0%
25
4.0%
47
8.1%
73
6.0%
26
17.9%
27
10.9%
16
3.6%
4
1.0%
73
6.0%
51
5.1%
16
10.6%
2
5.7%
3
11.5%
73
6.0%
38
6.4%
0
0.0%
4
12.9%
16
7.3%
0
0.0%
1
5.1%
2
2.2%
1
2.8%
1
4.3%
1
5.2%
0
0.0%
6
10.4%
1
2.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
13.5%
73
6.0%
19
4.2%
21
4.5%
23
8.3%
10
32.6%
73
6.0%
12
4.3%
37
7.3%
23
5.5%
21
4.5%
3
1.6%
7
3.9%
11
10.5%
33
10.8%
5
6.0%
8
12.3%
2
2.8%
18
22.1%
73
6.0%
40
12.8%
25
5.3%
6
2.0%
3
1.8%
73
6.0%
64
8.3%
8
1.9%
73
6.0%
45
7.2%
6
1.6%
20
12.9%
2
3.3%
73
6.0%
14
4.6%
31
9.6%
2
0.9%
4
2.8%
9
13.4%
10
12.4%
0
1.1%
2
5.9%
73
6.0%
44
14.2%
12
4.6%
14
3.7%
3
1.2%
0
0.8%
73
6.0%
12
2.6%
14
10.2%
18
19.9%
8
21.0%
10
10.7%
6
17.3%
5
1.3%
73
6.0%
8
4.0%
65
6.4%
8
4.0%
3
2.7%
4
7.2%
1
3.3%
73
6.0%
23
3.6%
7
7.9%
7
4.1%
2
9.2%
33
11.0%
73
6.0%
15
2.6%
16
6.9%
8
13.5%
35
9.4%
73
6.0%
25
4.8%
11
4.0%
0
0.0%
8
8.9%
29
9.1%
73
6.0%
11
3.7%
11
4.0%
13
6.1%
1
14.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
5.6%
7
9.9%
29
9.1%
25
4.8%
14
5.5%
11
4.2%
73
6.0%
20
8.1%
33
4.7%
20
7.5%
73
6.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
40
100.0%
33
100.0%
73
6.0%
0
0.0%
73
100.0%
73
6.0%
9
0.9%
64
23.8%
73
6.0%
14
1.3%
59
43.0%
73
6.0%
8
1.0%
65
18.1%
73
6.0%
17
1.7%
56
24.5%
73
6.0%
39
27.5%
34
3.1%
14
1.3%
7
1.3%
4
0.8%
1
10.2%
1
5.0%
73
6.0%
9
3.8%
12
4.2%
17
11.6%
21
4.2%
13
45.4%
73
6.0%
15
3.6%
15
6.4%
14
8.3%
13
3.7%
15
36.0%